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3113 Anita St
B- Composite 69.52
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

3113 Anita St · Houston, TX 77004
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,282 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 39 Days on market
Built 1950 3,192 sqft lot $109/sqft · 37% below area Est $221k · 37% under ↓ 22% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great investment opportunity with great locations. This 3 bedroom, 1 and 1/2 bathroom has a great location near the museum district, medical center and Houston downtown.

Key facts

  • Medical center
  • Houston downtown
  • Museum district

Tags

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYMUSEUM DISTRICTMEDICAL CENTERHOUSTON DOWNTOWN

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Lease not considered
  • HOA & community: Community curbs

Exterior

  • Parking: No designated parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Faces southwest; Built in 1950; Single-level living area of 1,282
  • Construction: Cement siding; Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Concrete road access; Located in a subdivision

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Microwave; Oven
  • Bedrooms: 3 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Window cooling units
  • Interior features: Primary bedroom has a private bath; Tub/shower combination
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $351 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Blackshear El (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #2,525 of 4,322 statewide, top 62%, 308 students, 99% FRL); Cullen Middle (math 6% / reading 14%, grade F, #1,641 of 1,662 statewide, top 99%, 324 students, 100% FRL); Yates H S (math 12% / reading 23%, grade F, #1,451 of 1,632 statewide, top 89%, 851 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 71% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 19% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 585 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $135,703 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.34%
Cap rate
9.31%
Cash-on-cash
10.76%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$220,893
List price
$139,900
Delta
-36.67%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3022 Mcilhenny St 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,319 (+3%) 8mo $179,900 $136 74
3704 Sauer St 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,232 (-4%) 1mo $219,900 $178 71
1747 Aden Mist Dr 0.64mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,283 (+0%) 0mo $279,000 $217 63
3605 Mcgowen St 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,254 (-2%) 7mo $205,000 $163 61
3135 Webster St 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,189 (-7%) 12mo $299,000 $251 56
1723 Aden Dr 0.67mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,298 (+1%) 13mo $299,000 $230 49
3313 Sampson St 0.35mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,092 (-15%) 8mo $90,000 $82 47
2513 Isabella St 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,176 (-8%) 8mo $274,299 $233 46
3609 Beulah St 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,427 (+11%) 12mo $240,000 $168 42
1721 Aden Dr 0.67mi 3/2.5 1,410 (+10%) 12mo $295,000 $209 38
1774 Aden Dr 0.64mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,410 (+10%) 8mo $289,000 $205 38
1773 Aden Dr 0.64mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,410 (+10%) 10mo $284,900 $202 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.0%
Equity multiple
0.86×
Total profit
$-5,660
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
1.4%
Equity multiple
1.08×
Total profit
$3,191
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77004

Rents YoY
-0.3%
Active inventory
585
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,872 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$336 /mo · $4,026/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$393
Net cashflow
$351

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,427
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $430 -5% $391 +0% $351 +5% $312 +10% $272
Rent -10% $203 -5% $277 +0% $351 +5% $425 +10% $499
Rate -1.0pp $422 -0.5pp $387 base $351 +0.5pp $315 +1.0pp $278

