Fourplex
15 Kenneson Rd · Somerville, MA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $915 – $1,699
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 63.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- ARV discount +8.2/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,200,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks MLS
HUD_ 251-296174 If you are a HUD registered broker you do not need to set up an appointment or notify the HUD designated MLS listing broker when you want to show one of our HUD homes. Please use your HUD keys to access the home. If you have an interested buyer, as a HUD broker you can submit the offer on-line via our website without the assistance of the MLS listing broker.
Key facts
- 2,649 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1890
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2 open parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 100 Amp electric service; Wired for electric range and electric oven
- Home design: 4-family property; 4 total stories; 4 levels
- Construction: Frame construction; Block foundation; Built (year per public records)
- Exterior features: Private road frontage; Paved driveway
Interior
- Flooring: Wood flooring; Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 4 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Full basement; 18 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 6-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.20M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $6k ($75k/yr) — positive. Per door: $2k/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($18k rent vs $1.20M).
- Recommended offer: $1.16M (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 2.2% in Somerville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#18 in MA, #752 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Somerville (suburban): math 26% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #223 of 302 in MA (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 80 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 3,670 units permitted in Middlesex County in 2024 (2,611 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $17,749/mo this rent would consume 172% of the median local household income ($124k/yr) (locally 1487% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $36k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Middlesex County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.5% rent growth), your $336k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($1.16M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $325k; list at $1.20M implies a 269% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.17%
- DSCR
- 1.99
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $1,219,495
- List price
- $1,200,000
- Delta
- -1.60%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70 Highland Ave | 0.42mi | 8/3.0 | 2,320 (-2%) | 7mo | $1,215,000 | $524 | 54 |
| 2 Hillside Ave | 0.55mi | 8/2.5 | 2,396 (+1%) | 1mo | $1,200,000 | $501 | 51 |
| 192 Pearl St | 0.29mi | 7/3.0 (-1) | 2,602 (+10%) | 10mo | $1,180,000 | $453 | 42 |
| 27-29 Trull St | 0.66mi | 8/2.0 | 2,336 (-1%) | 18mo | $1,050,000 | $449 | 32 |
| 483 Broadway | 0.74mi | 7/3.0 (-1) | 2,570 (+9%) | 10mo | $1,075,000 | $418 | 23 |
| 153 Glen St | 0.61mi | 7/3.0 (-1) | 2,184 (-8%) | 20mo | $950,000 | $435 | 23 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.48% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.68×
- Total profit
- $227,791
- Equity at exit
- $178,924
- IRR
- 26.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.44×
- Total profit
- $820,878
- Equity at exit
- $103,754
Cash invested: $336,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Massachusetts
- 20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 02145
- Rents YoY
- 4.5%
- Active inventory
- 80
- Price-to-rent
- 22.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $17,749 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$6,293
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,020 /mo · $12,238/yr
- Insurance
- −$500
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$3,727
- Net cashflow
- $6,209
Break-even live
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 6 | 4 | $17,748 |
| #1 | 6 | 4 | $4,437 |
| #2 | 6 | 4 | $4,437 |
| #3 | 6 | 4 | $4,437 |
| #4 | 6 | 4 | $4,437 |
| Total (4 units) | $17,749 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $300,000
- Closing costs
- $36,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81 Bow St Medford, MA | 7.0 | 3.0 | 2800 | $5,900 | $2.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 77 Winchester St Medford, MA | 7.0 | 8.0 | 3278 | $9,600 | $2.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $1,200,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1,200,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $1,200,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1,200,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,200,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,200,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $1,200,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,200,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $1,200,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $1,200,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $1,200,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $1,200,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1,200,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1,200,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-11$1,200,000 New 781-char remark
-
2009-07-22soldstatus $325,000
-
2009-07-21soldstatus $325,000 Sold 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
HUD_ 251-296174 If you are a HUD registered broker you do not need to set up an appointment or notify the HUD designated MLS listing broker when you want to show one of our HUD homes. Please use your HUD keys to access the home. If you have an interested buyer, as a HUD broker you can submit the offer on-line via our website without the assistance of the MLS listing broker.
-
2009-03-02historical 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
HUD_ 251-296174 If you are a HUD registered broker you do not need to set up an appointment or notify the HUD designated MLS listing broker when you want to show one of our HUD homes. Please use your HUD keys to access the home. If you have an interested buyer, as a HUD broker you can submit the offer on-line via our website without the assistance of the MLS listing broker.
-
2009-02-20status 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
HUD_ 251-296174 If you are a HUD registered broker you do not need to set up an appointment or notify the HUD designated MLS listing broker when you want to show one of our HUD homes. Please use your HUD keys to access the home. If you have an interested buyer, as a HUD broker you can submit the offer on-line via our website without the assistance of the MLS listing broker.
