606 8th St · Three Rivers, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$56,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
* * * CASH / Renovation loan / Land contractGREAT Investor Special Opportunity awaits with this fixer-upper in the heart of Three Rivers! The rehab has started and now features new vinyl siding that is nearly finished and the roof replacement is awaiting the shingles to be installed. Come with your tool box to complete this renovation project either as a SFR or possibly a 2-unit dwelling. Upper level is plumbed for a full bathroom and kitchen. Featuring a total of 4 spacious rooms, 2 full bathrooms with a sizable lot, and a convenient location, this property is perfect for investors or ambitious homeowners ready to bring it back to life. Don't miss this chance to add value in a growing market! MOTIVATED Sellers and all reasonable offers will be considered.
Key facts
- Roof replacement
- New vinyl siding
- Convenient location
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $57k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $737 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $57k).
- Recommended offer: $55k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.8% vs local median 5.2% in Three Rivers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#306 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D, amenities F.
- Three Rivers Community Schools (town): math 37% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #200 of 540 in MI (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 178 active listings in the ZIP; 125 units permitted in St. Joseph County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $393 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Joseph County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 14 sale attempts since 35y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $3k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $57k implies a 128% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.47% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 55.47%
- DSCR
- 3.47
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $160,643
- List price
- $56,900
- Delta
- -64.58%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 809 State St | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 1,500 (-2%) | 9mo | $165,000 | $110 | 79 |
| 1006 Madison St | 0.14mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,400 (-9%) | 9mo | $162,000 | $116 | 64 |
| 1209 7th St | 0.43mi | 3/3.0 | 1,501 (-2%) | 6mo | $195,000 | $130 | 63 |
| 902 4th St | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,410 (-8%) | 9mo | $30,000 | $21 | 59 |
| 210 Middle St | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 | 1,399 (-9%) | 6mo | $69,500 | $50 | 58 |
| 919 4th St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,304 (-15%) | 2mo | $55,000 | $42 | 56 |
| 1016 4th St | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 | 1,357 (-12%) | 7mo | $180,000 | $133 | 54 |
| 305 Pearl St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,648 (+8%) | 10mo | $215,000 | $130 | 54 |
| 1319 S Main St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,404 (-8%) | 10mo | $150,000 | $107 | 53 |
| 612 S Hooker Ave | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,524 (-1%) | 10mo | $195,000 | $128 | 48 |
| 424 Fourth Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,407 (-8%) | 10mo | $185,000 | $131 | 47 |
| 632 Spring St | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,653 (+8%) | 8mo | $180,000 | $109 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 53.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.37×
- Total profit
- $37,699
- Equity at exit
- $8,484
- IRR
- 58.9%
- Equity multiple
- 6.85×
- Total profit
- $93,272
- Equity at exit
- $4,920
Cash invested: $15,932 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49093
- Active inventory
- 178
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,407 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$298
- Tax from tax record
- −$53 /mo · $637/yr
- Insurance
- −$24
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$296
- Net cashflow
- $737
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $769 | -5% $753 | +0% $737 | +5% $720 | +10% $704 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $625 | -5% $681 | +0% $737 | +5% $792 | +10% $848 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $765 | -0.5pp $751 | base $737 | +0.5pp $722 | +1.0pp $707 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,225
- Closing costs
- $1,707
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 36 events
-
2026-04-19price $56,900 768-char remark
Show marketing remark (769 chars)
* * * CASH / Renovation loan / Land contractGREAT Investor Special Opportunity awaits with this fixer-upper in the heart of Three Rivers! The rehab has started and now features new vinyl siding that is nearly finished and the roof replacement is awaiting the shingles to be installed. Come with your tool box to complete this renovation project either as a SFR or possibly a 2-unit dwelling. Upper level is plumbed for a full bathroom and kitchen. Featuring a total of 4 spacious rooms, 2 full bathrooms with a sizable lot, and a convenient location, this property is perfect for investors or ambitious homeowners ready to bring it back to life. Don't miss this chance to add value in a growing market! MOTIVATED Sellers and all reasonable offers will be considered.
-
2026-04-19price $56,900 769-char remark
Show marketing remark (769 chars)
* * * CASH / Renovation loan / Land contractGREAT Investor Special Opportunity awaits with this fixer-upper in the heart of Three Rivers! The rehab has started and now features new vinyl siding that is nearly finished and the roof replacement is awaiting the shingles to be installed. Come with your tool box to complete this renovation project either as a SFR or possibly a 2-unit dwelling. Upper level is plumbed for a full bathroom and kitchen. Featuring a total of 4 spacious rooms, 2 full bathrooms with a sizable lot, and a convenient location, this property is perfect for investors or ambitious homeowners ready to bring it back to life. Don't miss this chance to add value in a growing market! MOTIVATED Sellers and all reasonable offers will be considered.
-
2026-04-19price $56,900
Show marketing remark (769 chars)
* * * CASH / Renovation loan / Land contractGREAT Investor Special Opportunity awaits with this fixer-upper in the heart of Three Rivers! The rehab has started and now features new vinyl siding that is nearly finished and the roof replacement is awaiting the shingles to be installed. Come with your tool box to complete this renovation project either as a SFR or possibly a 2-unit dwelling. Upper level is plumbed for a full bathroom and kitchen. Featuring a total of 4 spacious rooms, 2 full bathrooms with a sizable lot, and a convenient location, this property is perfect for investors or ambitious homeowners ready to bring it back to life. Don't miss this chance to add value in a growing market! MOTIVATED Sellers and all reasonable offers will be considered.
