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340 Lincoln Ave
B Composite 74.49
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

340 Lincoln Ave · Macon-Bibb County, GA 31201
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,302 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 26 Days on market
Built 1942 4,356 sqft lot Est $117k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Historic fixer upper in Macon. Great for investors or anyone looking for some sweat equity. Bring your imagination and make an offer. Please use caution when viewing. NO SELLER DISCLOSURES. Sold as-is.

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • Built 1942
  • Listed 25 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions: Use GPS; Located in Bibb County, GA
  • HOA & community: Association fees billed annually

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking; Open parking available
  • Utilities: Water available; Sewer available; Electricity available (110 volts); Natural gas available; Cable and phone available
  • Home design: One-story property; Wood siding exterior; Shingle roof; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Wood siding construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Property listed in fixer condition
  • Exterior features: Front porch; City street frontage; Asphalt road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen features not detailed
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level; No special bedroom features listed
  • Flooring: Flooring type not specified
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; No master bathroom features listed
  • Heating & cooling: Heating: not specified; Cooling: not specified
  • Interior features: No shared/common walls; Home listed as a fixer
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry features not detailed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $467 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $74k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.8% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Miller Magnet Middle School (math 16% / reading 33%, grade F, #301 of 470 statewide, top 66%, 585 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 75% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 75 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,334/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($29k/yr) (locally 1124% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 65% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $73,875 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.78%
Cap rate
13.77%
Cash-on-cash
26.71%
DSCR
2.19
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$117,180
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
395 Lincoln Ave 0.10mi 3/1.0 1,164 (-11%) 2mo $33,000 $28 76
2005 Third Ave 0.18mi 3/1.0 1,456 (+12%) 7mo $39,000 $27 66
2199 Neal Ave 0.31mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,300 (-0%) 16mo $10,500 $8 63
1935 Northbrook Ave 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,224 (-6%) 10mo $110,000 $90 62
2186 Neal Ave 0.28mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,177 (-10%) 5mo $25,000 $21 61
2485 Carlton Way 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,300 (-0%) 2mo $255,000 $196 60
213 Rogers Ave 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,320 (+1%) 19mo $180,000 $136 59
2120 Mutual Ave 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,149 (-12%) 14mo $86,481 $75 56
334 Rogers Ave 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,368 (+5%) 12mo $150,000 $110 54
260 Ryals Ave 0.68mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,368 (+5%) 6mo $110,000 $80 46
2349 Berthadale Ave 0.67mi 3/2.5 1,184 (-9%) 5mo $158,000 $133 44
2423 Carlton Way 0.64mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,168 (-10%) 8mo $192,500 $165 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.11% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.8%
Equity multiple
1.85×
Total profit
$17,823
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
29.0%
Equity multiple
3.61×
Total profit
$54,707
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31201

Rents YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
75
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,334 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$162 /mo · $1,939/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$280
Net cashflow
$467

