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3403 Forest Dr
D Composite 41.9
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.8/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • DSCR +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$210,000

3403 Forest Dr · Bryant, AR 72022
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,485 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 20 Days on market
Built 1998 Est $221k · 5% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Move in ready home on a corner lot. Come see the open floor plan, neutral paint colors, and fully fenced backyard. RV parking helps with those large or small recreational vehicles that you don't want in the garage. Close to restaurants, shopping, and the interstate. Come see this home before it slips away.

Key facts

  • Concrete pad
  • Garage has ac vents
  • Rv hook up

Tags

CORNER LOTFENCED IN YARDCONCRETE PADRV HOOK UPGATE IN THE BACKGARAGE HAS AC VENTS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-21 ($-255/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $206k (1.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $160k (23.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $160k (23.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.9% in Bryant — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#16 in AR, #4,487 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Bryant School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #16 of 238 in AR (top 7%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 97 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 446 units permitted in Saline County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Saline County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $160,146 (23.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
6.17%
Cash-on-cash
-0.43%
DSCR
0.98
GRM
10.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$221,265
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3419 Forest Dr 0.04mi 3/2.0 1,576 (+6%) 5mo $229,000 $145 84
1101 Sunset Gdns E 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,470 (-1%) 7mo $244,500 $166 78
2918 Forest Dr 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,532 (+3%) 4mo $231,900 $151 77
3501 Andrew Dr 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,625 (+9%) 4mo $242,000 $149 76
2902 Andrew Dr 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,391 (-6%) 2mo $205,000 $147 73
2102 Justus Loop 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,352 (-9%) 4mo $195,000 $144 71
3000 Andrew Dr 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,378 (-7%) 6mo $220,000 $160 70
4215 Stillman Loop 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,415 (-5%) 5mo $147,000 $104 69
2010 Turtle Cv 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,474 (-1%) 2mo $216,000 $147 65
4019 Stillman Loop 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,344 (-10%) 6mo $220,000 $164 64
4014 Stillman Loop 0.30mi 3/1.5 1,310 (-12%) 1mo $199,000 $152 63
3401 Vickie Dr 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,649 (+11%) 6mo $200,000 $121 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.1%
Equity multiple
0.40×
Total profit
$-35,462
Equity at exit
$31,312
10-year hold
IRR
-9.1%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-32,939
Equity at exit
$18,157

Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72022

Home prices YoY
-16.5%
Active inventory
97
Price-to-rent
10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,601 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax from tax record
$98 /mo · $1,172/yr
Insurance
$88
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$336
Net cashflow
$-21

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,628
Max offer price $206,240
Occupancy floor 96%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,500
Closing costs
$6,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1612 Waldron Cv Bryant, AR 3.0 2.5 1824 $1,786 $0.98 23d 1 0.29mi
1916 Brandon Cv Bryant, AR 2.0–3.0 2.0 1160 $1,385 $1.19 14d 1 0.93mi
1810 Melba Cir Unit 2 Bryant, AR 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,395 $1.16 14d 1 1.19mi
3500 Double Eagle Way Bryant, AR 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 818 $1,065 $1.30 14d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $210,000 Active 20 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $210,000 Active 19 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $210,000 Active 18 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $210,000 Active 17 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $210,000 Active 15 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $210,000 Active 14 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $210,000 Active 12 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $210,000 Active 11 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $210,000 Active 10 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $210,000 Active 9 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $210,000 Active 6 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $210,000 Active 5 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $210,000 Active 4 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $210,000 Active 3 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $210,000 Active 2 DOM
  16. 2026-05-29
    listed $210,000 Active
  17. 2021-10-05
    soldstatus $192,000
  18. 2021-09-28
    soldstatus $192,000 Sold 307-char remark
    Show marketing remark (307 chars)

    Move in ready home on a corner lot. Come see the open floor plan, neutral paint colors, and fully fenced backyard. RV parking helps with those large or small recreational vehicles that you don't want in the garage. Close to restaurants, shopping, and the interstate. Come see this home before it slips away.

