🏗️ New Construction
3317 Stonewall Ln · Union City, GA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +7.0/30.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.2/10.0
$318,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Looking for a home that offers both style and functionality? The thoughtfully designed Cecil Plan delivers modern living with comfortable space throughout. This two-story home features three spacious bedrooms, two full bathrooms, and a conveniently located half bath. Its clean, contemporary design is ideal for those seeking a low-maintenance lifestyle without sacrificing comfort or flexibility. A two-car garage and ample storage throughout add to the home's everyday practicality.Home Highlights: Split bedroom floor plan for added privacy Generous walk-in closets. All bedrooms are located upstairs, along with the laundry room for convenience. Oversized patio, perfect for outdoor living and entertaining.
Key facts
- 3,920 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2025
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $319k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-431 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $215k (32.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $223k (30.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $215k (32.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#443 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Fulton County (suburban): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #12 of 174 in GA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Liberty Point Elementary School (math 37% / reading 31%, grade F, #554 of 1,228 statewide, top 46%, 694 students, 100% FRL); Camp Creek Middle School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #301 of 470 statewide, top 66%, 644 students, 100% FRL); Langston Hughes High School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #336 of 424 statewide, top 80%, 1,964 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools average 88% FRL vs 41% district-wide (47 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 24% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-27 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Fulton County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 174 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,234/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($48k/yr) (locally 1778% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $31k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $29k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$50k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($290k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.34%
- DSCR
- 0.72
- GRM
- 10.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $290,988
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8290 Eastshore Dr #2 | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 2,133 (+0%) | 16mo | $300,000 | $141 | 71 |
| 5265 Forest Downs Cir | 0.27mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,114 (-0%) | 14mo | $257,000 | $122 | 70 |
| 5225 Koweta Rd | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,839 (-13%) | 9mo | $170,000 | $92 | 60 |
| 4915 Wexford Trl | 0.44mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,156 (+2%) | 19mo | $309,000 | $143 | 56 |
| 8834 Lakecrest Way | 0.54mi | 3/2.5 | 2,248 (+6%) | 21mo | $305,000 | $136 | 48 |
| 8236 Eastshore Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,830 (-14%) | 12mo | $261,300 | $143 | 34 |
| 5530 Koweta Rd | 0.72mi | 3/3.0 | 2,355 (+11%) | 23mo | $323,000 | $137 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 2.2% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.59×
- Total profit
- $129,421
- Equity at exit
- $262,145
- IRR
- 17.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.90×
- Total profit
- $399,478
- Equity at exit
- $565,326
Cash invested: $81,477 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30291
- Home prices YoY
- 11.1%
- Rents YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 174
- Price-to-rent
- 11.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,234 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,526
- Tax from tax record
- −$406 /mo · $4,874/yr
- Insurance
- −$121
- HOA
- −$142
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$469
- Net cashflow
- $-431
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-266 | -5% $-348 | +0% $-431 | +5% $-513 | +10% $-595 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-607 | -5% $-519 | +0% $-431 | +5% $-342 | +10% $-254 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-284 | -0.5pp $-357 | base $-431 | +0.5pp $-506 | +1.0pp $-583 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,747
- Closing costs
- $8,730
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3416 Stonewall Ct Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1690 | $2,450 | $1.45 | 26d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 4812 Station Ln Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1695 | $2,100 | $1.24 | 3d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 5573 Rock Lake Dr Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2690 | $2,350 | $0.87 | 26d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 5131 Forest Downs Ln Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2112 | $1,580 | $0.75 | 5d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 5480 Sierra Trl Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1400 | $1,845 | $1.32 | 45d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 4980 Stonewall Tell Rd Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1573 | $3,612 | $2.30 | 26d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 520 Dasheill Ln Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2045 | $2,410 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 5163 Rapahoe Trl Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2060 | $2,525 | $1.23 | 0d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 3228 Diamond Blf Union City, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1922 | $2,195 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 5259 Cantbury Way Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2578 | $2,445 | $0.95 | 23d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 3234 Diamond Blf Union City, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1922 | $2,360 | $1.23 | 7d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 