38349 Cottonwood Pl #1 · Zephyrhills, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.0/15.0
- Cash flow +11.3/30.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +1.6/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
38349 Cottonwood Pl #1 · Zephyrhills, FL 33542
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,094 sqft · Condo
· 91 Days on market
55+ age-restricted
Built 1987
$133/sqft
· 10% below area
Est $161k · 10% under
$345/mo HOA · 23% of rent
↓ 18% since listing
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
PRICE REDUCED AGAIN!!!! Welcome to Driftwood Condominiums, a highly sought-after 55+ gated community offering the perfect blend of comfort, convenience, and maintenance-free living. This move-in ready 2-bedroom, 2-bath end-unit condo has been beautifully maintained and thoughtfully cared for, featuring stylish ceramic tile flooring throughout. The open-concept living and dining areas create a bright, seamless space ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. Both bedrooms are generously sized and easily accommodate queen-sized furnishings, while the primary suite features a spacious walk-in closet for ample storage.
Key facts
- $345 HOA
- Parking
- Community pool
Neighborhood map
Sold within
Property
Rental comp
Retail
Costco
Walmart
Transit
Schools
Stadiums
Fortune 500
· Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $145k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-175 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $120k (17.5% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $145k).
- Recommended offer: $120k (17.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 3.9% in Zephyrhills — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#330 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Woodland Elementary School (math 30% / reading 31%, grade F, #1,862 of 2,144 statewide, top 88%, 802 students, 82% FRL); Raymond B. Stewart Middle School (math 33% / reading 30%, grade F, #453 of 571 statewide, top 81%, 988 students, 77% FRL); Zephyrhills High School (math 35% / reading 37%, grade F, #359 of 667 statewide, top 55%, 1,656 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 48% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 33% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Pasco average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.6%/yr); 423 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 56d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 65% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 23% of rent.
Recommended offer
$119,635
(17.5% below list)
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 4.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.18%
- DSCR
- 0.77
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $161,132
- List price
- $145,000
- Delta
- -10.01%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38644 Remora Ave | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 | 1,128 (+3%) | 1mo | $65,500 | $58 | 80 |
| 38237 Eucalyptus Dr | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 | 1,201 (+10%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $154 | 78 |
| 38460 Cottonwood Pl #38460 | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 1,216 (+11%) | 0mo | $173,000 | $142 | 77 |
| 6212 18th St | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 | 1,068 (-2%) | 1mo | $254,000 | $238 | 65 |
| 7450 23rd St | 1.21mi | 2/2.0 | 1,140 (+4%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $184 | 57 |
| 37443 Redberry Ct | 1.25mi | 2/2.0 | 1,185 (+8%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $177 | 50 |
| 37732 Cecil Ln | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,040 (-5%) | 0mo | $180,000 | $173 | 48 |
| 38831 North Ave | 0.79mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (-9%) | 0mo | $215,000 | $215 | 41 |
| 38619 Trellis Ave | 0.76mi | 2/2.0 | 1,365 (+25%) | 0mo | $287,000 | $210 | 40 |
| 5623 Carie Ct | 1.44mi | 2/2.0 | 1,272 (+16%) | 1mo | $259,999 | $204 | 39 |
| 5625 23rd St | 1.32mi | 2/2.0 | 1,334 (+22%) | 1mo | $265,000 | $199 | 39 |
| 39132 County Road 54 #2130 | 0.79mi | 2/2.0 | 864 (-21%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $75 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
5-year hold
- IRR
- -29.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.04×
- Total profit
- $-38,773
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
10-year hold
- IRR
- -60.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.58×
- Total profit
- $-63,986
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.
ZIP-level market 33542
- Home prices YoY
- -20.6%
- Rents YoY
- -3.6%
- Active inventory
- 423
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
↻
- Estimated rent
- $1,483 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$181 /mo · $2,175/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$345
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$311
- Net cashflow
- $-175
Break-even live
Break-even rent
$1,705
Max offer price
$119,635
Occupancy floor
—
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-75 | -5% $-125 | +0% $-175 | +5% $-225 | +10% $-276 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-292 | -5% $-234 | +0% $-175 | +5% $-117 | +10% $-58 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-102 | -0.5pp $-138 | base $-175 | +0.5pp $-213 | +1.0pp $-251 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38350 Ironwood Pl #5 Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1094 | $1,400 | $1.28 | 32d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 6788 Basswood Cir Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1067 | $1,250 | $1.17 | 120d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 6788 Basswood Cir Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1067 | $1,650 | $1.55 | 32d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 38485 County Road 54 Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 120d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 38300 Henry Dr Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,450 | $1.26 | 10d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 38070 Daughtery Rd Unit 37710 Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $1,520 | $1.55 | 32d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 38748 Calumet Ave Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,050 | $1.40 | 82d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 6206 Daerr Ridge St Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1386 | $1,850 | $1.33 | 0d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 6136 Pina Colada St Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1386 | $2,100 | $1.52 | 108d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 6195 Daerr Ridge St Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1386 | $2,000 | $1.44 | 113d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 6035 10th St Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,650 | $2.12 | 89d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 6175 Daerr Ridge St Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1386 | $2,200 | $1.59 | 2d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 38839 Miller Ave Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1088 | $1,700 | $1.56 | 0d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 37826 Daughtery Rd Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 720 | $1,295 | $1.80 | 10d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 37814 Daughtery Rd Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,250 | $1.17 | 89d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 38647 Rose Ln Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 814 | $1,300 | $1.60 | 78d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 38112 Townview Ave Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 32d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 38112 Townview Ave Zephyrhills, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,100 | $1.57 | 120d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 38621 Rose Ln Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,395 | $1.34 | 32d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 37732 Cecil Ln Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,800 | $1.73 | 120d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 6246 20th St Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1029 | $1,450 | $1.41 | 84d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 39132 County Road 54 Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 864 | $1,295 | $1.50 | 3d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 