721 Cynthia St · Poplar Bluff, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.2/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.9/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming bungalow full of character and opportunity! This 2 bedroom, 1 bath home offers 968 sq. ft. +/- of comfortable living space with a warm, inviting feel. With a spacious covered front porch, this home is cozy throughout! Whether you're searching for your next investment property, rental opportunity, or a place to call home, this property checks all the boxes. It's manageable size, classic bungalow style, and inviting curb appeal make it ideal for both owner occupants and investors alike.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Inviting curb appeal
- 7,500 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $356 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($974 rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 4.4% in Poplar Bluff — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#143 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Poplar Bluff R-I (town): math 38% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #127 of 324 in MO (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 274 active listings in the ZIP; 63 units permitted in Butler County in 2024 (48 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Butler County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.39% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.85%
- DSCR
- 1.97
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $82,203
- List price
- $69,900
- Delta
- -14.97%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.58×
- Total profit
- $11,341
- Equity at exit
- $10,422
- IRR
- 23.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.99×
- Total profit
- $38,986
- Equity at exit
- $6,044
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63901
- Home prices YoY
- -22.4%
- Active inventory
- 274
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $974 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$17 /mo · $209/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$205
- Net cashflow
- $356
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $69,900 Pending 77 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $69,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-03-19$69,900 Active 498-char remark
Show marketing remark (498 chars)
Charming bungalow full of character and opportunity! This 2 bedroom, 1 bath home offers 968 sq. ft. +/- of comfortable living space with a warm, inviting feel. With a spacious covered front porch, this home is cozy throughout! Whether you're searching for your next investment property, rental opportunity, or a place to call home, this property checks all the boxes. It's manageable size, classic bungalow style, and inviting curb appeal make it ideal for both owner occupants and investors alike.
-
2021-05-03soldstatus
-
2021-04-29soldstatus Closed 268-char remark
Show marketing remark (268 chars)
721 Cynthia. Charming 2 bedroom, 1 bath home with a cozy screened-in front porch. This home has been a great rental, or would be perfect for someone looking to downsize. Refrigerator, electric range/oven, dishwasher and storage shed are included. Priced under $50,000!
-
2021-04-12status Pending 268-char remark
Show marketing remark (268 chars)
721 Cynthia. Charming 2 bedroom, 1 bath home with a cozy screened-in front porch. This home has been a great rental, or would be perfect for someone looking to downsize. Refrigerator, electric range/oven, dishwasher and storage shed are included. Priced under $50,000!
-
2021-03-23$49,900 Active 268-char remark
Show marketing remark (268 chars)
721 Cynthia. Charming 2 bedroom, 1 bath home with a cozy screened-in front porch. This home has been a great rental, or would be perfect for someone looking to downsize. Refrigerator, electric range/oven, dishwasher and storage shed are included. Priced under $50,000!
-
2007-04-17soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $209 · $17/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $678 · $57/mo
- Expected delta
- +$470/yr (+$39/mo · 225.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,687
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$209
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$935
- − Management
- −$935
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $3,310
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$795
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,482/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Poplar Bluff R-I
- NCES district ID
- 2925450
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,761
- Composite
- 35.17/100
- National rank
- #5001
- State rank
- #127 of 324 in MO
Livability — Poplar Bluff
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #143
- US rank
- #8135
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Poplar Bluff, MO
- City population
- 34,920
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,920
Population outlook (Butler County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 42,648 people
- By 2030
- 42,329 · -0.7%
- By 2040
- 41,498 · -2.7%
- By 2050
- 40,308 · -5.5%
- By 2075
- 36,168 · -15.2%
- By 2100
- 28,893 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Butler
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+63.8) · D 17.7% · R 81.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.4pp toward R · 2008: -37.4pp · 2024: -63.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+63.8 2020: R+62.3 2016: R+61.6 2012: R+46.7 2008: R+37.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.64%
- Current HPI
- 175.3008
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+40.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-19 Listed $69,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-05-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-04-29 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-04-12 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-03-23 Listed $49,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-04-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $209 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…