10519 Scrub Oak Dr · Rosharon, TX
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.1/15.0
- Cash flow +6.4/30.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- DSCR +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$310,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to your sanctuary in the premier master-planned community of Sierra Vista! This stunning single-story residence at 10519 Scrub Oak Dr perfectly blends modern elegance with everyday functionality in a gated community. The open-concept, split floorplan, interior features high ceilings and luxury tile plank flooring that flows seamlessly into a gourmet kitchen boasting granite countertops, upgraded cabinets, stainless steel appliances, and a massive island perfect for entertaining. Retreat to the private primary suite, which offers a spa-like ensuite bath and a spacious walk-in closet.
Key facts
- Junior olympic pool
- Fitness center
- Gourmet kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $310k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-610 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $202k (34.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $271k (12.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $202k (34.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#701 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Alvin ISD (suburban): math 39% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #255 of 826 in TX (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Iowa Colony H S (792 students, 56% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 1736 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 54d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 3,960 units permitted in Brazoria County in 2024 (593 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brazoria County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.52%
- DSCR
- 0.67
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $344,953
- List price
- $310,000
- Delta
- -10.13%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1815 Homewood Point Ln | 0.28mi | 3/2.5 | 1,841 (+4%) | 1mo | $369,990 | $201 | 78 |
| 10510 Watershed Dr | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,641 (-7%) | 4mo | $258,000 | $157 | 76 |
| 1806 Grass Valley Dr | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,662 (-6%) | 3mo | $379,900 | $229 | 74 |
| 10618 Sutter Creek Dr | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,872 (+6%) | 5mo | $408,900 | $218 | 74 |
| 1614 Diamond Mountain Dr | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,710 (-3%) | 5mo | $265,000 | $155 | 74 |
| 1910 Temple Grove Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,837 (+4%) | 3mo | $368,990 | $201 | 71 |
| 10835 Cliffs View Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,865 (+6%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $134 | 69 |
| 1214 Red Hills Dr | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,689 (-4%) | 2mo | $279,000 | $165 | 68 |
| 2107 Tioga View Dr | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,662 (-6%) | 4mo | $359,900 | $217 | 68 |
| 10906 Amador Peak Dr | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,878 (+6%) | 2mo | $329,990 | $176 | 67 |
| 10931 Amador Peak Dr | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,878 (+6%) | 2mo | $319,990 | $170 | 63 |
| 10514 Sutter Creek Dr | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,941 (+10%) | 5mo | $359,900 | $185 | 62 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.44% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -35.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.10×
- Total profit
- $-95,479
- Equity at exit
- $46,222
- IRR
- -72.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.82×
- Total profit
- $-158,008
- Equity at exit
- $26,803
Cash invested: $86,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 63 active · 33 under contract
- Months of supply
- 11.1 mo (9%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $312,990 ($170/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 84 d
- This list price
- 46% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +14.6% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 77583
- Rents YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 1736
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,707 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,626
- Tax from tax record
- −$833 /mo · $9,991/yr
- Insurance
- −$129
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$95
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$569
- Net cashflow
- $-610
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-435 | -5% $-522 | +0% $-610 | +5% $-698 | +10% $-786 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-824 | -5% $-717 | +0% $-610 | +5% $-503 | +10% $-396 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-454 | -0.5pp $-531 | base $-610 | +0.5pp $-690 | +1.0pp $-772 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $77,500
- Closing costs
- $9,300
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1403 Cascade Hills Dr Rosharon, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2067 | $3,450 | $1.67 | 103d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 10610 Cascade Creek Dr Rosharon, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1548 | $2,700 | $1.74 | 78d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 10618 Cascade Creek Dr Rosharon, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1980 | $2,770 | $1.40 | 4d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 10622 Cascade Creek Dr Rosharon, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1780 | $2,775 | $1.56 | 139d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 10630 Cascade Creek Dr Rosharon, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1940 | $2,654 | $1.37 | 4d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 10642 Cascade Creek Dr Rosharon, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1625 | $2,562 | $1.58 | 4d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 10638 Cascade Creek Dr Rosharon, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1628 | $2,700 | $1.66 | 38d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 10607 Crescent Peak Ct Rosharon, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1615 | $2,562 | $1.59 | 4d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1222 Crescent Peak Ct Rosharon, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1548 | $2,447 | $1.58 | 70d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1234 Scarlet Creek Dr Rosharon, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1548 | $2,650 | $1.71 | 83d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1233 Scarlet Creek Dr Rosharon, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1980 | $2,770 | $1.40 | 4d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 10507 Moon Valley Ln Rosharon, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1548 | $2,650 | $1.71 | 70d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1207 Cascade Hills Dr Rosharon, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2070 | $2,300 | $1.11 | 82d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 10502 Moon Valley Ln Rosharon, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1615 | $2,725 | $1.69 | 83d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1202 Scarlet Creek Dr Rosharon, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1804 | $3,025 | $1.68 | 8d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 10714 Cliffs View Dr Iowa Colony, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2070 | $2,700 | $1.30 | 139d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 10602 Wildflower View Dr Rosharon, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1596 | $2,850 | $1.79 | 116d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 10538 Wildflower View Dr Rosharon, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1522 | $2,539 | $1.67 | 54d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 10534 Wildflower View Dr Rosharon, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1804 | $2,770 | $1.54 | 0d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 10522 Wildflower View Dr Rosharon, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1522 | $2,539 | $1.67 | 0d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 10313 Malta Trace Dr Rosharon, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1802 | $2,545 | $1.41 | 139d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1816 Corsica Creek Ln Rosharon, TX | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1770 | $2,412 | $1.36 | 0d | 16 | 0.53mi |
| 9806 Steelknot Ln Rosharon, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1393 | $1,400 | $1.01 | 45d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 10211 Alpine Lake Ln Rosharon, TX | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1731 | $2,469 | $1.43 | 139d | 7 | 0.87mi |
| 10211 Alpine Lake Ln Rosharon, TX | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1751 | $2,539 | $1.45 | 0d | 9 | 0.87mi |