-
2009-02-03historical 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
HUD_ 251-296174 If you are a HUD registered broker you do not need to set up an appointment or notify the HUD designated MLS listing broker when you want to show one of our HUD homes. Please use your HUD keys to access the home. If you have an interested buyer, as a HUD broker you can submit the offer on-line via our website without the assistance of the MLS listing broker.
-
2009-01-23$350,000 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
HUD_ 251-296174 If you are a HUD registered broker you do not need to set up an appointment or notify the HUD designated MLS listing broker when you want to show one of our HUD homes. Please use your HUD keys to access the home. If you have an interested buyer, as a HUD broker you can submit the offer on-line via our website without the assistance of the MLS listing broker.
-
2003-05-07soldstatus $469,900
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2003-05-06soldstatus $469,900
Show marketing remark (224 chars)
THIS 4 FAMILY HOME ON A QUIET SIDE STREET HAS A FINISHED LOWER LEVEL THAT MAY BE ABLE TO BE COMBINED WITH ONE OF THE FIRST FLOOR APARTMENTS TO OFFER EXPANSION POTENTIAL. ONE 1ST FLOOR APARTMENT IS EMPTY AND ON COMBO LOCKBOX.
-
2003-03-27historical
Show marketing remark (224 chars)
THIS 4 FAMILY HOME ON A QUIET SIDE STREET HAS A FINISHED LOWER LEVEL THAT MAY BE ABLE TO BE COMBINED WITH ONE OF THE FIRST FLOOR APARTMENTS TO OFFER EXPANSION POTENTIAL. ONE 1ST FLOOR APARTMENT IS EMPTY AND ON COMBO LOCKBOX.
-
2003-02-24$489,900
Show marketing remark (224 chars)
THIS 4 FAMILY HOME ON A QUIET SIDE STREET HAS A FINISHED LOWER LEVEL THAT MAY BE ABLE TO BE COMBINED WITH ONE OF THE FIRST FLOOR APARTMENTS TO OFFER EXPANSION POTENTIAL. ONE 1ST FLOOR APARTMENT IS EMPTY AND ON COMBO LOCKBOX.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $12,238 · $1,020/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $13,499 · $1,125/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,261/yr (+$105/mo · 10.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 63% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $212,988
- − Mortgage interest
- −$67,219
- − Property taxes
- −$12,238
- − Insurance
- −$6,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$17,039
- − Management
- −$17,039
- − Depreciation
- −$34,909
- Taxable income
- $58,544
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$14,051
- After-tax cash flow
- $60,457/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Somerville
- NCES district ID
- 2510890
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,304
- Composite
- 31.9/100
- National rank
- #5858
- State rank
- #223 of 302 in MA
Livability — Somerville
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #18
- US rank
- #752
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Somerville, MA
- County
- Middlesex County · 1,437,704 people
- City population
- 78,456
- Metro
- Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,495
- Household income
- $123,755
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1487.0
Population outlook (Middlesex County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,740,269 people
- By 2030
- 1,817,187 · +4.4%
- By 2040
- 1,963,195 · +12.8%
- By 2050
- 2,087,461 · +20.0%
- By 2075
- 2,344,036 · +34.7%
- By 2100
- 2,383,776 · +37.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Hispanic / Latino 18% Asian 12% Two or more races 10% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 5% Romanian 3% Estonian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 33% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 15% Chinese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Middlesex
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+39.5) · D 68.5% · R 29.0% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.3pp toward D · 2008: 30.1pp · 2024: 39.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+39.5 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+38.1 2012: D+26.9 2008: D+30.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -275.63%
- Current HPI
- 152.4622
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.48%
- Metro
- Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.28%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 3 | $17B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $84B |
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| Retail | 2 | $76B |
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| Life Sciences | 1 | $43B |
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| Energy Technology | 1 | $31B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+144.9% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Listed $1,200,000 MLS PIN
- 2009-07-22 Sold (Public Records) $325,000 Public Records
- 2009-07-21 Sold (MLS) $325,000 MLS PIN
- 2009-03-02 Contingent — MLS PIN
- 2009-02-20 Relisted — MLS PIN
- 2009-02-03 Contingent — MLS PIN
- 2009-01-23 Listed $350,000 MLS PIN
- 2003-05-07 Sold (Public Records) $469,900 Public Records
- 2003-05-06 Sold (MLS) $469,900 MLS PIN
- 2003-03-27 Listing Removed — MLS PIN
- 2003-02-24 Listed $489,900 MLS PIN
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $12,238 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…