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15 Kenneson Rd Fourplex
B Composite 71.52
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.2/15.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1,200,000

15 Kenneson Rd · Somerville, MA 02145
8 bd · 7.5 ba · 2,364 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 38 Days on market
Built 1890 2,649 sqft lot $508/sqft · at area comps Est $1219k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. estimate disagrees with records

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks MLS

HUD_ 251-296174 If you are a HUD registered broker you do not need to set up an appointment or notify the HUD designated MLS listing broker when you want to show one of our HUD homes. Please use your HUD keys to access the home. If you have an interested buyer, as a HUD broker you can submit the offer on-line via our website without the assistance of the MLS listing broker.

Key facts

  • 2,649 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1890

Tags

WINTER HILL NEIGHBORHOODPRIVATE WAY PARKING SPACEEASY ACCESS TO DOWNTOWN BOSTON

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 open parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 100 Amp electric service; Wired for electric range and electric oven
  • Home design: 4-family property; 4 total stories; 4 levels
  • Construction: Frame construction; Block foundation; Built (year per public records)
  • Exterior features: Private road frontage; Paved driveway

Interior

  • Flooring: Wood flooring; Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 4 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Full basement; 18 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4 × 6-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.20M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $6k ($75k/yr) — positive. Per door: $2k/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($18k rent vs $1.20M).
  • Recommended offer: $1.16M (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 2.2% in Somerville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#18 in MA, #752 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
  • Somerville (suburban): math 26% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #223 of 302 in MA (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 80 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 3,670 units permitted in Middlesex County in 2024 (2,611 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $17,749/mo this rent would consume 172% of the median local household income ($124k/yr) (locally 1487% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $36k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Middlesex County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.5% rent growth), your $336k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($1.16M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $325k; list at $1.20M implies a 269% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $1,164,000 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.48%
Cap rate
12.50%
Cash-on-cash
22.17%
DSCR
1.99
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$1,219,495
List price
$1,200,000
Delta
-1.60%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
70 Highland Ave 0.42mi 8/3.0 2,320 (-2%) 7mo $1,215,000 $524 54
2 Hillside Ave 0.55mi 8/2.5 2,396 (+1%) 1mo $1,200,000 $501 51
192 Pearl St 0.29mi 7/3.0 (-1) 2,602 (+10%) 10mo $1,180,000 $453 42
27-29 Trull St 0.66mi 8/2.0 2,336 (-1%) 18mo $1,050,000 $449 32
483 Broadway 0.74mi 7/3.0 (-1) 2,570 (+9%) 10mo $1,075,000 $418 23
153 Glen St 0.61mi 7/3.0 (-1) 2,184 (-8%) 20mo $950,000 $435 23

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.48% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.5%
Equity multiple
1.68×
Total profit
$227,791
Equity at exit
$178,924
10-year hold
IRR
26.1%
Equity multiple
3.44×
Total profit
$820,878
Equity at exit
$103,754

Cash invested: $336,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Massachusetts
20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Cambridge / Boston historically rent-controlled (preempted 1994 but consideration ongoing); strong tenant protections; court backlogs.

ZIP-level market 02145

Rents YoY
4.5%
Active inventory
80
Price-to-rent
22.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$17,749 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$6,293
Tax from tax record
$1,020 /mo · $12,238/yr
Insurance
$500
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$3,727
Net cashflow
$6,209

Break-even live

Break-even rent $9,890
Max offer price $1,200,000
Occupancy floor 60%

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (4 units) $17,749

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$300,000
Closing costs
$36,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
81 Bow St Medford, MA 7.0 3.0 2800 $5,900 $2.11 44d 1 0.68mi
77 Winchester St Medford, MA 7.0 8.0 3278 $9,600 $2.93 44d 1 1.14mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $1,200,000 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $1,200,000 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $1,200,000 Active 36 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $1,200,000 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,200,000 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,200,000 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $1,200,000 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $1,200,000 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $1,200,000 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $1,200,000 Active 24 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $1,200,000 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $1,200,000 Active 22 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $1,200,000 Active 21 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $1,200,000 Active 20 DOM
  15. 2026-05-11
    listed $1,200,000 New 781-char remark
  16. 2009-07-22
    soldstatus $325,000
  17. 2009-07-21
    soldstatus $325,000 Sold 376-char remark
    Show marketing remark (376 chars)

    HUD_ 251-296174 If you are a HUD registered broker you do not need to set up an appointment or notify the HUD designated MLS listing broker when you want to show one of our HUD homes. Please use your HUD keys to access the home. If you have an interested buyer, as a HUD broker you can submit the offer on-line via our website without the assistance of the MLS listing broker.

  18. 2009-03-02
    historical 376-char remark
    Show marketing remark (376 chars)

    HUD_ 251-296174 If you are a HUD registered broker you do not need to set up an appointment or notify the HUD designated MLS listing broker when you want to show one of our HUD homes. Please use your HUD keys to access the home. If you have an interested buyer, as a HUD broker you can submit the offer on-line via our website without the assistance of the MLS listing broker.

