2534 Canadian Way · Crandall, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.1/30.0
- ARV discount +9.6/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- DSCR +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$259,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
MLS# 21253555 - Built by Imagination Homes - Jun 2026 completion! ~ Imagination Homes proudly introduces The Prelude — a thoughtfully designed, open-concept home featuring 4 spacious bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 1,805 sq. ft. of beautifully crafted living space. Each bedroom offers generous dimensions, creating ideal retreats for family, guests, or a dedicated home office. At the center of the home, the large kitchen, dining, and family room seamlessly connect to create a warm and inviting environment perfect for everyday living and effortless entertaining. The chef-inspired kitchen showcases abundant cabinetry, sleek quartz countertops, a large single-bowl sink with an upgraded Moen fa
Key facts
- Open-concept home
- Covered back patio
- 6,100 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Planned development: River Ridge
- Financial info: Treat as clear loan type; No second mortgage
- HOA & community: Mandatory homeowners association (River Ridge Community Association, Inc.); Annual association fee; Association fee covers full use of facilities, grounds maintenance, and management fees; Community features include pool, greenbelt, park, playground, jogging/bike path and sidewalks
Exterior
- Parking: Two covered spaces; 2-car garage with 20 ft width and 20 ft length; Driveway; Garage door opener; Garage faces front
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Individual gas meter; Individual water meter; Sidewalk; Not in a municipal utility district
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-story; New construction (incomplete, 2026); Subdivision: River Ridge
- Construction: Brick and fiber cement siding with additional siding materials; Radiant barrier; Composition shingle roof; Slab foundation; Year built 2026 (new construction - incomplete)
- Exterior features: Wood fence in backyard; Interior lot in a subdivision; Curbs and sidewalks; Community mailbox; Sidewalks
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Dishwasher; Microwave; Disposal; Kitchen island; Pantry / walk-in pantry; Built-in cabinets; Solid-surface counters
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level with ensuite bath, separate shower, dual sinks and walk-in closet; Three additional bedrooms on main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl plank
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (ENERGY STAR qualified equipment); Central electric air conditioning (ENERGY STAR qualified equipment); ENERGY STAR/ACCA RSI qualified installation
- Interior features: Open floorplan with kitchen island; Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen island; Pantry and walk-in pantry; Built-in cabinets; Double vanity; Walk-in closet(s); Cable TV available; High speed internet available; Solid surface (non-natural) countertops
- Laundry & utility: Separate utility room; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $260k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-151 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $238k (8.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $214k (17.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $214k (17.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#507 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Crandall ISD (rural): math 36% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #351 of 826 in TX (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: W A Martin El (math 41% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,883 of 4,322 statewide, top 44%, 644 students, 71% FRL); Crandall Middle (math 38% / reading 42%, grade F, #646 of 1,662 statewide, top 40%, 983 students, 60% FRL); Crandall H S (math 33% / reading 53%, grade F, #713 of 1,632 statewide, top 44%, 1,707 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools average 62% FRL vs 41% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 802 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,747 units permitted in Kaufman County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kaufman County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.50%
- DSCR
- 0.89
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $272,490
- List price
- $259,990
- Delta
- -4.59%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2534 Canadian Way | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 1,805 (0%) | 0mo | $259,990 | $144 | 100 |
| 2537 Canadian Way | 0.04mi | 4/2.0 | 1,805 (0%) | 0mo | $269,990 | $150 | 98 |
| 2539 Canadian Way | 0.04mi | 4/2.0 | 1,893 (+5%) | 1mo | $274,990 | $145 | 89 |
| 2538 Canadian Way | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,621 (-10%) | 0mo | $249,990 | $154 | 77 |
| 3518 Fox Valley Ln | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,801 (-0%) | 1mo | $265,589 | $147 | 76 |
| 3523 Fox Valley Ln | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,801 (-0%) | 1mo | $267,949 | $149 | 75 |
| 2541 Canadian Way | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,621 (-10%) | 1mo | $254,990 | $157 | 74 |
| 2311 Buffalo Bayou Way | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 | 1,689 (-6%) | 1mo | $276,740 | $164 | 72 |
| 1305 Thicket Ave | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,801 (-0%) | 0mo | $259,999 | $144 | 60 |
| 3514 Fox Valley Ln | 0.36mi | 4/2.0 | 2,062 (+14%) | 1mo | $286,999 | $139 | 58 |
| 1557 Coldwater Way | 0.33mi | 4/3.0 | 2,059 (+14%) | 0mo | $308,630 | $150 | 57 |
| 1550 Coldwater Way | 0.33mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,059 (+14%) | 1mo | $305,594 | $148 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.29×
- Total profit
- $-51,712
- Equity at exit
- $38,765
- IRR
- -13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.21×
- Total profit
- $-57,208
- Equity at exit
- $22,479
Cash invested: $72,797 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75114
- Home prices YoY
- -26.7%
- Active inventory
- 802
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,136 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$325 /mo · $3,900/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$42
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$449
- Net cashflow
- $-151
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $28 | -5% $-62 | +0% $-151 | +5% $-241 | +10% $-331 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-320 | -5% $-236 | +0% $-151 | +5% $-67 | +10% $17 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-20 | -0.5pp $-85 | base $-151 | +0.5pp $-219 | +1.0pp $-287 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,998
- Closing costs
