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12 Hancock Rd
A Composite 87.93
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$72,500

12 Hancock Rd · Chenango Bridge, NY 13833
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,660 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 45 Days on market
Built 1920 1.35 ac lot $44/sqft · 38% below area Est $117k · 38% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great spring/Summer project! This Farmhouse on 2.35 acres offers lots or room both inside and out! Large kitchen, good size bedrooms, a first floor laundry room with pantry shelves. First floor bathroom off the kitchen and one upstairs! Space everywhere you look! Chenango Valley school district. Close by vehicle to the City of Binghamton. No owner financing or rent to own here. Special addendums may apply. Home is being sold as is.

Key facts

  • City of binghamton
  • Pantry shelves
  • 2.35 acres

Tags

2.35 ACRESFIRST FLOOR LAUNDRY ROOMPANTRY SHELVESCITY OF BINGHAMTON

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage; No driveway
  • Utilities: Utilities/heating referenced in remarks
  • Home design: 2-story residence; Existing property (resale)
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Stone foundation
  • Exterior features: Irregular, rural lot; Lot dimensions approximately 70 x 75; Lot area about 1.35 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Country-style kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Total of 7 rooms including a bonus room
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heating details listed in remarks
  • Interior features: Country kitchen; Partial basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $72k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $622 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $72k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.6% vs local median 4.0% in Chenango Bridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#505 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-, employment B+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Chenango Valley Central School District (suburban): math 47% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #339 of 590 in NY (top 58%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 340 units permitted in Broome County in 2024 (269 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($501 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Broome County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $70,325 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.96%
Cap rate
16.58%
Cash-on-cash
36.75%
DSCR
2.64
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$117,475
List price
$72,500
Delta
-38.28%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
52.6%
Equity multiple
4.90×
Total profit
$79,107
Equity at exit
$65,314
10-year hold
IRR
46.2%
Equity multiple
10.94×
Total profit
$201,858
Equity at exit
$140,852

Cash invested: $20,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13833

Home prices YoY
15.7%
Active inventory
14
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,421 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$380
Tax est. 1.5%
$91 /mo · $1,088/yr
Insurance
$30
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$298
Net cashflow
$622

Break-even live

Break-even rent $634
Max offer price $72,500
Occupancy floor 51%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,125
Closing costs
$2,175
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $72,500 Active 45 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $72,500 Active 44 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $72,500 Active 43 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $72,500 Active 42 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $72,500 Active 41 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $72,500 Active 39 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $72,500 Active 38 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $72,500 Active 36 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $72,500 Active 35 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    pricedays on market $72,500 Active 34 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,900 Active 33 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $79,900 Active 29 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,900 Active 28 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,900 Active 27 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,900 Active 26 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $79,900 Active 25 DOM
  17. 2026-05-05
    listed $79,900 Active 437-char remark
  18. 2024-03-03
    status Pending
  19. 2023-11-09
    status Active
  20. 2023-11-08
    price $45,000
  21. 2023-10-24
    price $59,900
  22. 2023-05-09
    listed $70,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,055
− Mortgage interest
−$4,061
− Property taxes
−$1,088
− Insurance
−$362
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,364
− Management
−$1,364
− Depreciation
−$2,109
Taxable income
$6,706
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,609
After-tax cash flow
$5,852/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chenango Valley Central School District
NCES district ID
3607290
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$53,938
Composite
44.78/100
National rank
#2745
State rank
#339 of 590 in NY

Livability — Chenango Bridge

Score
69/100
State rank
#505
US rank
#8828

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A- Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,176

Population outlook (Broome County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
187,989 people
By 2030
183,066 · -2.6%
By 2040
172,228 · -8.4%
By 2050
163,161 · -13.2%
By 2075
153,641 · -18.3%
By 2100
140,851 · -25.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Broome

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.2% · R 49.8%
2008→2024 swing
-7.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.0pp · 2024: 0.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.4 2020: D+3.5 2016: R+3.7 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+8.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 40.75%
Current HPI
300.1045
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+3.6% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-07 Price Changed $72,500 UNYREIS
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $79,900 UNYREIS
  • 2024-03-03 Pending GBAOR
  • 2023-11-09 Relisted GBAOR
  • 2023-11-08 Price Changed $45,000 GBAOR
  • 2023-10-24 Price Changed $59,900 GBAOR
  • 2023-05-09 Listed $70,000 GBAOR

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,772 · -3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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