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416 N 5th St
C+ Composite 61.06
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.9/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,000

416 N 5th St · Corsicana, TX 75110
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 576 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 437 Days on market
Built 1950 2,091 sqft lot $120/sqft · 13% above area Est $61k · 13% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Don’t miss this versatile income-producing property offering strong rental potential and long-term value. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just starting your portfolio, this well-maintained property is ready to generate steady returns!

Key facts

  • 2,091 sq ft lot
  • Built 1950
  • Listed 436 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $260 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($886 rent vs $69k).
  • Recommended offer: $61k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 4.5% in Corsicana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#283 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, schools F, crime F.
  • Corsicana ISD (town): math 39% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #471 of 826 in TX (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.5%/yr); 270 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 522 units permitted in Navarro County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Navarro County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 437 days — a 12% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 61% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $60,720 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 437 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.28%
Cap rate
10.81%
Cash-on-cash
16.14%
DSCR
1.72
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$61,303
List price
$69,000
Delta
12.56%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
414 N 5th St 0.01mi 2/1.0 (+1) 576 (0%) 15mo $65,000 $113 82

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.8%
Equity multiple
1.14×
Total profit
$2,767
Equity at exit
$10,288
10-year hold
IRR
10.5%
Equity multiple
1.71×
Total profit
$13,655
Equity at exit
$5,966

Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75110

Rents YoY
-1.5%
Active inventory
270
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$886 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$362
Tax from tax record
$49 /mo · $591/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$186
Net cashflow
$260

Break-even live

Break-even rent $557
Max offer price $69,000
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $299 -5% $279 +0% $260 +5% $240 +10% $221
Rent -10% $190 -5% $225 +0% $260 +5% $295 +10% $330
Rate -1.0pp $295 -0.5pp $277 base $260 +0.5pp $242 +1.0pp $224

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,250
Closing costs
$2,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
736 W 1st Ave Unit B Corsicana, TX 1.0 1.0 750 $850 $1.13 44d 1 0.87mi
1500 E Beverly Dr Unit 204 Corsicana, TX 1.0 1.0 530 $800 $1.51 44d 1 1.25mi
1430 W 5th Ave Corsicana, TX 1.0 1.0 650 $800 $1.23 44d 1 1.31mi
1432 W 5th Ave Corsicana, TX 1.0 1.0 650 $800 $1.23 3d 1 1.31mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $69,000 Active 437 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,000 Active 436 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,000 Active 435 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,000 Active 434 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,000 Active 433 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $69,000 Active 431 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $69,000 Active 430 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,000 Active 427 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,000 Active 426 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,000 Active 425 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,000 Active 420 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,000 Active 419 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,000 Active 418 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $69,000 Active 417 DOM
  15. 2025-03-13
    listed $69,000 Active 246-char remark
    Show marketing remark (246 chars)

    Don’t miss this versatile income-producing property offering strong rental potential and long-term value. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just starting your portfolio, this well-maintained property is ready to generate steady returns!

  16. 2024-04-29
    soldstatus
  17. 2023-09-11
    historical
  18. 2023-03-21
    listed $49,000 Active
  19. 2022-11-14
    soldstatus
  20. 2013-02-20
    soldstatus
  21. 2007-12-28
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$591 · $49/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,263 · $105/mo
Expected delta
+$672/yr (+$56/mo · 113.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 61% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,629
− Mortgage interest
−$3,865
− Property taxes
−$591
− Insurance
−$345
− Repairs & maintenance
−$850
− Management
−$850
− Depreciation
−$2,007
Taxable income
$2,120
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$509
After-tax cash flow
$2,610/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Corsicana ISD
NCES district ID
4815330
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$39,948
Composite
31.89/100
National rank
#5862
State rank
#471 of 826 in TX

Livability — Corsicana

Score
71/100
State rank
#283
US rank
#6570

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Corsicana, TX
County
Navarro County · 31,552 people
Metro
Corsicana, TX
Population (ZIP)
31,552
Household income
$57,370
Rent vs Own
39.1% rent · 60.9% own
Severe rent burden
663.0

Population outlook (Navarro County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,397 people
By 2030
48,096 · -0.6%
By 2040
47,394 · -2.1%
By 2050
46,541 · -3.8%
By 2075
44,940 · -7.1%
By 2100
42,288 · -12.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 41% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 16% Black 13% Pacific Islander 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 34%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada
Languages at home
68% English-only · Spanish 29% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Navarro

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.8) · D 23.7% · R 75.6%
2008→2024 swing
-18.7pp toward R · 2008: -33.1pp · 2024: -51.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.8 2020: R+45.5 2016: R+48.8 2012: R+42.4 2008: R+33.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -248.01%
Current HPI
224.5566
Rent YoY
▼ -1.47%
Metro
Corsicana, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+40.8% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2025-03-13 Listed $69,000 NTREIS
  • 2024-04-29 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-09-11 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2023-03-21 Listed $49,000 NTREIS
  • 2022-11-14 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2013-02-20 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2007-12-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $591 · -5.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…