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927 W 10th St 🏷️ Likely Rental
D Composite 44.08
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1,300

927 W 10th St · Freeport, TX 77541
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,100 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1955 6,098 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 6,098 sq ft lot
  • Built 1955

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Lease considered

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Built in 1955; Single-story (entry at first level); Slab foundation
  • Construction: Cement siding construction
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.14 acres; Lot features: Other

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Bedroom on the first level (10 x 10)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: 3 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $1,300 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$145,200) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $1k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $585 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $1k).
  • Cap rate 940.2% vs local median 3.8% in Freeport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,205 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Brazosport ISD (suburban): math 43% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #305 of 826 in TX (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Freeport El (579 students, 89% FRL); O'Hara Lanier Middle (math 41% / reading 29%, grade F, #842 of 1,662 statewide, top 51%, 340 students, 92% FRL); Brazosport H S (math 40% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,011 of 1,632 statewide, top 63%, 948 students, 78% FRL) — zoned schools average 86% FRL vs 53% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 592 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 83% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 3,960 units permitted in Brazoria County in 2024 (593 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $9 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $39 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Brazoria County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $364 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $1,300

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
99.38%
Cap rate
940.15%
Cash-on-cash
3335.21%
DSCR
149.40
GRM
0.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$145,200
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
726 W 6th St 0.34mi 3/1.0 988 (-10%) 2mo $99,000 $100 66
722 W 6th St 0.34mi 3/1.0 980 (-11%) 0mo $85,000 $87 66
1130 W Broad St 0.52mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,122 (+2%) 4mo $147,500 $131 64
1314 W 4th St 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,096 (-0%) 10mo $199,500 $182 63
502 W 6th St 0.50mi 3/1.5 1,137 (+3%) 10mo $175,000 $154 61
806 W 4th St 0.44mi 3/1.5 1,032 (-6%) 9mo $150,000 $145 60
1510 W 11th St 0.48mi 3/1.5 1,201 (+9%) 2mo $159,000 $132 58
1623 W 6th St 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,172 (+6%) 1mo $174,000 $148 54
1127 W 4th St 0.42mi 2/1.0 (-1) 976 (-11%) 3mo $49,900 $51 54
1318 W 5th St 0.47mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,211 (+10%) 5mo $82,500 $68 52
1531 W 8th St 0.53mi 3/2.0 945 (-14%) 8mo $74,900 $79 41
522 W Broad St 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,250 (+14%) 10mo $177,500 $142 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
103.58×
Total profit
$37,339
Equity at exit
$194
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
225.30×
Total profit
$81,646
Equity at exit
$112

Cash invested: $364 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77541

Home prices YoY
-29.3%
Active inventory
592
Price-to-rent
0.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,292 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$7
Tax est. 1.5%
$2 /mo · $20/yr
Insurance
$1
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$271
Net cashflow
$585

Break-even live

Break-even rent $551
Max offer price $1,300
Occupancy floor 50%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $586 -5% $586 +0% $585 +5% $585 +10% $584
Rent -10% $483 -5% $534 +0% $585 +5% $636 +10% $687
Rate -1.0pp $586 -0.5pp $585 base $585 +0.5pp $585 +1.0pp $584

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$325
Closing costs
$39
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
527 W 8th St Freeport, TX 3.0 1.0 950 $995 $1.05 44d 1 0.37mi
1721 W 5th St Freeport, TX 2.0 1.0 752 $749 $1.00 18d 1 0.75mi
310 Yaupon St Unit ST402 Freeport, TX 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,150 $1.10 44d 1 0.79mi
310 Yaupon St Unit ST604 Freeport, TX 2.0 1.0 850 $850 $1.00 44d 1 0.79mi
102 North Avenue A Unit A Freeport, TX 2.0 1.0 936 $995 $1.06 44d 1 1.00mi
102 North Avenue C Unit C Freeport, TX 4.0 2.0 1500 $1,550 $1.03 44d 1 1.11mi

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    listed $1,300 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 77% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥113°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,504
− Mortgage interest
−$73
− Property taxes
−$20
− Insurance
−$5,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,240
− Management
−$1,240
− Depreciation
−$38
Taxable income
$7,768
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,864
After-tax cash flow
$5,157/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Brazosport ISD
NCES district ID
4811190
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$57,024
Composite
36.84/100
National rank
#4557
State rank
#305 of 826 in TX

Livability — Freeport

Score
58/100
State rank
#1205
US rank
#21044

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Freeport, TX
County
Brazoria County · 374,982 people
City population
16,996
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
16,996
Household income
$66,507
Rent vs Own
30.8% rent · 69.2% own
Severe rent burden
354.0

Population outlook (Brazoria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,414 people
By 2030
457,585 · +8.8%
By 2040
532,232 · +26.6%
By 2050
605,399 · +44.0%
By 2075
779,358 · +85.4%
By 2100
883,759 · +110.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 47% White 38% Two or more races 23% Black 12%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 42%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada
Languages at home
71% English-only · Spanish 29%

Political lean MEDSL · Brazoria

2024 margin
R (+19.7) · D 39.5% · R 59.2% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
+9.9pp toward D · 2008: -29.6pp · 2024: -19.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.7 2020: R+18.2 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+34.2 2008: R+29.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -110.12%
Current HPI
265.9301
Rent YoY
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-14 Listed $1,300 HARMLS
  • 2021-08-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-07-22 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-07-22 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1998-01-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+5.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,741 · -1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…