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701 E Pine Ave #161
B- Composite 69.58
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,000

701 E Pine Ave #161 · Lompoc, CA 93436
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,100 sqft · Manufactured · 319 Days on market
Built 1962 2,060 sqft lot $108/sqft · 86% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great fully remodeled manufactured home, with first quality materials. New kitchen, new bathroom, new flooring, new windows, new doors, new roof, new paint interior and exterior. Park 55+ community. Very desirable, safe and friendly mobile home park. Close to everything Lompoc has to offer.

Key facts

  • New kitchen
  • New bathroom
  • New doors

Tags

REMODELED MANUFACTURED HOMENEW KITCHENNEW BATHROOMNEW FLOORINGNEW WINDOWSNEW DOORS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $119k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $119k).
  • Recommended offer: $105k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.0% vs local median 2.9% in Lompoc — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#786 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing B+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Lompoc Unified (suburban): math 29% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #818 of 1,400 in CA (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 154 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 719 units permitted in Santa Barbara County in 2024 (217 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Santa Barbara County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.3% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 319 days — a 12% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 11 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $41k (26%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $104,720 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 319 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.11%
Cap rate
18.01%
Cash-on-cash
41.83%
DSCR
2.86
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$64,000
List price
$119,000
Delta
85.94%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
701 E Pine Ave #173 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,152 (+5%) 14mo $102,000 $89 76
701 E Pine Ave #182 0.00mi 2/1.5 960 (-13%) 2mo $65,000 $68 75
610 E Pine Ave Spc 73 0.07mi 2/2.0 1,000 (-9%) 4mo $63,000 $63 74
610 E Pine Ave #44 0.13mi 2/2.0 1,040 (-6%) 16mo $119,000 $114 67
610 E Pine Ave #17 0.14mi 2/2.0 960 (-13%) 5mo $59,900 $62 64
321 W North Ave #49 0.70mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,040 (-6%) 5mo $235,000 $226 45
321 W North Ave #55 0.68mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,248 (+14%) 13mo $230,000 $184 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.31% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
38.8%
Equity multiple
2.67×
Total profit
$55,515
Equity at exit
$17,743
10-year hold
IRR
45.4%
Equity multiple
5.41×
Total profit
$146,995
Equity at exit
$10,289

Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 93436

Rents YoY
3.3%
Active inventory
154
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,511 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$624
Tax est. 1.5%
$149 /mo · $1,785/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$527
Net cashflow
$1,161

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,041
Max offer price $119,000
Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,244 -5% $1,203 +0% $1,161 +5% $1,120 +10% $1,079
Rent -10% $963 -5% $1,062 +0% $1,161 +5% $1,261 +10% $1,360
Rate -1.0pp $1,221 -0.5pp $1,192 base $1,161 +0.5pp $1,131 +1.0pp $1,099