-
2026-04-01$59,900 Active 768-char remark
Show marketing remark (769 chars)
* * * CASH / Renovation loan / Land contractGREAT Investor Special Opportunity awaits with this fixer-upper in the heart of Three Rivers! The rehab has started and now features new vinyl siding that is nearly finished and the roof replacement is awaiting the shingles to be installed. Come with your tool box to complete this renovation project either as a SFR or possibly a 2-unit dwelling. Upper level is plumbed for a full bathroom and kitchen. Featuring a total of 4 spacious rooms, 2 full bathrooms with a sizable lot, and a convenient location, this property is perfect for investors or ambitious homeowners ready to bring it back to life. Don't miss this chance to add value in a growing market! MOTIVATED Sellers and all reasonable offers will be considered.
-
2026-04-01$59,900 Active 769-char remark
Show marketing remark (769 chars)
* * * CASH / Renovation loan / Land contractGREAT Investor Special Opportunity awaits with this fixer-upper in the heart of Three Rivers! The rehab has started and now features new vinyl siding that is nearly finished and the roof replacement is awaiting the shingles to be installed. Come with your tool box to complete this renovation project either as a SFR or possibly a 2-unit dwelling. Upper level is plumbed for a full bathroom and kitchen. Featuring a total of 4 spacious rooms, 2 full bathrooms with a sizable lot, and a convenient location, this property is perfect for investors or ambitious homeowners ready to bring it back to life. Don't miss this chance to add value in a growing market! MOTIVATED Sellers and all reasonable offers will be considered.
-
2026-04-01$59,900 Active
Show marketing remark (769 chars)
* * * CASH / Renovation loan / Land contractGREAT Investor Special Opportunity awaits with this fixer-upper in the heart of Three Rivers! The rehab has started and now features new vinyl siding that is nearly finished and the roof replacement is awaiting the shingles to be installed. Come with your tool box to complete this renovation project either as a SFR or possibly a 2-unit dwelling. Upper level is plumbed for a full bathroom and kitchen. Featuring a total of 4 spacious rooms, 2 full bathrooms with a sizable lot, and a convenient location, this property is perfect for investors or ambitious homeowners ready to bring it back to life. Don't miss this chance to add value in a growing market! MOTIVATED Sellers and all reasonable offers will be considered.
-
2026-02-10historical
-
2026-01-05price $54,900
-
2026-01-04price $54,900
-
2026-01-04price $54,900
-
2025-12-13$59,900 Active
-
2025-12-13$59,900 Active
-
2025-12-01historical
-
2025-11-30historical
-
2025-10-24price $49,900
-
2025-10-23price $49,900
-
2025-10-23price $49,900
-
2025-10-08$59,900 Active
-
2025-10-08$59,900 Active
-
2025-05-19soldstatus $25,000 Closed
-
2025-05-19soldstatus $25,000 Closed
-
2025-05-19soldstatus $25,000 Sold
-
2025-05-07status Pending
-
2025-05-07status Pending
-
2025-05-07status Pending
-
2025-03-19$40,000 Active
-
2025-03-19$40,000 Active
-
2025-03-19$40,000 Active
-
2014-09-15historical
-
2008-12-23soldstatus $8,500
-
2008-12-23soldstatus $8,500
-
2008-11-21$8,900
-
2008-11-21$8,900
-
1991-12-31historical
-
1991-01-06$34,000
-
1991-01-06$34,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $637 · $53/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $757 · $63/mo
- Expected delta
- +$120/yr (+$10/mo · 18.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,887
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,187
- − Property taxes
- −$637
- − Insurance
- −$284
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,351
- − Management
- −$1,351
- − Depreciation
- −$1,655
- Taxable income
- $8,421
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,021
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,817/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Three Rivers Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2633840
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,576
- Composite
- 34.97/100
- National rank
- #5058
- State rank
- #200 of 540 in MI
Livability — Three Rivers
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #306
- US rank
- #7604
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Three Rivers, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,439
Population outlook (St. Joseph County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 58,726 people
- By 2030
- 57,030 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 53,266 · -9.3%
- By 2050
- 49,343 · -16.0%
- By 2075
- 40,441 · -31.1%
- By 2100
- 31,981 · -45.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 11% Iranian 5% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Joseph
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.2% · R 66.2% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.8pp toward R · 2008: -2.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+31.7 2016: R+31.0 2012: R+12.3 2008: R+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -159.07%
- Current HPI
- 226.5079
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+67.4% since first listed36 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-19 Price Changed $56,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-19 Price Changed $56,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-19 Price Changed $56,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-01 Listed $59,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-01 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-01 Listed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-10 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $54,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-04 Price Changed $54,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-04 Price Changed $54,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-12-13 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-12-13 Listed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-11-30 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-10-24 Price Changed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-23 Price Changed $49,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-10-23 Price Changed $49,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-10-08 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-10-08 Listed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-05-19 Sold (MLS) $25,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-05-19 Sold (MLS) $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-05-19 Sold (MLS) $25,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-05-07 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-05-07 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2025-05-07 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-03-19 Listed $40,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-03-19 Listed $40,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-03-19 Listed $40,000 REALCOMP
- 2014-09-15 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 2008-12-23 Sold (MLS) $8,500 REALCOMP
- 2008-12-23 Sold (MLS) $8,500 SW Michigan MLS
- 2008-11-21 Listed $8,900 REALCOMP
- 2008-11-21 Listed $8,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 1991-12-31 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 1991-01-06 Listed $34,000 REALCOMP
- 1991-01-06 Listed $34,000 SW Michigan MLS
Property tax history
+0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $637 · -32.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…