4108 Robin Cir Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1786 | $2,400 | $1.34 | 45d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 4407 Roche St Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $1,875 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 4223 Reeshemah St Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1843 | $1,995 | $1.08 | 7d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 4420 Roche St Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1622 | $2,130 | $1.31 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 4095 Robin Cir Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2196 | $2,023 | $0.92 | 45d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 4813 Brookwood Pl Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1624 | $2,075 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 4062 Robin Cir Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1874 | $1,910 | $1.02 | 26d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 4064 Robin Cir Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1874 | $1,895 | $1.01 | 26d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 4666 Ravenwood Loop Union City, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1916 | $2,175 | $1.14 | 26d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 4681 Ravenwood Loop Union City, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1593 | $1,999 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 4497 Ravenwood Dr Union City, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1694 | $2,000 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 4497 Ravenwood Dr Union City, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1694 | $2,000 | $1.18 | 22d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 6120 Longino Dr Union City, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1608 | $1,835 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 479 Thistle Cv Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1694 | $1,785 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 1.43mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $142 · $1,704/yr
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-04-09status Pending
-
2026-03-30historical 715-char remark
Show marketing remark (715 chars)
Looking for a home that offers both style and functionality? The thoughtfully designed Cecil Plan delivers modern living with comfortable space throughout. This two-story home features three spacious bedrooms, two full bathrooms, and a conveniently located half bath. Its clean, contemporary design is ideal for those seeking a low-maintenance lifestyle without sacrificing comfort or flexibility. A two-car garage and ample storage throughout add to the home's everyday practicality.Home Highlights: Split bedroom floor plan for added privacy Generous walk-in closets. All bedrooms are located upstairs, along with the laundry room for convenience. Oversized patio, perfect for outdoor living and entertaining.
-
2026-03-13price $318,990
-
2026-02-16price $319,990
-
2026-01-28price $324,990
-
2025-12-25$338,485 Active
-
2023-04-12$318,990 715-char remark
Show marketing remark (715 chars)
Looking for a home that offers both style and functionality? The thoughtfully designed Cecil Plan delivers modern living with comfortable space throughout. This two-story home features three spacious bedrooms, two full bathrooms, and a conveniently located half bath. Its clean, contemporary design is ideal for those seeking a low-maintenance lifestyle without sacrificing comfort or flexibility. A two-car garage and ample storage throughout add to the home's everyday practicality.Home Highlights: Split bedroom floor plan for added privacy Generous walk-in closets. All bedrooms are located upstairs, along with the laundry room for convenience. Oversized patio, perfect for outdoor living and entertaining.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,874 · $406/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,874 · $406/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,808
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,300
- − Property taxes
- −$4,874
- − Insurance
- −$1,455
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,145
- − Management
- −$2,145
- − HOA
- −$1,704
- − Depreciation
- −$8,465
- Taxable loss
- −$10,279
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,467
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,699/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fulton County
- NCES district ID
- 1302280
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,035
- Composite
- 45.33/100
- National rank
- #2640
- State rank
- #12 of 174 in GA
Livability — Union City
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #443
- US rank
- #21281
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Union City, GA
- County
- Fulton County · 1,094,430 people
- City population
- 25,130
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,130
- Household income
- $48,184
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1778.0
Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,203,707 people
- By 2030
- 1,299,706 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 1,488,256 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 1,664,580 · +38.3%
- By 2075
- 2,036,072 · +69.2%
- By 2100
- 2,222,402 · +84.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 86% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% White 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Fulton
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.9) · D 71.9% · R 27.0% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.8pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 44.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.9 2020: D+46.4 2016: D+42.1 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+35.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 23.98%
- Current HPI
- 239.3471
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.20%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
+0.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Pending — FMLS
- 2026-03-30 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $318,990 FMLS
- 2026-02-16 Price Changed $319,990 FMLS
- 2026-01-28 Price Changed $324,990 FMLS
- 2025-12-25 Listed $338,485 FMLS
- 2023-04-12 Listed $318,990 GAMLS
Property tax history
+27.9%/yrLatest (2025): $4,874 · +44.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…