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,750
Closing costs
$3,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 23 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
400 E Cherry Ave Lompoc, CA 3.0 2.0 1117 $3,000 $2.69 15d 1 0.21mi
1025 N Lupine St Lompoc, CA 3.0 2.0 1480 $3,300 $2.23 24d 1 0.40mi
604 N 4th St Unit N604B Lompoc, CA 2.0 1.0 800 $2,300 $2.88 44d 1 0.45mi
401 W Pine Ave Lompoc, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 734 $2,200 $3.00 15d 1 0.66mi
218 N C St Lompoc, CA 2.0 1.0 950 $1,875 $1.97 24d 1 0.67mi
201 Quail Cir Lompoc, CA 3.0 2.5 1475 $2,900 $1.97 15d 1 0.73mi
404 W Barton Ave Unit 2 Lompoc, CA 2.0 1.5 878 $2,200 $2.51 44d 1 0.79mi
324 W Chestnut Ave Lompoc, CA 2.0 2.5 940 $2,600 $2.77 24d 1 0.89mi
922 Oleander St Lompoc, CA 3.0 2.0 1008 $2,500 $2.48 44d 1 0.89mi
408 N M St Unit 408A Lompoc, CA 3.0 1.0 768 $2,295 $2.99 44d 1 0.91mi
321 N L St Unit C Lompoc, CA 2.0 1.0 1100 $2,400 $2.18 24d 1 0.92mi
924 N O St Lompoc, CA 3.0 2.0 1008 $2,300 $2.28 44d 1 0.94mi
804 W Nectarine Ave Lompoc, CA 2.0 1.0 850 $2,200 $2.59 44d 1 0.98mi
423 N N St Lompoc, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $2,200 $2.44 44d 1 0.99mi
214 S F St #2 Lompoc, CA 2.0 1.5 946 $2,500 $2.64 24d 1 1.02mi
812 W Laurel Ave Lompoc, CA 2.0 1.0 800 $2,170 $2.71 15d 2 1.15mi
114 N N St Lompoc, CA 3.0 1.0 1260 $3,200 $2.54 24d 1 1.16mi
928 Aster Ln Lompoc, CA 3.0 2.0 1500 $3,400 $2.27 44d 1 1.18mi
212 W Hickory Ave Lompoc, CA 3.0 1.0 1081 $2,300 $2.13 24d 1 1.21mi
925 W Chestnut Ave Lompoc, CA 2.0 1.0 699 $2,195 $3.14 15d 3 1.21mi
960 W Chestnut Ave Unit 946-D Lompoc, CA 2.0 1.0 800 $2,050 $2.56 24d 1 1.25mi
119 W Locust Ave Unit 111 Lompoc, CA 3.0 2.0 972 $2,695 $2.77 44d 1 1.36mi
71 Village Circle Dr Lompoc, CA 3.0 2.0 1300 $2,545 $1.96 22d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 47 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $119,000 Active 319 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,000 Active 316 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,000 Active 315 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,000 Active 314 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,000 Active 313 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $119,000 Active 311 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,000 Active 310 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $119,000 Active 308 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,000 Active 307 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,000 Active 306 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,000 Active 305 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $119,000 Active 302 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $119,000 Active 301 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,000 Active 300 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,000 Active 299 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,000 Active 298 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $119,000 Active 297 DOM
  18. 2026-05-04
    historical
  19. 2026-03-16
    price $119,000 294-char remark
    Show marketing remark (294 chars)

    Great fully remodeled manufactured home, with first quality materials. New kitchen, new bathroom, new flooring, new windows, new doors, new roof, new paint interior and exterior. Park 55+ community. Very desirable, safe and friendly mobile home park. Close to everything Lompoc has to offer.

  20. 2026-03-16
    price $119,000
    Show marketing remark (294 chars)

    Great fully remodeled manufactured home, with first quality materials. New kitchen, new bathroom, new flooring, new windows, new doors, new roof, new paint interior and exterior. Park 55+ community. Very desirable, safe and friendly mobile home park. Close to everything Lompoc has to offer.

  21. 2025-11-29
    price $129,000 294-char remark
    Show marketing remark (294 chars)

    Great fully remodeled manufactured home, with first quality materials. New kitchen, new bathroom, new flooring, new windows, new doors, new roof, new paint interior and exterior. Park 55+ community. Very desirable, safe and friendly mobile home park. Close to everything Lompoc has to offer.

  22. 2025-11-28
    price $129,000
  23. 2025-11-07
    price $149,900 294-char remark
    Show marketing remark (294 chars)

    Great fully remodeled manufactured home, with first quality materials. New kitchen, new bathroom, new flooring, new windows, new doors, new roof, new paint interior and exterior. Park 55+ community. Very desirable, safe and friendly mobile home park. Close to everything Lompoc has to offer.

  24. 2025-11-07
    price $149,900
    Show marketing remark (294 chars)

    Great fully remodeled manufactured home, with first quality materials. New kitchen, new bathroom, new flooring, new windows, new doors, new roof, new paint interior and exterior. Park 55+ community. Very desirable, safe and friendly mobile home park. Close to everything Lompoc has to offer.

  25. 2025-08-06
    listed $159,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (294 chars)

    Great fully remodeled manufactured home, with first quality materials. New kitchen, new bathroom, new flooring, new windows, new doors, new roof, new paint interior and exterior. Park 55+ community. Very desirable, safe and friendly mobile home park. Close to everything Lompoc has to offer.

  26. 2025-08-06
    listed $159,900 Active 294-char remark
    Show marketing remark (294 chars)

    Great fully remodeled manufactured home, with first quality materials. New kitchen, new bathroom, new flooring, new windows, new doors, new roof, new paint interior and exterior. Park 55+ community. Very desirable, safe and friendly mobile home park. Close to everything Lompoc has to offer.