- $7,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2109 Muscovy St Crandall, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2300 | $2,200 | $0.96 | 26d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2505 Milne Ct Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $2,500 | $1.72 | 20d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 3104 Helix Bay Dr Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,675 | $1.32 | 26d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3101 Helix Bay Dr Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,745 | $1.38 | 26d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3103 Helix Bay Dr Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,729 | $1.20 | 4d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3352 Beckwith Way Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,750 | $1.38 | 1d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2961 Wallace Wells Ct Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,855 | $1.47 | 4d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2960 Wallace Wells Ct Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $2,000 | $1.39 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3121 Helix Bay Dr Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,675 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2043 Serval Ln Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1544 | $2,100 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2973 Wallace Wells Ct Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,665 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2991 Wallace Wells Ct Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,895 | $1.50 | 45d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3315 Beckwith Way Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,685 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 3007 Wallace Wells Ct Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,950 | $1.35 | 45d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 505 S 5th St Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $1,900 | $1.40 | 45d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2306 Great Belt Blvd Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,695 | $1.34 | 45d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2302 Great Belt Blvd Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,650 | $1.30 | 4d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2117 Ocelot St Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1481 | $1,875 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 3147 Blossom Trl Crandall, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2177 | $2,700 | $1.24 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 2294 Great Belt Blvd Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,815 | $1.43 | 26d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 2296 Great Belt Blvd Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2315 | $1,720 | $0.74 | 8d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 2127 Ocelot St Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1383 | $2,200 | $1.59 | 45d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 3324 Price Trl Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $1,995 | $1.54 | 19d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $42 · $504/yr
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-11status Pending 1598-char remark
-
2026-05-01price $259,990 1598-char remark
-
2026-04-28$284,990 Active 1598-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,631
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,563
- − Property taxes
- −$3,900
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,050
- − Management
- −$2,050
- − HOA
- −$504
- − Depreciation
- −$7,563
- Taxable loss
- −$6,301
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,512
- After-tax cash flow
- $-304/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This home is in good condition with a modern kitchen and well-maintained exterior. It has potential for minor updates to enhance its curb appeal and interior aesthetics, making it a good investment for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls and trim — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Install new flooring in bathrooms — New flooring can improve the look and feel of the bathrooms.
- Both Add backsplash in kitchen — A backsplash can add functionality and style to the kitchen space.
- Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase convenience and appeal to potential buyers/renters.
- Both Add outdoor lighting — Outdoor lighting can enhance the home's curb appeal and safety at night.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint interior walls and trim — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Install new flooring in bathrooms — New flooring can improve the look and feel of the bathrooms. ↑
- Both Add backsplash in kitchen — A backsplash can add functionality and style to the kitchen space. ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase convenience and appeal to potential buyers/renters. ↑
- Both Add outdoor lighting — Outdoor lighting can enhance the home's curb appeal and safety at night. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Crandall ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4815510
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,076
- Composite
- 35.57/100
- National rank
- #4901
- State rank
- #351 of 826 in TX
Livability — Crandall
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #507
- US rank
- #10022
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Crandall, TX
- County
- Kaufman County · 122,338 people
- City population
- 9,333
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,333
- Household income
- $88,013
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 33.0
Population outlook (Kaufman County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 138,716 people
- By 2030
- 150,815 · +8.7%
- By 2040
- 174,877 · +26.1%
- By 2050
- 198,020 · +42.8%
- By 2075
- 251,908 · +81.6%
- By 2100
- 285,325 · +105.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 14% Black 14%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 34%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 27% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kaufman
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.9) · D 35.6% · R 63.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: -35.8pp · 2024: -27.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.9 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+47.0 2012: R+44.4 2008: R+35.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -71.61%
- Current HPI
- 196.4773
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-8.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2026-05-11 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $259,990 NTREIS
- 2026-04-28 Listed $284,990 NTREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…