925 41st Street Ensley · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.9/30.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- ARV discount +3.5/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Call your investors. This home is vacant and ready to move into. Fenced backyard. All one level.
Key facts
- One level
- Fenced backyard
- 6,098 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Connected sewer; Gas water heater; Internet service available
- Home design: Existing single-family residence; Crawl space foundation
- Construction: Siding (other) exterior construction
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Open patio; Interior, irregular lot with some trees
Interior
- Kitchen: Eating area; Laminate countertops
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms, both on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom with tub/shower combo
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Window air conditioning units; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Ceilings described as other (see remarks); No additional built-in interior features listed; Window treatments remain
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $150 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
- Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.2%/yr); 122 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.2% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.77%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $87,188
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 821 46th St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,254 (+2%) | 0mo | $116,000 | $93 | 80 |
| 1205 41st Street Ensley | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,204 (-2%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $104 | 74 |
| 1031 40th St | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,130 (-8%) | 1mo | $76,000 | $67 | 72 |
| 513 Lloyd Noland Pkwy | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,212 (-1%) | 3mo | $77,900 | $64 | 69 |
| 1112 47th St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 1,166 (-5%) | 5mo | $83,000 | $71 | 67 |
| 940 47th Street Ensley | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,100 (-10%) | 0mo | $49,000 | $45 | 64 |
| 1515 35th St | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,205 (-2%) | 1mo | $80,000 | $66 | 55 |
| 1341 41st St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,340 (+9%) | 5mo | $106,000 | $79 | 52 |
| 5219 Court G | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,140 (-7%) | 4mo | $47,000 | $41 | 50 |
| 314 43rd St | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 1,068 (-13%) | 5mo | $53,500 | $50 | 43 |
| 1523 44th St E | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,307 (+6%) | 5mo | $133,000 | $102 | 42 |
| 1037 W 51st St | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,392 (+13%) | 3mo | $174,000 | $125 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.24% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-1,218
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 12.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.20×
- Total profit
- $31,922
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35208
- Home prices YoY
- -18.1%
- Rents YoY
- 7.2%
- Active inventory
- 122
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,033 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$128 /mo · $1,541/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$217
- Net cashflow
- $150
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 931 41st Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1048 | $995 | $0.95 | 3d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 1309 41st St Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,200 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 621 Valley Rd Fairfield, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 935 | $900 | $0.96 | 43d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 813 46th St Fairfield, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $825 | $0.75 | 10d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 920 47th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $895 | $0.84 | 3d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 728 41st St Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1316 | $1,100 | $0.84 | 43d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 708 40th St Fairfield, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 788 | $650 | $0.82 | 43d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1037 47th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1299 | $1,000 | $0.77 | 43d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 5001 Farrell Ave Fairfield, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1218 | $995 | $0.82 | 43d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 518 Oak Pl Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1236 | $875 | $0.71 | 19d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1112 47th St W Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1166 | $975 | $0.84 | 43d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 518 41st St Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1095 | $1,200 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1306 35th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,173 | $1.07 | 3d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 3517 Avenue F Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1155 | $1,200 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 829 51st Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1203 | $1,340 | $1.11 | 3d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1410 46th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,000 | $0.83 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 5219 Court G Unit G Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1140 | $950 | $0.83 | 23d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1420 Warrior Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1061 | $1,050 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1429 Warrior Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1036 | $850 | $0.82 | 15d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1301 32nd Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $975 | $0.81 | 43d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 5316 Court I Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1284 | $1,200 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1417 34th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1103 | $1,025 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3100 Avenue J Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1409 | $1,000 | $0.71 | 10d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 3212 Avenue G Unit G Ensley, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 902 | $850 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1509 44th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1260 | $1,123 | $0.89 | 11d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1429 47th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $750 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 5406 Court G Unit G Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1449 | $1,199 | $0.83 | 11d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 410 54th St Fairfield, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1068 | $700 | $0.66 | 2d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1520 41st Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,195 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1515 45th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $875 | $0.61 | 3d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1313 Pike Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1437 | $975 | $0.68 | 43d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1540 42nd Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 899 | $1,037 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 5503 Myron Massey Blvd Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1119 | $1,200 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 3201 Avenue E Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $925 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1604 44th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1528 34th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 972 | $1,073 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2908 Avenue I Unit I Ensley, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1383 | $1,025 | $0.74 | 23d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1607 43rd Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1435 | $1,150 | $0.80 | 23d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1617 42nd Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1413 | $1,030 | $0.73 | 15d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 5712 Monte Sano Rd Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $900 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $95,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 96-char remark
-
2026-06-16$95,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,541 · $128/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,541 · $128/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,399
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$1,541
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$992
- − Management
- −$992
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $314
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$75
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,726/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birmingham City
- NCES district ID
- 0100390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,988
- Composite
- 9.49/100
- National rank
- #9850
- State rank
- #116 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Birmingham, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 210,422
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,412
- Household income
- $38,561
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 573.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% White 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.99%
- Current HPI
- 153.414
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.24%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $95,000 Greater Alabama MLS
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,541 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…