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139 Highland Ave
D Composite 44.09
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$14,900

139 Highland Ave · Claysville, PA 15323
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,196 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 24 Days on market
Built 1900 5,000 sqft lot $12/sqft · 91% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor Alert! 3 bedroom, covered front porch, newer hot water heater, newer electric panel, spacious updated bathroom, house partially updated with open floor plan, renovation work started. Big rear yard. Being sold in as-is condition.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Newer electric panel
  • Open floor plan

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHNEWER HOT WATER HEATERNEWER ELECTRIC PANELSPACIOUS UPDATED BATHROOMOPEN FLOOR PLANBIG REAR YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $15k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $944 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $15k).
  • Recommended offer: $15k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#1,055 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Mcguffey SD (rural): math 26% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #370 of 539 in PA (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 489 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $103 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $447 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Washington County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($15k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $14,676 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
8.90%
Cap rate
82.34%
Cash-on-cash
271.59%
DSCR
13.08
GRM
0.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$167,184
List price
$14,900
Delta
-91.09%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
107 Green St 0.12mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,210 (+1%) 20mo $170,000 $140 70
115 Highland Ave 0.06mi 3/1.5 1,360 (+14%) 10mo $174,900 $129 64
202 State Route 231 0.74mi 3/1.5 1,248 (+4%) 6mo $130,000 $104 52
6 7th St 0.72mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,120 (-6%) 10mo $155,000 $138 39
8 7th St 0.72mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,160 (-3%) 23mo $145,000 $125 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
14.84×
Total profit
$57,744
Equity at exit
$2,222
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
31.63×
Total profit
$127,802
Equity at exit
$1,288

Cash invested: $4,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15323

Home prices YoY
-21.6%
Active inventory
15
Price-to-rent
0.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,326 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$78
Tax est. 1.5%
$19 /mo · $224/yr
Insurance
$6
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$278
Net cashflow
$944

Break-even live

Break-even rent $130
Max offer price $14,900
Occupancy floor 24%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$3,725
Closing costs
$447
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-05-08
    status Active 237-char remark
    Show marketing remark (237 chars)

    Investor Alert! 3 bedroom, covered front porch, newer hot water heater, newer electric panel, spacious updated bathroom, house partially updated with open floor plan, renovation work started. Big rear yard. Being sold in as-is condition.

  2. 2026-03-16
    status Pending 237-char remark
    Show marketing remark (237 chars)

    Investor Alert! 3 bedroom, covered front porch, newer hot water heater, newer electric panel, spacious updated bathroom, house partially updated with open floor plan, renovation work started. Big rear yard. Being sold in as-is condition.

  3. 2026-03-11
    listed $14,900 Active 237-char remark
    Show marketing remark (237 chars)

    Investor Alert! 3 bedroom, covered front porch, newer hot water heater, newer electric panel, spacious updated bathroom, house partially updated with open floor plan, renovation work started. Big rear yard. Being sold in as-is condition.

  4. 2025-11-25
    price $17,900
  5. 2025-11-13
    price $19,900
  6. 2025-10-28
    price $24,900
  7. 2025-10-09
    price $27,900
  8. 2025-09-26
    price $32,900
  9. 2025-07-31
    price $34,900
  10. 2025-07-23
    listed $44,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,907
− Mortgage interest
−$835
− Property taxes
−$224
− Insurance
−$74
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,273
− Management
−$1,273
− Depreciation
−$433
Taxable income
$11,796
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,831
After-tax cash flow
$8,500/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mcguffey SD
NCES district ID
4214880
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$56,454
Composite
32.95/100
National rank
#5590
State rank
#370 of 539 in PA

Livability — Claysville

Score
66/100
State rank
#1055
US rank
#11895

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Claysville, PA
Population (ZIP)
3,837

Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
208,060 people
By 2030
207,168 · -0.4%
By 2040
202,738 · -2.6%
By 2050
195,269 · -6.1%
By 2075
175,588 · -15.6%
By 2100
145,827 · -29.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 8% Romanian 7% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
99% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Washington

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.5) · D 36.9% · R 62.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.7pp · 2024: -25.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.5 2020: R+22.8 2016: R+25.3 2012: R+13.3 2008: R+4.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -42.25%
Current HPI
153.6844
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-66.8% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Relisted West Penn MLS
  • 2026-03-16 Pending West Penn MLS
  • 2026-03-11 Listed $14,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-11-25 Price Changed $17,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-11-13 Price Changed $19,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-10-28 Price Changed $24,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-10-09 Price Changed $27,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-09-26 Price Changed $32,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-07-31 Price Changed $34,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-07-23 Listed $44,900 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,413 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…