🏷️ Likely Rental
348 Pleasure Lake Ln · Ocilla, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment opportunity. Well kept and maintained mobile home sitting on a water lot at Pleasure Lake. 3 bedrooms and 2 baths, large deck. , newer appliances. New HVAC in 2020. Long term tenant in place , paying 850.00
Key facts
- Large deck
- New hvac
- Newer appliances
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $371 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#239 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Irwin County (rural): math 37% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #57 of 174 in GA (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 32 units permitted in Irwin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Irwin County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $33k; list at $80k implies a 142% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.91%
- DSCR
- 1.89
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $102,668
- List price
- $79,900
- Delta
- -22.18%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.48×
- Total profit
- $10,710
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 21.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.78×
- Total profit
- $39,838
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31774
- Home prices YoY
- -10.5%
- Active inventory
- 23
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,169 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$100 /mo · $1,198/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$245
- Net cashflow
- $371
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $79,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $79,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $79,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $79,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $79,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $79,900 223-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
Great investment opportunity. Well kept and maintained mobile home sitting on a water lot at Pleasure Lake. 3 bedrooms and 2 baths, large deck., newer appliances. New HVAC in 2020. Long term tenant in place , paying 850.00. You can purchase a share in and have access to the beautiful cypress lake for a one time fee of 450.00. Great fishing, boating and family entertainment.
-
2026-05-13price $79,900 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
Great investment opportunity. Well kept and maintained mobile home sitting on a water lot at Pleasure Lake. 3 bedrooms and 2 baths, large deck., newer appliances. New HVAC in 2020. Long term tenant in place , paying 850.00. You can purchase a share in and have access to the beautiful cypress lake for a one time fee of 450.00. Great fishing, boating and family entertainment.
-
2026-04-22$89,900 New 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (223 chars)
Great investment opportunity. Well kept and maintained mobile home sitting on a water lot at Pleasure Lake. 3 bedrooms and 2 baths, large deck. , newer appliances. New HVAC in 2020. Long term tenant in place , paying 850.00
-
2026-04-22$89,900 Active 223-char remark
Show marketing remark (223 chars)
Great investment opportunity. Well kept and maintained mobile home sitting on a water lot at Pleasure Lake. 3 bedrooms and 2 baths, large deck. , newer appliances. New HVAC in 2020. Long term tenant in place , paying 850.00
-
2018-01-04soldstatus $33,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,025
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$1,198
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,122
- − Management
- −$1,122
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $3,383
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$812
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,642/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Irwin County
- NCES district ID
- 1302910
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,963
- Composite
- 31.18/100
- National rank
- #6047
- State rank
- #57 of 174 in GA
Livability — Ocilla
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #239
- US rank
- #13595
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,788
Population outlook (Irwin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 8,644 people
- By 2030
- 8,322 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 7,634 · -11.7%
- By 2050
- 6,990 · -19.1%
- By 2075
- 5,885 · -31.9%
- By 2100
- 5,006 · -42.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (57%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Black 39% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Irwin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+54.2) · D 22.7% · R 76.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.4pp toward R · 2008: -36.8pp · 2024: -54.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+54.2 2020: R+51.0 2016: R+49.8 2012: R+37.6 2008: R+36.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -25.44%
- Current HPI
- 216.6609
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+142.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $79,900 TBOR
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $79,900 GAMLS
- 2026-04-22 Listed $89,900 TBOR
- 2026-04-22 Listed $89,900 GAMLS
- 2018-01-04 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.9%/yrLatest (2024): $148 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…