  19. 2009-02-20
    status 376-char remark
    Show marketing remark (376 chars)

    HUD_ 251-296174 If you are a HUD registered broker you do not need to set up an appointment or notify the HUD designated MLS listing broker when you want to show one of our HUD homes. Please use your HUD keys to access the home. If you have an interested buyer, as a HUD broker you can submit the offer on-line via our website without the assistance of the MLS listing broker.

  20. 2009-02-03
    historical 376-char remark
    Show marketing remark (376 chars)

    HUD_ 251-296174 If you are a HUD registered broker you do not need to set up an appointment or notify the HUD designated MLS listing broker when you want to show one of our HUD homes. Please use your HUD keys to access the home. If you have an interested buyer, as a HUD broker you can submit the offer on-line via our website without the assistance of the MLS listing broker.

  21. 2009-01-23
    listed $350,000 376-char remark
    Show marketing remark (376 chars)

    HUD_ 251-296174 If you are a HUD registered broker you do not need to set up an appointment or notify the HUD designated MLS listing broker when you want to show one of our HUD homes. Please use your HUD keys to access the home. If you have an interested buyer, as a HUD broker you can submit the offer on-line via our website without the assistance of the MLS listing broker.

  22. 2003-05-07
    soldstatus $469,900
  23. 2003-05-06
    soldstatus $469,900
    Show marketing remark (224 chars)

    THIS 4 FAMILY HOME ON A QUIET SIDE STREET HAS A FINISHED LOWER LEVEL THAT MAY BE ABLE TO BE COMBINED WITH ONE OF THE FIRST FLOOR APARTMENTS TO OFFER EXPANSION POTENTIAL. ONE 1ST FLOOR APARTMENT IS EMPTY AND ON COMBO LOCKBOX.

  24. 2003-03-27
    historical
    Show marketing remark (224 chars)

    THIS 4 FAMILY HOME ON A QUIET SIDE STREET HAS A FINISHED LOWER LEVEL THAT MAY BE ABLE TO BE COMBINED WITH ONE OF THE FIRST FLOOR APARTMENTS TO OFFER EXPANSION POTENTIAL. ONE 1ST FLOOR APARTMENT IS EMPTY AND ON COMBO LOCKBOX.

  25. 2003-02-24
    listed $489,900
    Show marketing remark (224 chars)

    THIS 4 FAMILY HOME ON A QUIET SIDE STREET HAS A FINISHED LOWER LEVEL THAT MAY BE ABLE TO BE COMBINED WITH ONE OF THE FIRST FLOOR APARTMENTS TO OFFER EXPANSION POTENTIAL. ONE 1ST FLOOR APARTMENT IS EMPTY AND ON COMBO LOCKBOX.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$12,238 · $1,020/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$13,499 · $1,125/mo
Expected delta
+$1,261/yr (+$105/mo · 10.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 63% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$212,988
− Mortgage interest
−$67,219
− Property taxes
−$12,238
− Insurance
−$6,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$17,039
− Management
−$17,039
− Depreciation
−$34,909
Taxable income
$58,544
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$14,051
After-tax cash flow
$60,457/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Somerville
NCES district ID
2510890
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$71,304
Composite
31.9/100
National rank
#5858
State rank
#223 of 302 in MA

Livability — Somerville

Score
84/100
State rank
#18
US rank
#752

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime B- Employment A+ Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Somerville, MA
County
Middlesex County · 1,437,704 people
City population
78,456
Metro
Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH
Population (ZIP)
27,495
Household income
$123,755
Rent vs Own
64.4% rent · 35.6% own
Severe rent burden
1487.0

Population outlook (Middlesex County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,740,269 people
By 2030
1,817,187 · +4.4%
By 2040
1,963,195 · +12.8%
By 2050
2,087,461 · +20.0%
By 2075
2,344,036 · +34.7%
By 2100
2,383,776 · +37.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Hispanic / Latino 18% Asian 12% Two or more races 10% Black 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Russian 5% Romanian 3% Estonian 3%
Foreign-born
33% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
59% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 15% Chinese 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Middlesex

2024 margin
Solid D (+39.5) · D 68.5% · R 29.0% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
+9.3pp toward D · 2008: 30.1pp · 2024: 39.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+39.5 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+38.1 2012: D+26.9 2008: D+30.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -275.63%
Current HPI
152.4622
Rent YoY
▲ 4.48%
Metro
Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.28%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+144.9% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $1,200,000 MLS PIN
  • 2009-07-22 Sold (Public Records) $325,000 Public Records
  • 2009-07-21 Sold (MLS) $325,000 MLS PIN
  • 2009-03-02 Contingent MLS PIN
  • 2009-02-20 Relisted MLS PIN
  • 2009-02-03 Contingent MLS PIN
  • 2009-01-23 Listed $350,000 MLS PIN
  • 2003-05-07 Sold (Public Records) $469,900 Public Records
  • 2003-05-06 Sold (MLS) $469,900 MLS PIN
  • 2003-03-27 Listing Removed MLS PIN
  • 2003-02-24 Listed $489,900 MLS PIN

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $12,238 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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