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3270 Reeves St Unit 3274 Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 1044 $875 $0.84 26d 1 0.29mi
3229 Holman St Houston, TX 4.0 4.0 1632 $1,200 $0.74 45d 1 0.29mi
3012 Live Oak St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1188 $1,395 $1.17 22d 1 0.39mi
3210 Winbern St Unit B Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,095 $1.09 22d 1 0.41mi
3309 Webster St Unit 1472545P Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1334 $3,335 $2.50 1d 1 0.48mi
2675 Gray St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 838 $1,057 $1.26 45d 6 0.54mi
3015 Isabella St Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 1452 $1,399 $0.96 1d 1 0.55mi
3719 Elgin St Houston, TX 1.0–5.0 1.0–5.0 1241 $1,374 $1.11 26d 14 0.62mi
3448 Coyle St Unit 3174 Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1151 $1,199 $1.04 0d 1 0.66mi
3448 Coyle St Unit 2174 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1024 $928 $0.91 0d 1 0.66mi
3448 Coyle St Unit 510 Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1151 $1,215 $1.06 17d 1 0.66mi
3448 Coyle St Unit 2162 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1024 $944 $0.92 6d 1 0.66mi
3448 Coyle St Unit 421 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1024 $944 $0.92 9d 1 0.66mi
2202 Hutchins St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 887 $1,500 $1.69 45d 1 0.74mi
2102 Gray St Unit Na Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 1267 $2,200 $1.74 23d 1 0.80mi
2401 Eagle St Houston, TX 4.0 4.0 1700 $2,800 $1.65 45d 1 0.81mi
2311 Eagle St Houston, TX 3.0 4.0 1783 $2,500 $1.40 45d 1 0.84mi
2301 Chenevert St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1029 $1,900 $1.85 26d 1 0.93mi
3603 Chenevert St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1020 $2,129 $2.09 15d 8 0.93mi
1907 Cullen Blvd Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 950 $1,509 $1.59 19d 1 0.95mi
1907 Cullen Blvd Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 950 $1,509 $1.59 22d 1 0.95mi
2216 Chenevert St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.5–2.5 1380 $2,800 $2.03 26d 3 0.95mi
2703 Blodgett St Unit 1047952P Houston, TX 1.0–5.0 1.5–5.5 2497 $12,804 $5.13 0d 2 0.96mi
3609 Chenevert St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1168 $1,749 $1.50 23d 1 0.96mi
3609 Chenevert St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1168 $1,749 $1.50 21d 1 0.96mi
2319 Rosewood St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 1333 $1,515 $1.14 26d 1 0.96mi
2425 Bell St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0–2.0 860 $2,806 $3.26 1d 72 0.97mi
1920 Hamilton St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1117 $2,160 $1.93 45d 1 1.00mi
1800 Saint Joseph Pkwy Unit 2165 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1117 $1,729 $1.55 0d 1 1.01mi
1800 Saint Joseph Pkwy Unit 2187 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1117 $1,770 $1.58 0d 1 1.01mi
1800 Saint Joseph Pkwy Unit 2187 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1117 $1,780 $1.59 6d 1 1.01mi
2401 Crawford St Unit A210 Houston, TX 2.0 2.5 963 $2,800 $2.91 26d 1 1.01mi
1800 Saint Joseph Pkwy Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1029 $1,900 $1.85 45d 1 1.01mi
1800 Saint Joseph Pkwy Unit 1837 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1117 $1,769 $1.58 12d 1 1.01mi
1800 St Joseph Pkwy Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 950 $1,900 $2.00 9d 3 1.01mi
2615 Arbor St Unit 1047947P Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1194 $2,342 $1.96 0d 1 1.07mi
2615 Arbor St Unit 1047942P Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1194 $2,742 $2.30 23d 1 1.07mi
3237 Rosedale St #4 Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 12d 1 1.08mi
2340 Polk St Unit EEL1 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1053 $1,775 $1.69 45d 1 1.09mi
2511 Arbor St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 1368 $2,450 $1.79 12d 1 1.10mi

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $139,900 Active 39 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,900 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,900 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,900 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,900 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,900 Active 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $139,900 Active 27 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,900 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,900 Active 25 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $139,900 Active 22 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,900 Active 19 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,900 Active 18 DOM
  13. 2026-05-13
    listed $139,900 Active 169-char remark
  14. 2026-04-22
    historical
  15. 2026-01-26
    listed $139,900 Active
  16. 2026-01-26
    historical
  17. 2025-12-19
    listed $139,900 Active
  18. 2025-12-19
    historical
  19. 2025-10-30
    price $139,900
  20. 2025-02-03
    status Active
  21. 2025-01-31
    historical
  22. 2024-12-30
    status Active
  23. 2024-12-26
    historical
  24. 2024-09-26
    price $155,000
  25. 2024-09-26
    status Active
  26. 2024-09-24
    historical
  27. 2024-09-05
    status Active
  28. 2024-08-28
    status Option Pending
  29. 2024-07-02
    listed $180,000 Active
  30. 1988-01-02
    soldstatus
  31. 1988-01-02
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,026 · $336/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,026 · $336/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 66% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,461
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$4,026
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,797
− Management
−$1,797
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable income
$2,235
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$536
After-tax cash flow
$3,678/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston ISD
NCES district ID
4823640
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$46,054
Composite
26.63/100
National rank
#7173
State rank
#593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
35,997
Household income
$71,199
Rent vs Own
61.8% rent · 38.2% own
Severe rent burden
3072.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Black 48% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 11% Asian 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 10% Chinese 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -139.34%
Current HPI
199.6066
Rent YoY
▼ -0.32%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-22.3% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $139,900 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2026-01-26 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2026-01-26 Listed $139,900 HARMLS
  • 2025-12-19 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2025-12-19 Listed $139,900 HARMLS
  • 2025-10-30 Price Changed $139,900 HARMLS
  • 2025-02-03 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2025-01-31 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2024-12-30 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2024-12-26 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2024-09-26 Price Changed $155,000 HARMLS
  • 2024-09-26 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2024-09-24 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2024-09-05 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2024-08-28 Pending HARMLS
  • 2024-07-02 Listed $180,000 HARMLS
  • 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+8.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,026 · +14.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…