5932 15th St Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1326 | $1,700 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 39132 County Rd Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 864 | $1,500 | $1.74 | 120d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 37661 Aaralyn Rd Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1363 | $1,800 | $1.32 | 120d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 38719 12th Ave Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1246 | $1,400 | $1.12 | 120d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 6246 Timberly Ln Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1363 | $1,900 | $1.39 | 120d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 39132 County Road 54 #2070 Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 870 | $1,450 | $1.67 | 2d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 39132 County Road 54 #2236 Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 864 | $1,295 | $1.50 | 10d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 39132 County Road 54 #2024 Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 875 | $1,395 | $1.59 | 2d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 39132 County Road 54 #2066 Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 876 | $1,300 | $1.48 | 29d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 39132 County Road 54 #2088 Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 864 | $1,350 | $1.56 | 10d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 39132 County Road 54 #2172 Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 876 | $1,400 | $1.60 | 10d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 39132 County Road 54 Unit 54 Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 864 | $1,500 | $1.74 | 27d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 37603 Daliha Ter Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1363 | $1,600 | $1.17 | 56d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 6039 20th St Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 924 | $1,750 | $1.89 | 56d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 37555 Daliha Ter Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1365 | $1,558 | $1.14 | 69d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 37554 Daliha Ter Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1363 | $1,500 | $1.10 | 7d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 38939 North Ave Unit 2 Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $1,300 | $1.49 | 113d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 6262 Maisie Rd Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1363 | $1,700 | $1.25 | 120d | 1 | 0.87mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Association contact: Cheryl Hiaffer
- Financial info
- Total annual fees $4,140Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community
- Monthly association fee of $345HOA includes pool, insurance, structure and grounds maintenance, private road, sewer, trash, and waterAssociation approval requiredCommunity clubhouse, pool and sidewalksDeed restrictionsAssociation recreation (leased and owned)Senior communityPets not allowed
Exterior
- Parking
- Carport with 1 space
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerElectricity connectedCable available
- Home design
- Residential condominiumOne storyFacing south
- Construction
- Block and stucco constructionShingle roofBuilt on slab foundation
- Exterior features
- StoragePaved road access
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherMicrowaveRangeRefrigerator
- Bedrooms
- 2 bedrooms
- Flooring
- Ceramic tileSlab foundation
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- Cathedral ceilingsCeiling fansLiving room/dining room comboOpen floorplanSplit bedroom layoutWalk-in closet(s)
- Laundry & utility
- Inside laundry in a laundry closet
HOA detail $345/mo · $4,140/yr condo
- Likely covers
- security
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-30days on market $145,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $145,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $145,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $145,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $145,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $145,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $145,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $145,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $145,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $145,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $145,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $145,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $145,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $145,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $145,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $145,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $145,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $145,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $145,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $145,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-19status Active
-
2026-05-14historical
-
2026-05-13price $155,000
-
2026-05-13price $150,000
-
2026-04-30price $170,000
-
2026-04-20price $180,000
-
2026-03-26$190,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,799
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$2,175
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,424
- − Management
- −$1,424
- − HOA
- −$4,140
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable loss
- −$4,429
combined federal + state — saved on this device
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,063
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,041/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
75/100
Cosmetic rehab
Est. rehab $5,470–$16,410 screening
This move-in ready 2-bedroom, 2-bath end-unit condo in a highly sought-after 55+ gated community has good condition and minimal repairs needed, making it an attractive investment.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Kitchen cabinets — Aesthetic update needed.
- Minor Bathtub and fixtures — Update needed for a fresh look.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value. ↑
- Both Replace kitchen cabinets — Modernizes the space and increases appeal. ↑
- Both Update bathroom fixtures — Improves functionality and aesthetics. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
F
Composite school gradezoned avg 33/100
Zoned Schools
Elementary
Woodland Elementary School
F
FL #1,862/2,144
Nat'l #26,279/41,679
Middle
Raymond B. Stewart Middle School
F
FL #453/571
Nat'l #8,497/14,009
High
Zephyrhills High School
F
FL #359/667
Nat'l #9,405/17,239
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasco
- NCES district ID
- 1201530
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,039
- Composite
- 43.14/100
- National rank
- #3074
- State rank
- #32 of 73 in FL
B
Composite livability gradescore 72/100
Livability — Zephyrhills
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #330
- US rank
- #5760
Category grades
Amenities F
Commute F
Cost of living A+
Crime C-
Employment D-
Housing A+
Health & safety A
User ratings A+
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Zephyrhills, FL
- County
- Pasco County · 570,045 people
- City population
- 48,266
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,612
- Household income
- $49,316
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 6% of renters
Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 570,045 people
- By 2030
- 605,844 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 674,806 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 736,022 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 862,900 · +51.4%
- By 2100
- 906,364 · +59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 8% Black 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pasco
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.25%
- Current HPI
- 313.3993
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -3.56%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-18.4% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-14 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $155,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $150,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $170,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $180,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-26 Listed $190,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…