715 Kilgor Ct · Bear, DE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $476 – $884
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.7/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Why rent when you can own a home for possibly less than your monthly payment. Enter the freshly painted 3 bedroom, and 1 full bathroom town home located in Glasgow Pines. The home offers 2 dedicated parking spaces, an open concept living and dining area that leads to a deck and fenced backyard. The functional kitchen has warm cabinetry, ample counter space that flows effortlessly into the dining area. Upstairs are 3 ample sized bedrooms all having great closet space and a hall bathroom. Conveniently located to shopping, dining, parks, and major highways.
Key facts
- $23 HOA
- Community pool
- Built 1979
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $353 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $244k (2.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $242k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.7% in Bear — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#8 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-, cost of living A-; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Christina School District (suburban): math 22% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #18 of 26 in DE (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Keene (William B.) Elementary School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #59 of 105 statewide, top 60%, 474 students, 0% FRL); Gauger-Cobbs Middle School (math 11% / reading 26%, grade F, #30 of 36 statewide, top 86%, 779 students, 0% FRL); Glasgow High School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #36 of 40 statewide, top 90%, 895 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 50% district-wide (50 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 154 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,367 units permitted in New Castle County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($92k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- New Castle County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $148k; list at $250k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.06%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $251,082
- List price
- $249,900
- Delta
- -0.47%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 700 Kilgor Ct | 0.04mi | 3/1.0 | 1,350 (0%) | 12mo | $261,000 | $193 | 88 |
| 734 Kilgor Ct | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 | 1,350 (0%) | 12mo | $245,000 | $181 | 87 |
| 852 Hastings Ct | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,350 (0%) | 8mo | $260,000 | $193 | 85 |
| 506 Stewarton Ct | 0.15mi | 3/1.5 | 1,400 (+4%) | 15mo | $275,000 | $196 | 72 |
| 53 Mahopac Dr | 0.33mi | 3/2.5 | 1,375 (+2%) | 7mo | $325,000 | $236 | 70 |
| 6 Lake Tahoe Cir | 0.53mi | 3/2.5 | 1,375 (+2%) | 6mo | $340,000 | $247 | 61 |
| 78 Lake Tahoe Cir | 0.55mi | 3/2.5 | 1,375 (+2%) | 6mo | $335,000 | $244 | 61 |
| 303 Thayer Ct | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 | 1,150 (-15%) | 1mo | $270,000 | $235 | 60 |
| 116 Lake Arrowhead Cir | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 | 1,275 (-6%) | 9mo | $265,000 | $208 | 59 |
| 327 Thayer Ct | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 | 1,150 (-15%) | 12mo | $250,000 | $217 | 53 |
| 455 Strathaven Ct | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 | 1,150 (-15%) | 13mo | $265,000 | $230 | 51 |
| 130 Tuckahoe Ln | 0.41mi | 3/2.5 | 1,500 (+11%) | 15mo | $351,000 | $234 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.19% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-20,019
- Equity at exit
- $37,261
- IRR
- 0.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $3,351
- Equity at exit
- $21,607
Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 70 Landlord-Friendly
- State Delaware
- 70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19702
- Rents YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 154
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,441 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$137 /mo · $1,648/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$23
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$513
- Net cashflow
- $353
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $495 | -5% $424 | +0% $353 | +5% $283 | +10% $212 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $161 | -5% $257 | +0% $353 | +5% $450 | +10% $546 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $479 | -0.5pp $417 | base $353 | +0.5pp $289 | +1.0pp $223 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,475
- Closing costs
- $7,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49 Willow Pl Newark, DE | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0–3.5 | 1844 | $2,725 | $1.48 | 0d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 2102 Ashkirk Dr Newark, DE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 880 | $1,795 | $2.04 | 0d | 6 | 0.35mi |
| 900 Woodchuck Pl Bear, DE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 935 | $2,235 | $2.39 | 0d | 44 | 0.65mi |
| 308 Skeet Ave Bear, DE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,300 | $2.09 | 26d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 885 Salem Church Rd Newark, DE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $1,795 | $2.11 | 0d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 50 Turnberry Ct Bear, DE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1598 | $3,400 | $2.13 | 0d | 195 | 0.85mi |
| 10 McFarland Dr Newark, DE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 955 | $2,125 | $2.22 | 0d | 3 | 0.89mi |
| 2139 Valence Pl Newark, DE | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1183 | $2,505 | $2.12 | 17d | 6 | 0.91mi |
| 2055 Rivers Dr Newark, DE | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1725 | $2,500 | $1.45 | 26d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1 Kennedy Cir Bear, DE | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1702 | $3,315 | $1.95 | 0d | 34 | 1.47mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $23 · $276/yr
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-01status $249,900 Pending 45 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $249,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-07price $249,900 560-char remark
Show marketing remark (560 chars)
Why rent when you can own a home for possibly less than your monthly payment. Enter the freshly painted 3 bedroom, and 1 full bathroom town home located in Glasgow Pines. The home offers 2 dedicated parking spaces, an open concept living and dining area that leads to a deck and fenced backyard. The functional kitchen has warm cabinetry, ample counter space that flows effortlessly into the dining area. Upstairs are 3 ample sized bedrooms all having great closet space and a hall bathroom. Conveniently located to shopping, dining, parks, and major highways.