Break-even live

Break-even rent $742
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
285 Moughon St Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1015 $900 $0.89 13d 1 0.17mi
1930 Northbrook Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1071 $1,400 $1.31 13d 1 0.36mi
1930 Northbrook Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1071 $1,400 $1.31 44d 1 0.36mi
2259 Robin Lyn Ct Macon, GA 2.0 3.0 1560 $1,295 $0.83 44d 1 0.42mi
2259 Robin Lyn Ct Unit 31204 Macon, GA 2.0 2.5 1560 $1,295 $0.83 44d 1 0.42mi
2261 Robin Lyn Ct Unit 31204 Macon, GA 2.0 2.5 1560 $1,295 $0.83 44d 1 0.43mi
2261 Robin Lyn Ct Macon, GA 2.0 3.0 1560 $1,295 $0.83 44d 1 0.43mi
2063 Vineville Ave Unit N5 Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1169 $1,200 $1.03 21d 1 0.43mi
440 Bonnie Dr Macon, GA 2.0 1.5 1192 $1,700 $1.43 44d 1 0.43mi
2269 Robin Lyn Ct Unit 31204 Macon, GA 3.0 2.5 1560 $1,375 $0.88 21d 1 0.44mi
2269 Robin Lyn Ct Macon, GA 3.0 3.0 1560 $1,375 $0.88 21d 1 0.44mi
1975 Vineville Ave Macon, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0 1050 $950 $0.90 21d 5 0.48mi
328 Rogers Ave Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1355 $1,200 $0.89 44d 1 0.48mi
425 Rogers Ave Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1646 $1,375 $0.84 13d 1 0.51mi
1417 Woodliff St Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 908 $1,100 $1.21 21d 1 0.51mi
130 Calloway Dr Macon, GA 2.0 2.0 950 $950 $1.00 44d 1 0.62mi
2350 English Ave Apt 3D Macon, GA 3.0 1.5 980 $1,095 $1.12 44d 1 0.65mi
391 Madison St Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1236 $1,350 $1.09 13d 1 0.68mi
185 Oak Haven Ave Apt A4 Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 21d 1 0.73mi
347 College St Macon, GA 2.0 1.0–2.0 725 $2,600 $3.59 13d 4 0.73mi
147 Orange St Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,695 $1.13 13d 1 0.79mi
218 Orange St Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,300 $1.18 21d 1 0.81mi
1249 Duncan Ave Unit C Macon, GA 2.0 2.0 900 $795 $0.88 44d 1 0.96mi
952 Georgia Ave Macon, GA 2.0 2.0 1115 $1,295 $1.16 44d 1 1.01mi
952 Georgia Ave Unit 3 Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 900 $950 $1.06 13d 1 1.01mi
2154 Napier Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1344 $1,400 $1.04 21d 1 1.02mi
2755 Vineville Ave Unit B Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 900 $1,375 $1.53 44d 1 1.08mi
384 Spring St Unit 1 Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 44d 1 1.08mi
850 Parkview Ct Macon, GA 3.0 2.5 1520 $1,700 $1.12 44d 1 1.16mi
850 Parkview Ct Macon, GA 3.0 2.5 1520 $1,700 $1.12 21d 1 1.16mi
813 Forsyth St Unit C Macon, GA 2.0 2.0 1105 $1,400 $1.27 13d 1 1.19mi
1268 College St Unit 1 Macon, GA 2.0 2.0 1500 $1,730 $1.15 44d 1 1.20mi
1232 Shamrock St Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1282 $1,700 $1.33 13d 1 1.23mi
867 Orange Ter Unit B Macon, GA 2.0 2.0 1088 $1,400 $1.29 44d 1 1.25mi
867 Orange Ter #2 Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 1088 $1,500 $1.38 44d 1 1.25mi
1227 Calhoun St Macon, GA 2.0 1.5 1212 $1,200 $0.99 44d 1 1.31mi
1025 Hillyer Ave Macon, GA 4.0 2.0 1738 $1,800 $1.04 44d 1 1.31mi
1025 Hillyer Ave Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1738 $1,800 $1.04 21d 1 1.31mi
484 1st St #300 Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 1400 $1,625 $1.16 13d 1 1.32mi
957 New St Macon, GA 2.0 1.5 1200 $1,050 $0.88 13d 1 1.32mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $75,000 Active 26 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $75,000 Active 25 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 24 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $75,000 Active 23 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 22 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $75,000 Active 20 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 19 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $75,000 Active 17 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,000 Active 16 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 15 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,000 Active 14 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $75,000 Active 10 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,000 Active 9 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 8 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 7 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $75,000 Active 6 DOM
  17. 2026-05-22
    listed $75,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,939 · $162/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,939 · $162/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 65% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,003
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,939
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,280
− Management
−$1,280
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$4,745
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,139
After-tax cash flow
$4,469/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bibb County
NCES district ID
1300420
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$37,426
Composite
12.13/100
National rank
#9654
State rank
#161 of 174 in GA

Livability — Macon-Bibb County

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Macon-Bibb County, GA
County
Bibb County · 164,332 people
City population
143,186
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
Population (ZIP)
7,891
Household income
$29,420
Rent vs Own
76.0% rent · 24.0% own
Severe rent burden
1124.0

Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
148,772 people
By 2030
145,904 · -1.9%
By 2040
139,404 · -6.3%
By 2050
131,603 · -11.5%
By 2075
111,050 · -25.4%
By 2100
83,346 · -44.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 31% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bibb

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
2008→2024 swing
+4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -142.32%
Current HPI
100.04
Rent YoY
▲ 3.11%
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $75,000 FMLS

Property tax history

+17.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,939 · -3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…