  27. 2025-05-30
    historical
  28. 2025-05-29
    historical
  29. 2025-01-22
    historical
  30. 2024-11-05
    listed $169,000 Active
  31. 2024-11-04
    listed $169,000 Active
  32. 2024-10-29
    listed $169,000 Active
  33. 2024-04-01
    historical
  34. 2024-04-01
    historical
  35. 2024-01-11
    price $42,000
  36. 2024-01-11
    price $42,000
  37. 2024-01-10
    status Active
  38. 2024-01-07
    status Active
  39. 2024-01-01
    historical
  40. 2024-01-01
    historical
  41. 2023-11-21
    status Active
  42. 2023-11-21
    status Active
  43. 2023-10-22
    historical Contingent
  44. 2023-10-22
    status Pending
  45. 2023-10-11
    price $49,000
  46. 2023-09-20
    listed $49,000 Active
  47. 2023-09-19
    listed $39,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥84°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,135
− Mortgage interest
−$6,666
− Property taxes
−$1,785
− Insurance
−$595
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,411
− Management
−$2,411
− Depreciation
−$3,462
Taxable income
$12,805
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,073
After-tax cash flow
$10,864/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lompoc Unified
NCES district ID
0622410
Math proficiency
29% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$53,716
Composite
34.49/100
National rank
#10135
State rank
#818 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Lompoc

Score
56/100
State rank
#786
US rank
#22552

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime D Employment C Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lompoc, CA
County
Santa Barbara County · 410,380 people
City population
55,820
Metro
Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA
Population (ZIP)
55,820
Household income
$80,097
Rent vs Own
45.3% rent · 54.7% own
Severe rent burden
1845.0

Population outlook (Santa Barbara County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,679 people
By 2030
505,323 · +4.3%
By 2040
545,783 · +12.6%
By 2050
584,263 · +20.5%
By 2075
682,586 · +40.8%
By 2100
723,188 · +49.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 56% White 34% Two or more races 25% Black 3% Asian 3% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 49%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
21% · Canada
Languages at home
59% English-only · Spanish 37% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Santa Barbara

2024 margin
Strong D (+26.7) · D 61.8% · R 35.1% · Other 3.1%
2008→2024 swing
+3.8pp toward D · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 26.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+26.7 2020: D+32.1 2016: D+28.2 2012: D+17.1 2008: D+22.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -574.83%
Current HPI
310.2366
Rent YoY
▲ 3.31%
Metro
Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+205.1% since first listed
30 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Listing Removed SBMLS
  • 2026-03-16 Price Changed $119,000 NSBCRMLS
  • 2026-03-16 Price Changed $119,000 SBMLS
  • 2025-11-29 Price Changed $129,000 NSBCRMLS
  • 2025-11-28 Price Changed $129,000 SBMLS
  • 2025-11-07 Price Changed $149,900 NSBCRMLS
  • 2025-11-07 Price Changed $149,900 SBMLS
  • 2025-08-06 Listed $159,900 NSBCRMLS
  • 2025-08-06 Listed $159,900 SBMLS
  • 2025-05-30 Listing Removed NSBCRMLS
  • 2025-05-29 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2025-01-22 Listing Removed NSBCRMLS
  • 2024-11-05 Listed $169,000 CRMLS
  • 2024-11-04 Listed $169,000 NSBCRMLS
  • 2024-10-29 Listed $169,000 NSBCRMLS
  • 2024-04-01 Listing Removed NSBCRMLS
  • 2024-04-01 Listing Removed SBMLS
  • 2024-01-11 Price Changed $42,000 NSBCRMLS
  • 2024-01-11 Price Changed $42,000 SBMLS
  • 2024-01-10 Relisted NSBCRMLS
  • 2024-01-07 Relisted SBMLS
  • 2024-01-01 Listing Removed NSBCRMLS
  • 2024-01-01 Listing Removed SBMLS
  • 2023-11-21 Relisted NSBCRMLS
  • 2023-11-21 Relisted SBMLS
  • 2023-10-22 Contingent SBMLS
  • 2023-10-22 Pending NSBCRMLS
  • 2023-10-11 Price Changed $49,000 NSBCRMLS
  • 2023-09-20 Listed $49,000 SBMLS
  • 2023-09-19 Listed $39,000 NSBCRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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