-
2026-05-01price $252,900 560-char remark
Show marketing remark (560 chars)
Why rent when you can own a home for possibly less than your monthly payment. Enter the freshly painted 3 bedroom, and 1 full bathroom town home located in Glasgow Pines. The home offers 2 dedicated parking spaces, an open concept living and dining area that leads to a deck and fenced backyard. The functional kitchen has warm cabinetry, ample counter space that flows effortlessly into the dining area. Upstairs are 3 ample sized bedrooms all having great closet space and a hall bathroom. Conveniently located to shopping, dining, parks, and major highways.
-
2026-04-16$255,000 Active 560-char remark
Show marketing remark (560 chars)
Why rent when you can own a home for possibly less than your monthly payment. Enter the freshly painted 3 bedroom, and 1 full bathroom town home located in Glasgow Pines. The home offers 2 dedicated parking spaces, an open concept living and dining area that leads to a deck and fenced backyard. The functional kitchen has warm cabinetry, ample counter space that flows effortlessly into the dining area. Upstairs are 3 ample sized bedrooms all having great closet space and a hall bathroom. Conveniently located to shopping, dining, parks, and major highways.
-
2022-06-24soldstatus $148,000
-
2022-06-22soldstatus $185,000 Closed 592-char remark
Show marketing remark (592 chars)
This move in ready 3 Bedroom/ 1 Bathroom townhome is conveniently located in Glasgow Pines. Close to the YMCA, shopping, movie theater, and Glasgow park-which includes a walking trail, dog parks, basketball courts, tennis courts, and much more! The first floor features a spacious living room leading up to the dining area with sliders opening onto the fenced rear yard. Upstairs are 3 bedrooms and a tastefully renovated hall bathroom. The community is close to major roads, minutes from RT. 40, 896 with easy access to I95. The 2 car designated parking spot in front of the home is a bonus.
-
2022-06-11status Pending 592-char remark
Show marketing remark (592 chars)
This move in ready 3 Bedroom/ 1 Bathroom townhome is conveniently located in Glasgow Pines. Close to the YMCA, shopping, movie theater, and Glasgow park-which includes a walking trail, dog parks, basketball courts, tennis courts, and much more! The first floor features a spacious living room leading up to the dining area with sliders opening onto the fenced rear yard. Upstairs are 3 bedrooms and a tastefully renovated hall bathroom. The community is close to major roads, minutes from RT. 40, 896 with easy access to I95. The 2 car designated parking spot in front of the home is a bonus.
-
2022-04-29historical Active Under Contract 592-char remark
Show marketing remark (592 chars)
This move in ready 3 Bedroom/ 1 Bathroom townhome is conveniently located in Glasgow Pines. Close to the YMCA, shopping, movie theater, and Glasgow park-which includes a walking trail, dog parks, basketball courts, tennis courts, and much more! The first floor features a spacious living room leading up to the dining area with sliders opening onto the fenced rear yard. Upstairs are 3 bedrooms and a tastefully renovated hall bathroom. The community is close to major roads, minutes from RT. 40, 896 with easy access to I95. The 2 car designated parking spot in front of the home is a bonus.
-
2022-04-22$169,900 Active 592-char remark
Show marketing remark (592 chars)
This move in ready 3 Bedroom/ 1 Bathroom townhome is conveniently located in Glasgow Pines. Close to the YMCA, shopping, movie theater, and Glasgow park-which includes a walking trail, dog parks, basketball courts, tennis courts, and much more! The first floor features a spacious living room leading up to the dining area with sliders opening onto the fenced rear yard. Upstairs are 3 bedrooms and a tastefully renovated hall bathroom. The community is close to major roads, minutes from RT. 40, 896 with easy access to I95. The 2 car designated parking spot in front of the home is a bonus.
-
2007-06-07soldstatus $160,000
-
2007-04-17$160,000
-
1992-11-02soldstatus $76,000
-
1983-09-01soldstatus $36,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast DE · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,648 · $137/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,648 · $137/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,291
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,998
- − Property taxes
- −$1,648
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,343
- − Management
- −$2,343
- − HOA
- −$276
- − Depreciation
- −$7,270
- Taxable income
- $163
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$39
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,201/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Christina School District
- NCES district ID
- 1000200
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,838
- Composite
- 24.93/100
- National rank
- #7567
- State rank
- #18 of 26 in DE
Livability — Bear
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #8
- US rank
- #5158
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bear, DE
- County
- New Castle County · 483,412 people
- City population
- 42,984
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,683
- Household income
- $92,446
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1421.0
Population outlook (New Castle County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 594,686 people
- By 2030
- 609,164 · +2.4%
- By 2040
- 632,154 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 649,068 · +9.1%
- By 2075
- 687,771 · +15.7%
- By 2100
- 694,961 · +16.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 38% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 14% Asian 12% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 5% Other Asian/Pacific 3%
Political lean MEDSL · New Castle
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.6) · D 65.5% · R 32.9% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.1pp toward R · 2008: 40.6pp · 2024: 32.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.6 2020: D+37.1 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+34.1 2008: D+40.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -241.79%
- Current HPI
- 248.8414
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.19%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+584.7% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $249,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $252,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-16 Listed $255,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $148,000 Public Records
- 2022-06-22 Sold (MLS) $185,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-06-11 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-04-29 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-04-22 Listed $169,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2007-06-07 Sold (MLS) $160,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2007-04-17 Listed $160,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1992-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $76,000 Public Records
- 1983-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $36,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2024): $1,648 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…