3212 E 12th Ave · Sheffield, AL
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.1%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 23.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 bed 2 bath house on 2 lots. Structurally good. Needs some TLC. NO OWNER FINANCE OR RENT TO OWN! open to reasonable offer. 731-646-0823
Key facts
- Unfinished basement
- Customization
- Double lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $472 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $113k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 5.1% in Sheffield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#312 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Sheffield City (suburban): math 12% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #103 of 129 in AL (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 115 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 91 units permitted in Colbert County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Colbert County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $88k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.57%
- DSCR
- 1.78
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $154,425
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1623 Oak Grove Blvd | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,692 (-5%) | 3mo | $169,000 | $100 | 72 |
| 3003 E 14th Ave | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,845 (+4%) | 6mo | $179,900 | $98 | 70 |
| 1621 Oak Grove Blvd | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,662 (-6%) | 5mo | $128,000 | $77 | 67 |
| 1607 Tennessee St | 0.37mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,836 (+3%) | 11mo | $74,000 | $40 | 63 |
| 1203 Spruce Cir | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,548 (-13%) | 0mo | $199,000 | $129 | 62 |
| 1629 Ridge Dr | 0.38mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,635 (-8%) | 1mo | $96,800 | $59 | 61 |
| 1621 Hillcrest Ave | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,670 (-6%) | 12mo | $175,900 | $105 | 59 |
| 1514 Oak Grove Blvd | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,976 (+11%) | 10mo | $71,000 | $36 | 53 |
| 1506 E 28th St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (-15%) | 4mo | $125,000 | $83 | 48 |
| 1912 31st St E | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,658 (-7%) | 12mo | $145,000 | $87 | 47 |
| 1700 Crestline Ave | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,550 (-13%) | 11mo | $129,500 | $84 | 39 |
| 302 Meredith Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,520 (-14%) | 8mo | $264,000 | $174 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.35×
- Total profit
- $11,355
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 18.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.50×
- Total profit
- $48,391
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35660
- Home prices YoY
- -29.5%
- Active inventory
- 115
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,472 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$40 /mo · $484/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$309
- Net cashflow
- $472
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3112 E 21st Ave Sheffield, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1890 | $1,595 | $0.84 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 100 Brink Ct Sheffield, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $899 | $0.82 | 43d | 5 | 1.00mi |
| 701 E 18th St Sheffield, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2000 | $1,800 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $115,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15price $115,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $120,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $120,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $120,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $125,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $125,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-12$129,900 Active 137-char remark
Show marketing remark (137 chars)
3 bed 2 bath house on 2 lots. Structurally good. Needs some TLC. NO OWNER FINANCE OR RENT TO OWN! open to reasonable offer. 731-646-0823
-
2024-06-07price $119,900
-
2024-04-29price $124,900
-
2024-03-18$129,900 Active
-
2023-11-29soldstatus $88,000
-
2023-05-15price $19,000
-
2023-05-01$10,000 Active
-
2015-04-24soldstatus $45,000
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2015-04-24soldstatus $45,000
-
2014-12-16$54,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $484 · $40/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $484 · $40/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,664
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$484
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,413
- − Management
- −$1,413
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $3,991
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$958
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,700/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sheffield City
- NCES district ID
- 0103000
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -30.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,188
- Composite
- 18.8/100
- National rank
- #8866
- State rank
- #103 of 129 in AL
Livability — Sheffield
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #312
- US rank
- #19366
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sheffield, AL
- City population
- 9,385
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,385
Population outlook (Colbert County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 54,154 people
- By 2030
- 53,746 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 52,431 · -3.2%
- By 2050
- 50,303 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 44,789 · -17.3%
- By 2100
- 36,676 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Black 26% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Colbert
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.4) · D 26.4% · R 72.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: -20.3pp · 2024: -46.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.4 2020: R+38.9 2016: R+38.3 2012: R+20.4 2008: R+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.23%
- Current HPI
- 177.3226
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+136.6% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $129,900 FSBO.com
- 2024-06-07 Price Changed $119,900 SAARMLS
- 2024-04-29 Price Changed $124,900 SAARMLS
- 2024-03-18 Listed $129,900 SAARMLS
- 2023-11-29 Sold (Public Records) $88,000 Public Records
- 2023-05-15 Price Changed $19,000 SAARMLS
- 2023-05-01 Listed $10,000 SAARMLS
- 2015-04-24 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2015-04-24 Sold (MLS) $45,000 SAARMLS
- 2014-12-16 Listed $54,900 SAARMLS
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $484 · +8.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…