139 Highland Ave · Claysville, PA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.13%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$14,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor Alert! 3 bedroom, covered front porch, newer hot water heater, newer electric panel, spacious updated bathroom, house partially updated with open floor plan, renovation work started. Big rear yard. Being sold in as-is condition.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Newer electric panel
- Open floor plan
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $15k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $944 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $15k).
- Recommended offer: $15k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#1,055 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Mcguffey SD (rural): math 26% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #370 of 539 in PA (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 489 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $103 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $447 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($15k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 8.90% ✓
- Cap rate
- 82.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 271.59%
- DSCR
- 13.08
- GRM
- 0.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $167,184
- List price
- $14,900
- Delta
- -91.09%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 107 Green St | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,210 (+1%) | 20mo | $170,000 | $140 | 70 |
| 115 Highland Ave | 0.06mi | 3/1.5 | 1,360 (+14%) | 10mo | $174,900 | $129 | 64 |
| 202 State Route 231 | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 1,248 (+4%) | 6mo | $130,000 | $104 | 52 |
| 6 7th St | 0.72mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,120 (-6%) | 10mo | $155,000 | $138 | 39 |
| 8 7th St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,160 (-3%) | 23mo | $145,000 | $125 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 14.84×
- Total profit
- $57,744
- Equity at exit
- $2,222
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 31.63×
- Total profit
- $127,802
- Equity at exit
- $1,288
Cash invested: $4,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15323
- Home prices YoY
- -21.6%
- Active inventory
- 15
- Price-to-rent
- 0.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,326 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$78
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$19 /mo · $224/yr
- Insurance
- −$6
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$278
- Net cashflow
- $944
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $3,725
- Closing costs
- $447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-08status Active 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
Investor Alert! 3 bedroom, covered front porch, newer hot water heater, newer electric panel, spacious updated bathroom, house partially updated with open floor plan, renovation work started. Big rear yard. Being sold in as-is condition.
-
2026-03-16status Pending 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
Investor Alert! 3 bedroom, covered front porch, newer hot water heater, newer electric panel, spacious updated bathroom, house partially updated with open floor plan, renovation work started. Big rear yard. Being sold in as-is condition.
-
2026-03-11$14,900 Active 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
Investor Alert! 3 bedroom, covered front porch, newer hot water heater, newer electric panel, spacious updated bathroom, house partially updated with open floor plan, renovation work started. Big rear yard. Being sold in as-is condition.
-
2025-11-25price $17,900
-
2025-11-13price $19,900
-
2025-10-28price $24,900
-
2025-10-09price $27,900
-
2025-09-26price $32,900
-
2025-07-31price $34,900
-
2025-07-23$44,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,907
- − Mortgage interest
- −$835
- − Property taxes
- −$224
- − Insurance
- −$74
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,273
- − Management
- −$1,273
- − Depreciation
- −$433
- Taxable income
- $11,796
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,831
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,500/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mcguffey SD
- NCES district ID
- 4214880
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,454
- Composite
- 32.95/100
- National rank
- #5590
- State rank
- #370 of 539 in PA
Livability — Claysville
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #1055
- US rank
- #11895
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Claysville, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,837
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 208,060 people
- By 2030
- 207,168 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 202,738 · -2.6%
- By 2050
- 195,269 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 175,588 · -15.6%
- By 2100
- 145,827 · -29.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 8% Romanian 7% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.5) · D 36.9% · R 62.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.7pp · 2024: -25.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.5 2020: R+22.8 2016: R+25.3 2012: R+13.3 2008: R+4.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -42.25%
- Current HPI
- 153.6844
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-66.8% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Relisted — West Penn MLS
- 2026-03-16 Pending — West Penn MLS
- 2026-03-11 Listed $14,900 West Penn MLS
- 2025-11-25 Price Changed $17,900 West Penn MLS
- 2025-11-13 Price Changed $19,900 West Penn MLS
- 2025-10-28 Price Changed $24,900 West Penn MLS
- 2025-10-09 Price Changed $27,900 West Penn MLS
- 2025-09-26 Price Changed $32,900 West Penn MLS
- 2025-07-31 Price Changed $34,900 West Penn MLS
- 2025-07-23 Listed $44,900 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2026): $1,413 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…