Multi-family
4326-4328 19th St #4328 · San Francisco, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 76°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 15 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +9.8/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$995,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks
Gorgeous Edwardian top-floor residence at 4328 19th Street, offering iconic San Francisco living in the heart of the Castro, surrounded by local eateries, shops, and neighborhood amenities. This two-bedroom, one-bath unit features beautiful period details, high ceilings, picture railings, bay windows, refinished softwood floors, and fresh interior paint. The living room and main bedroom share a wood-burning fireplace, adding warmth and charm. Enjoy an eat-in kitchen that opens to a private deck with downtown views. Additional features include a large attic space with possible expansion potential, shared backyard, separate storage, solar panels, and an Andy Sirkin TIC Agreement already in pl
Key facts
- Private deck
- Top-floor residence
- Large attic space
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: TIC agreement in place; Part of a 2‑unit building
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Home design: Residential Tenancy in Common; Built in 1905
- Construction: 1905 construction
- Exterior features: Entry on ground level
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Stone flooring; Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas)
- Interior features: Central gas heating; Partial basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $995k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $521 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $833k (16.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $833k (16.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 2.1% in San Francisco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in CA, #3,143 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- San Francisco Unified (urban): math 50% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #322 of 1,400 in CA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.4%/yr); 121 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 750 units permitted in San Francisco County in 2024 (688 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $8,327/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($204k/yr) (locally 1336% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $101k of equity ($7k loan paydown + $95k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
- San Francisco County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (9.5% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $279k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$163k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.24%
- DSCR
- 1.10
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $1,628,640
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 253 Hartford St | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 2,147 (+3%) | 2mo | $1,100,000 | $512 | 76 |
| 216 Hoffman Ave | 0.54mi | 1/3.0 (-1) | 2,043 (-2%) | 1mo | $1,600,000 | $783 | 62 |
| 996 Noe St | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 | 2,039 (-2%) | 15mo | $1,550,000 | $760 | 61 |
| 321 Caselli Ave | 0.34mi | 3/3.5 (+1) | 2,250 (+8%) | 2mo | $2,480,000 | $1,102 | 58 |
| 4113-4115 20th St | 0.28mi | 3/4.0 (+1) | 2,300 (+11%) | 0mo | $2,000,000 | $870 | 56 |
| 4642 18th St | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 1,800 (-14%) | 22mo | $1,055,000 | $586 | 43 |
| 3743 20th St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,820 (-12%) | 6mo | $1,825,000 | $1,003 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
9.51% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.10×
- Total profit
- $585,304
- Equity at exit
- $860,829
- IRR
- 24.8%
- Equity multiple
- 7.45×
- Total profit
- $1,797,754
- Equity at exit
- $1,819,841
Cash invested: $278,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City San Francisco
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+57
ZIP-level market 94114
- Home prices YoY
- 4.4%
- Rents YoY
- 14.4%
- Active inventory
- 121
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $8,327 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$5,218
- Tax from tax record
- −$424 /mo · $5,094/yr
- Insurance
- −$415
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,749
- Net cashflow
- $521
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,084 | -5% $803 | +0% $521 | +5% $239 | +10% $-42 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-137 | -5% $192 | +0% $521 | +5% $850 | +10% $1,179 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,022 | -0.5pp $774 | base $521 | +0.5pp $263 | +1.0pp $1 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $248,750
- Closing costs
- $29,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270 Eureka St San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2024 | $6,995 | $3.46 | 3d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 4058 20th St San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1794 | $13,975 | $7.79 | 25d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 47 Ford St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1401 | $6,500 | $4.64 | 21d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 258 Dorland St Unit 7 San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $5,500 | $3.67 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1059 Noe St San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2545 | $14,000 | $5.50 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 124 Alpine Ter San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2200 | $12,500 | $5.68 | 25d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 124 Alpine Ter San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2200 | $11,995 | $5.45 | 12d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 124 Alpine Ter San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2200 | $11,995 | $5.45 | 15d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 61 Marview Way San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1581 | $8,450 | $5.34 | 25d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 61 Marview Way San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1581 | $8,200 | $5.19 | 8d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 82 Parnassus Ave San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1701 | $2,800 | $1.65 | 3d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2 Fair Oaks St #4 San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1513 | $9,900 | $6.54 | 19d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1265 Stanyan St San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2005 | $13,900 | $6.93 | 8d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1436 Waller St Unit 1436 San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $6,890 | $3.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1306 Page St San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $11,995 | $8.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 542 Valencia St Unit A San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $5,000 | $3.12 | 25d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 643 Cole St San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $5,245 | $3.28 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 13 Warren Dr San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1900 | $8,750 | $4.61 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 569-571 Capp St San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $6,995 | $4.37 | 3d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1626 Noe St San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1870 | $12,000 | $6.42 | 25d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 858 Capp St Unit 1794 San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1818 | $17,050 | $9.38 | 25d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1323 6th Ave Unit 1325 San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $6,150 | $4.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 79 Coleridge St San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $9,750 | $5.27 | 25d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 830 Alabama St San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1465 | $9,500 | $6.48 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-07status $995,000 Pending 13 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $995,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $995,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $995,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $995,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $995,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-22$995,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,094 · $424/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,562 · $630/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,468/yr (+$206/mo · 48.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥76°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $99,919
- − Mortgage interest
- −$55,735
- − Property taxes
- −$5,094
- − Insurance
- −$4,975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$7,994
- − Management
- −$7,994
- − Depreciation
- −$28,945
- Taxable loss
- −$10,817
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,596
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,849/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Francisco Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0634410
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $81,249
- Composite
- 50.14/100
- National rank
- #4088
- State rank
- #322 of 1400 in CA
Livability — San Francisco
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3143
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Francisco, CA
- County
- San Francisco County · 827,552 people
- City population
- 827,552
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,020
- Household income
- $204,134
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1336.0
Population outlook (San Francisco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,030,936 people
- By 2030
- 1,110,409 · +7.7%
- By 2040
- 1,270,010 · +23.2%
- By 2050
- 1,435,001 · +39.2%
- By 2075
- 1,779,074 · +72.6%
- By 2100
- 1,966,767 · +90.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Asian 14% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Italian 4% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 6% Chinese 4% Other Indo-European 4%
Political lean MEDSL · San Francisco
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 80.3% · R 15.5% · Other 4.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.7pp toward R · 2008: 70.5pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+72.5 2016: D+76.1 2012: D+70.2 2008: D+70.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 9.51%
- Current HPI
- 223.6988
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 14.40%
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $995,000 San Francisco MLS
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $5,094 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…