  19. 2021-09-03
    status Under Contract 307-char remark
    Show marketing remark (307 chars)

    Move in ready home on a corner lot. Come see the open floor plan, neutral paint colors, and fully fenced backyard. RV parking helps with those large or small recreational vehicles that you don't want in the garage. Close to restaurants, shopping, and the interstate. Come see this home before it slips away.

  20. 2021-09-01
    price $180,000 307-char remark
    Show marketing remark (307 chars)

    Move in ready home on a corner lot. Come see the open floor plan, neutral paint colors, and fully fenced backyard. RV parking helps with those large or small recreational vehicles that you don't want in the garage. Close to restaurants, shopping, and the interstate. Come see this home before it slips away.

  21. 2021-08-30
    listed $178,000 New Listing 307-char remark
    Show marketing remark (307 chars)

    Move in ready home on a corner lot. Come see the open floor plan, neutral paint colors, and fully fenced backyard. RV parking helps with those large or small recreational vehicles that you don't want in the garage. Close to restaurants, shopping, and the interstate. Come see this home before it slips away.

  22. 2014-01-08
    soldstatus $127,500 370-char remark
    Show marketing remark (370 chars)

    Nice home on corner lot. This 3 BR, 2 bath home has great curb appeal. Living room with vaulted ceiling has gas log fireplace. Eat-in kitchen with pantry. 285 sq. ft. is enclosed garage. Nice size bedrooms. Texas-style master bath. Roof 2 years old. Heat/AC 1 year old. Great fully fenced backyard wtih double gate off side street to RV pad. Make your appointment today.

  23. 2013-12-05
    historical 370-char remark
    Show marketing remark (370 chars)

    Nice home on corner lot. This 3 BR, 2 bath home has great curb appeal. Living room with vaulted ceiling has gas log fireplace. Eat-in kitchen with pantry. 285 sq. ft. is enclosed garage. Nice size bedrooms. Texas-style master bath. Roof 2 years old. Heat/AC 1 year old. Great fully fenced backyard wtih double gate off side street to RV pad. Make your appointment today.

  24. 2013-10-11
    listed $134,500 370-char remark
    Show marketing remark (370 chars)

    Nice home on corner lot. This 3 BR, 2 bath home has great curb appeal. Living room with vaulted ceiling has gas log fireplace. Eat-in kitchen with pantry. 285 sq. ft. is enclosed garage. Nice size bedrooms. Texas-style master bath. Roof 2 years old. Heat/AC 1 year old. Great fully fenced backyard wtih double gate off side street to RV pad. Make your appointment today.

  25. 2004-10-14
    soldstatus $134,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,172 · $98/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,344 · $112/mo
Expected delta
+$172/yr (+$14/mo · 14.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,218
− Mortgage interest
−$11,763
− Property taxes
−$1,172
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,537
− Management
−$1,537
− Depreciation
−$6,109
Taxable loss
−$3,952
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$948
After-tax cash flow
$693/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bryant School District
NCES district ID
0503690
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$57,578
Composite
42.28/100
National rank
#3266
State rank
#16 of 238 in AR

Livability — Bryant

Score
74/100
State rank
#16
US rank
#4487

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bryant, AR
City population
18,350
Population (ZIP)
18,350

Population outlook (Saline County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
140,141 people
By 2030
151,233 · +7.9%
By 2040
173,100 · +23.5%
By 2050
194,368 · +38.7%
By 2075
245,295 · +75.0%
By 2100
279,117 · +99.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Black 13% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Korean 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Saline

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.1) · D 28.8% · R 69.0% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.8pp no change · 2008: -41.0pp · 2024: -40.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.1 2020: R+41.2 2016: R+43.5 2012: R+42.7 2008: R+41.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -42.32%
Current HPI
213.5119
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+56.7% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $210,000 FSBO.com
  • 2021-10-05 Sold (Public Records) $192,000 Public Records
  • 2021-09-28 Sold (MLS) $192,000 CARMLS
  • 2021-09-03 Pending CARMLS
  • 2021-09-01 Price Changed $180,000 CARMLS
  • 2021-08-30 Listed $178,000 CARMLS
  • 2014-01-08 Sold (MLS) $127,500 CARMLS
  • 2013-12-05 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2013-10-11 Listed $134,500 CARMLS
  • 2004-10-14 Sold (Public Records) $134,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,172 · -7.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…