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521 Expense St Multi-family
B- Composite 69.15
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$60,000

521 Expense St · Rome, NY 13440
6 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,196 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 58 Days on market
Built 1904 3,485 sqft lot $27/sqft · 74% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Key facts

  • 3,485 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1904

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/3.0-bath multifamily listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $905 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 24.4% vs local median 5.6% in Rome — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#722 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Rome City School District (town): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #516 of 590 in NY (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 272 active listings in the ZIP; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $60k implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price; built in 1904 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $58,200 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1904 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.00%
Cap rate
24.39%
Cash-on-cash
64.62%
DSCR
3.88
GRM
2.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$229,656
List price
$60,000
Delta
-73.87%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
619 W Thomas St 0.13mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,154 (-2%) 11mo $140,000 $65 72
413 W Thomas St 0.29mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,220 (+1%) 8mo $48,000 $22 69
418 W Bloomfield St 0.22mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,378 (+8%) 18mo $144,000 $61 52
408 W Willett 0.54mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,900 (-14%) 17mo $149,500 $79 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
63.8%
Equity multiple
3.86×
Total profit
$47,988
Equity at exit
$8,946
10-year hold
IRR
68.2%
Equity multiple
7.93×
Total profit
$116,346
Equity at exit
$5,188

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13440

Home prices YoY
-8.0%
Active inventory
272
Price-to-rent
2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,798 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax from tax record
$176 /mo · $2,109/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$377
Net cashflow
$905

Break-even live

Break-even rent $652
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 45%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $60,000 Active 58 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $60,000 Active 57 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $60,000 Active 56 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $60,000 Active 55 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $60,000 Active 53 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $60,000 Active 52 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $60,000 Active 49 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $60,000 Active 48 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $60,000 Active 47 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $60,000 Active 46 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $60,000 Active 43 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $60,000 Active 42 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $60,000 Active 41 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $60,000 Active 40 DOM
  15. 2026-04-21
    listed $60,000 Active
  16. 2017-11-10
    historical
  17. 2017-01-23
    listed $34,900
  18. 2007-01-25
    soldstatus $40,000
  19. 2006-10-27
    soldstatus $15,500
  20. 2003-09-25
    soldstatus $35,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,109 · $176/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,109 · $176/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,571
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$2,109
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,726
− Management
−$1,726
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$10,605
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,545
After-tax cash flow
$8,312/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rome City School District
NCES district ID
3624900
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$46,406
Composite
34.52/100
National rank
#5178
State rank
#516 of 590 in NY

Livability — Rome

Score
64/100
State rank
#722
US rank
#13676

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rome, NY
City population
41,418
Population (ZIP)
41,273

Population outlook (Oneida County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
225,223 people
By 2030
220,384 · -2.1%
By 2040
209,071 · -7.2%
By 2050
197,920 · -12.1%
By 2075
175,541 · -22.1%
By 2100
148,491 · -34.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 4% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oneida

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.3) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
2008→2024 swing
-15.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.3 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+5.3 2008: R+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -29.58%
Current HPI
339.3589
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+71.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $60,000 CNYIS
  • 2017-11-10 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2017-01-23 Listed $34,900 CNYIS
  • 2007-01-25 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
  • 2006-10-27 Sold (Public Records) $15,500 Public Records
  • 2003-09-25 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,109 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…