| 10332 Ritter Run Dr Rosharon, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1641 | $1,849 | $1.13 | 19d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2314 Red Slate Dr Rosharon, TX | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2531 | $2,850 | $1.13 | 139d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 9423 Grand Spark Dr Rosharon, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1999 | $2,600 | $1.30 | 139d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1214 Emerald Stone Dr Rosharon, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1844 | $1,980 | $1.07 | 18d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1123 Diamond Drape Dr Rosharon, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1844 | $2,000 | $1.08 | 108d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 9518 Peridot Green Dr Rosharon, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1593 | $1,836 | $1.15 | 68d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2107 Golden Topaz Dr Rosharon, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1393 | $1,895 | $1.36 | 5d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 9207 Penfield Dr Arcola, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1866 | $2,051 | $1.10 | 28d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Located in a subdivision
- HOA & community
- Association managed by Principal Mgmt GroupAnnual association fee of $1,145Association amenities: clubhouse, controlled access, fitness center, meeting/banquet/party room, party room, picnic area, playground, pickleball, poolAssociation fee covers clubhouse, common areas, and recreation facilities
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached 3-car garage
- Security
- Security gate
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewer
- Home design
- Residential propertySingle-story (all main rooms listed on first level)
- Construction
- Brick constructionBlock foundationComposition roofBuilt in 2022
- Exterior features
- Back yard fencingFenceAssociation pool
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherDisposalMicrowave
- Bedrooms
- Primary bedroom on the first floor (14x16)Bedroom on the first floor (11x13)Bedroom on the first floor (10x12)First-floor officeFirst-floor living roomFirst-floor dining room
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Central heating (gas)Central air conditioning (electric)HVAC is energy efficient
- Interior features
- One fireplace6 total rooms
- Laundry & utility
- Washer hookupElectric dryer hookupGas dryer hookup
HOA detail $95/mo · $1,140/yr
- Likely covers
- security
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $310,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-09-23days on market $310,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $310,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $310,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $310,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $310,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $310,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $310,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $310,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $310,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $310,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $310,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $310,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $310,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $310,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $310,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-09-02days on market $310,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $310,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $310,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $310,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $310,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $310,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $310,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $310,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $310,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $310,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $310,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $310,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $310,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $310,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $310,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $310,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $310,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $310,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $310,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $310,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $310,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $310,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $310,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $310,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $310,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $310,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $310,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $310,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $310,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $310,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $310,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $310,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $310,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $310,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $9,991 · $833/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $9,991 · $833/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,487
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,365
- − Property taxes
- −$9,991
- − Insurance
- −$2,348
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,599
- − Management
- −$2,599
- − HOA
- −$1,140
- − Depreciation
- −$9,018
- Taxable loss
- −$12,572
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,017
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,304/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This single-story home in Sterling Lakes is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It has a good kitchen, bathrooms, roof, exterior, flooring, and interior walls/paint. The home is move-in ready with minor cosmetic updates needed for the exterior and landscaping. The highest-ROI updates would be painting the exterior and landscaping improvements to enhance curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace ceiling fans with energy-efficient models — Saves on energy costs and enhances comfort ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alvin ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4808090
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,740
- Composite
- 38.96/100
- National rank
- #4080
- State rank
- #255 of 826 in TX
Livability — Rosharon
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #701
- US rank
- #13120
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Brazoria County · 420,414 people
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,747
- Household income
- $119,287
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (Brazoria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,414 people
- By 2030
- 457,585 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 532,232 · +26.6%
- By 2050
- 605,399 · +44.0%
- By 2075
- 779,358 · +85.4%
- By 2100
- 883,759 · +110.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 38% Black 34% White 20% Two or more races 18% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 31% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 28% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Brazoria
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.7) · D 39.5% · R 59.2% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.9pp toward D · 2008: -29.6pp · 2024: -19.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.7 2020: R+18.2 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+34.2 2008: R+29.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -120.19%
- Current HPI
- 198.6559
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.44%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-7.5% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-07-24 Listed $310,000 HARMLS
- 2026-07-23 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-07-21 Price Changed $310,000 HARMLS
- 2026-07-20 Listed $314,999 HARMLS
- 2026-07-14 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-07-01 Price Changed $310,000 HARMLS
- 2026-04-14 Listed $315,000 HARMLS
- 2025-05-17 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-05-05 Price Changed $310,000 HARMLS
- 2025-04-22 Price Changed $315,000 HARMLS
- 2025-04-22 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2025-04-14 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-03-20 Listed $320,000 HARMLS
- 2025-03-19 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-03-11 Price Changed $325,000 HARMLS
- 2025-02-26 Price Changed $330,000 HARMLS
- 2025-02-07 Listed $335,000 HARMLS
Property tax history
+78.7%/yrLatest (2025): $9,991 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…