1695 E Plum St · Jesup, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Perfect investment property or starter home! This 2 bed 1 bath mobile home is situated a half acre with plenty of privacy in the backyard. Shed with an attached shelter. Needs a little TLC but in excellent condition for the money! $39,900. Owner is a licensed real estate broker.
Key facts
- Two combined lots
- Working kitchen
- 0.59 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot is approximately 0.59 acres
Exterior
- Utilities: Utilities located in feet proximity for electric, gas, sewer, and water
- Home design: Single building on the lot; Mobile home (Fleetwood) remains on the property
- Exterior features: Residential zoning
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Interior features: Five total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $84k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $470 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $84k).
- Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 4.5% in Jesup — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#112 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Wayne County (rural): math 35% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #68 of 174 in GA (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 163 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $581 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $39k; list at $84k implies a 115% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.97%
- DSCR
- 2.07
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.69×
- Total profit
- $16,333
- Equity at exit
- $12,525
- IRR
- 25.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.25×
- Total profit
- $52,836
- Equity at exit
- $7,263
Cash invested: $23,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31546
- Home prices YoY
- -5.2%
- Active inventory
- 84
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,330 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$441
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$105 /mo · $1,260/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$279
- Net cashflow
- $470
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $528 | -5% $499 | +0% $470 | +5% $441 | +10% $412 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $365 | -5% $417 | +0% $470 | +5% $522 | +10% $575 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $512 | -0.5pp $491 | base $470 | +0.5pp $448 | +1.0pp $426 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,000
- Closing costs
- $2,520
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $84,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $84,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $84,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $84,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $84,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $84,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 693-char remark
-
2026-06-13$84,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,955
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,705
- − Property taxes
- −$1,260
- − Insurance
- −$420
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,276
- − Management
- −$1,276
- − Depreciation
- −$2,444
- Taxable income
- $4,573
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,098
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,541/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wayne County
- NCES district ID
- 1305550
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,918
- Composite
- 29.3/100
- National rank
- #6554
- State rank
- #68 of 174 in GA
Livability — Jesup
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #112
- US rank
- #8442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jesup, GA
- City population
- 1,050
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,931
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 28,891 people
- By 2030
- 28,388 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 27,396 · -5.2%
- By 2050
- 26,135 · -9.5%
- By 2075
- 23,253 · -19.5%
- By 2100
- 19,481 · -32.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Portuguese 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+59.8) · D 20.0% · R 79.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.8pp toward R · 2008: -44.9pp · 2024: -59.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+59.8 2020: R+57.1 2016: R+58.9 2012: R+48.3 2008: R+44.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -12.73%
- Current HPI
- 229.8473
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+110.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $84,000 GIAR
- 2022-02-03 Sold (MLS) $39,000 HABR
- 2022-01-10 Listed $39,900 HABR
Property tax history
+0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $77 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…