248 W 200 S · Ephraim, UT
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +6.5/30.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +0.8/10.0
- 1% rule +0.7/10.0
$415,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Well-maintained home in the heart of Ephraim with a spacious lot and room to grow. Enjoy single-level living with no-step entry, vaulted ceilings, and an open, bright layout that's easy to live in. The main living area flows seamlessly into the kitchen and dining space, creating a comfortable setting for everyday living and entertaining. The basement offers a great start toward completion, giving you the opportunity to finish it the way you want and add value over time. Located in a quiet neighborhood just minutes from Snow College and local amenities, this home offers a great balance of comfort, flexibility, and small-town living. Square footage figures are provided as a courtesy estimate
Key facts
- Main living area
- Open layout
- Single-level living
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Subdivision: Hidden Creek Subdivision
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Total 2 parking spaces (2 covered)
- Utilities: Natural gas connected; Electricity connected; Public sewer; Water connected (culinary)
- Home design: Rambler/Ranch style; Single-family property; Built/standing
- Construction: Stone and stucco exterior; Asphalt roof; Full basement
- Exterior features: Full landscaping
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Range/oven; Range hood; Garbage disposal
- Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas central); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Walk-in closet; Garbage disposal; Free-standing range/oven; Ceiling fans; Microwave; Range hood
- Laundry & utility: Basement utility space (full basement, approximately 60% finished)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $415k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-695 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $292k (29.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $236k (43.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $236k (43.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#71 in UT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living B+; Watch: employment C-, amenities D+, commute F.
- South Sanpete District (town): math 40% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #48 of 80 in UT (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Ephraim School (math 61% / reading 49%, grade C, #99 of 585 statewide, top 18%, 527 students, 50% FRL); Ephraim Middle (math 38% / reading 44%, grade F, #66 of 138 statewide, top 49%, 494 students, 44% FRL); Manti High (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #78 of 171 statewide, top 49%, 693 students, 36% FRL).
- Market conditions: 48 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 266 units permitted in Sanpete County in 2024 (44 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $44k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $42k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Sanpete County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$71k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.57% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.18%
- DSCR
- 0.68
- GRM
- 14.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.56×
- Total profit
- $181,572
- Equity at exit
- $373,865
- IRR
- 17.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.90×
- Total profit
- $569,225
- Equity at exit
- $806,254
Cash invested: $116,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Utah
- 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 84627
- Home prices YoY
- 4.5%
- Active inventory
- 48
- Price-to-rent
- 14.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,359 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,176
- Tax from tax record
- −$210 /mo · $2,516/yr
- Insurance
- −$173
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$495
- Net cashflow
- $-695
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-461 | -5% $-578 | +0% $-695 | +5% $-813 | +10% $-930 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-882 | -5% $-789 | +0% $-695 | +5% $-602 | +10% $-509 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-486 | -0.5pp $-590 | base $-695 | +0.5pp $-803 | +1.0pp $-912 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $103,750
- Closing costs
- $12,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 267 E 300 N Ephraim, UT | 6.0 | 2.5 | 2050 | $2,200 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 165 W 700 N Ephraim, UT | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2800 | $2,500 | $0.89 | 3d | 1 | 1.08mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-28status Under Contract
-
2026-04-24$415,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast UT · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,516 · $210/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,739 · $228/mo
- Expected delta
- +$223/yr (+$19/mo · 8.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,305
- − Mortgage interest
- −$23,246
- − Property taxes
- −$2,516
- − Insurance
- −$2,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,264
- − Management
- −$2,264
- − Depreciation
- −$12,073
- Taxable loss
- −$16,134
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,872
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,473/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- South Sanpete District
- NCES district ID
- 4900960
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,193
- Composite
- 34.77/100
- National rank
- #5125
- State rank
- #48 of 80 in UT
Livability — Ephraim
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #71
- US rank
- #5220
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ephraim, UT
- City population
- 6,151
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,151
Population outlook (Sanpete County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 32,031 people
- By 2030
- 33,542 · +4.7%
- By 2040
- 36,370 · +13.5%
- By 2050
- 38,856 · +21.3%
- By 2075
- 42,939 · +34.1%
- By 2100
- 42,841 · +33.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 8% Scottish 5% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sanpete
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+67.6) · D 14.7% · R 82.3% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.2pp toward R · 2008: -57.4pp · 2024: -67.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+67.6 2020: R+68.6 2016: R+55.3 2012: R+78.1 2008: R+57.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 15.65%
- Current HPI
- 364.02
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.54%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in UT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $3B |
|
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Pending — WFRMLS
- 2026-04-24 Listed $415,000 WFRMLS
Property tax history
+25.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,516 · -0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…