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16 Jackson Rd
D+ Composite 48.64
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0

$20,000

16 Jackson Rd · Gurdon, AR 71743
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 864 sqft · SingleFamily · 37 Days on market
Built 1940 Poor condition 0.75 ac lot $23/sqft · 55% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Fixer Upper. Great Lot!

Key facts

  • 0.75 acre lot
  • Built 1940
  • Listed 36 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual taxes around $158

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Septic system; Electric service from a co-op
  • Home design: Single-story frame construction; Approximately 864 square feet
  • Construction: Frame exterior; Crawl space foundation; 3-tab shingle roof; Built on tax-records acreage of about 0.75 acres (225' x 450')
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Paved road access

Interior

  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Carpet and tile flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $20k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $532 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($848 rent vs $20k).
  • Recommended offer: $19k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#74 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
  • Arkadelphia School District (town): math 28% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #167 of 238 in AR (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Louisa Perritt Primary (502 students, 65% FRL); Goza Middle School (math 30% / reading 30%, grade F, #139 of 201 statewide, top 71%, 418 students, 57% FRL); Arkadelphia High School (math 14% / reading 28%, grade F, #228 of 292 statewide, top 79%, 586 students, 46% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $889 of equity ($138 loan paydown + $751 appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($19k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $19,400 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.24%
Cap rate
38.20%
Cash-on-cash
113.95%
DSCR
6.07
GRM
2.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$44,501
List price
$20,000
Delta
-55.06%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
108 Curtis Rd 0.70mi 2/1.0 800 (-7%) 1mo $32,500 $41 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.76% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.63×
Total profit
$37,102
Equity at exit
$9,856
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
15.94×
Total profit
$83,662
Equity at exit
$15,897

Cash invested: $5,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 71743

Home prices YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
22
Price-to-rent
2.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$848 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$105
Tax est. 1.5%
$25 /mo · $300/yr
Insurance
$8
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$178
Net cashflow
$532

Break-even live

Break-even rent $175
Max offer price $20,000
Occupancy floor 32%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $546 -5% $539 +0% $532 +5% $525 +10% $518
Rent -10% $465 -5% $498 +0% $532 +5% $565 +10% $599
Rate -1.0pp $542 -0.5pp $537 base $532 +0.5pp $527 +1.0pp $521

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$5,000
Closing costs
$600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $20,000 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $20,000 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $20,000 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $20,000 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $20,000 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $20,000 Active 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $20,000 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $20,000 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $20,000 Active 25 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $20,000 Active 24 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $20,000 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $20,000 Active 22 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $20,000 Active 19 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $20,000 Active 18 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $20,000 Active 17 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $20,000 Active 16 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $20,000 Active 15 DOM
  18. 2026-05-15
    listed $20,000 New Listing 23-char remark
    Show marketing remark (23 chars)

    Fixer Upper. Great Lot!

  19. 2026-05-15
    listed $20,000 Active 23-char remark
    Show marketing remark (23 chars)

    Fixer Upper. Great Lot!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,177
− Mortgage interest
−$1,120
− Property taxes
−$300
− Insurance
−$100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$814
− Management
−$814
− Depreciation
−$582
Taxable income
$6,447
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,547
After-tax cash flow
$4,834/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This property requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including roof and siding work, to become move-in ready. Landscaping and curb appeal improvements are also needed to increase its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — Signs of significant damage
  • Major exterior siding — Severe peeling and weathering
  • Major landscaping — Overgrown vegetation needs trimming

Value-add opportunities

  • Both landscaping and trimming — Improves curb appeal and property value
  • Both roof repair — Essential for structural integrity and safety
  • Both exterior siding repair — Enhances property appearance and value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
roof · Signs of significant damage Major $15,000–50,000
exterior siding · Severe peeling and weathering Major $15,000–50,000
landscaping · Overgrown vegetation needs trimming Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $45,000–150,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both landscaping and trimming — Improves curb appeal and property value
  • Both roof repair — Essential for structural integrity and safety
  • Both exterior siding repair — Enhances property appearance and value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Arkadelphia School District
NCES district ID
0502430
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$35,116
Composite
23.13/100
National rank
#7954
State rank
#167 of 238 in AR

Livability — Gurdon

Score
69/100
State rank
#74
US rank
#8878

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,252

Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
22,335 people
By 2030
22,306 · -0.1%
By 2040
21,839 · -2.2%
By 2050
21,961 · -1.7%
By 2075
24,186 · +8.3%
By 2100
25,897 · +15.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 7% Slovak 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Clark

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.5) · D 38.6% · R 59.1% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-16.7pp toward R · 2008: -3.8pp · 2024: -20.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.5 2020: R+14.0 2016: R+9.5 2012: R+6.4 2008: R+3.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.76%
Current HPI
149.1405
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $20,000 HSBOR
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $20,000 CARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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