3204 Alabama · Camden, NJ
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.1%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 40.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Large Three Bedroom Townhouse. Enclosed Front Porch. Fenced Back Yard. Eat In Kitchen With Lots Of Cabinets. Powder Room Off Kitchen Washer, Dryer Included Poss:Settle
Key facts
- Small backyard
- Prime location
- Built 1918
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $446 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $128k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 7.1% in Camden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#262 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Camden City School District (urban): math 3% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #472 of 472 in NJ (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 86% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 95 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 28y ago; this cycle's ask is 8% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $130k implies a 333% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 40% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.71%
- DSCR
- 1.65
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $266,266
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1433 N Chesapeake Rd | 0.25mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,048 (-3%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $186 | 77 |
| 1504 Minnesota Rd | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 1,145 (+6%) | 17mo | $155,000 | $135 | 68 |
| 130 Yale Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,072 (-1%) | 14mo | $265,000 | $247 | 65 |
| 304 Marlborough Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,092 (+1%) | 13mo | $385,000 | $353 | 58 |
| 128 Bellevue Ave | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 964 (-11%) | 0mo | $285,000 | $296 | 50 |
| 2894 Tuckahoe Rd | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-7%) | 10mo | $99,000 | $99 | 48 |
| 303 Wilson Ave | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,126 (+4%) | 12mo | $299,900 | $266 | 47 |
| 312 Washington Ave | 0.72mi | 3/— | 1,216 (+13%) | 1mo | $425,000 | $350 | 44 |
| 17 Barlow Ave | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 964 (-11%) | 4mo | $155,000 | $161 | 44 |
| 114 Harvard Ave | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 980 (-9%) | 11mo | $210,000 | $214 | 40 |
| 119 Reading Ave | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,048 (-3%) | 17mo | $265,000 | $253 | 40 |
| 315 Nicholson Rd | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,220 (+13%) | 18mo | $290,000 | $238 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $7,389
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 14.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.19×
- Total profit
- $43,182
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08104
- Active inventory
- 95
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,728 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$183 /mo · $2,197/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$363
- Net cashflow
- $446
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3255 Crescent Dr Unit 03-3220 Camden, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,350 | $1.93 | 24d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 3132 Independence Rd Camden, NJ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1168 | $1,595 | $1.37 | 22d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 3079 Alabama Rd Camden, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $1,700 | $2.04 | 24d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1220 Grant Ave Unit 2 Oaklyn, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 20d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 2892 N Constitution Rd Camden, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $2,000 | $1.92 | 24d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1034 Collings Ave Oaklyn, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,750 | $1.59 | 18d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1021 Monitor Rd Camden, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1012 | $1,710 | $1.69 | 24d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1063 S Merrimac Rd Camden, NJ | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,900 | $1.86 | 24d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 301 Champion Ave Oaklyn, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 661 | $1,770 | $2.68 | 4d | 3 | 0.58mi |
| 3136 Tuckahoe Rd Camden, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,350 | $1.69 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2829 Idaho Rd Camden, NJ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1048 | $1,700 | $1.62 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 430 Richey Ave Unit 1A Oaklyn, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 897 | $2,100 | $2.34 | 4d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 209 Cedar Ave Oaklyn, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 5d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 209 Cedar Ave Oaklyn, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,500 | $1.07 | 16d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 5 Meadow Ln Gloucester City, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 833 | $2,385 | $2.86 | 24d | 8 | 0.94mi |
| 145 Cooper Ave Unit 1N Woodlynne, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,725 | $2.03 | 18d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 700 W Browning Rd Oaklyn, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 739 | $1,867 | $2.53 | 1d | 40 | 0.98mi |
| 141 Cooper Ave Oaklyn, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,725 | $2.03 | 24d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 412 White Horse Pike Unit C Oaklyn, NJ | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,900 | $1.90 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2 W Oakland Ave Oaklyn, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,425 | $1.90 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 534 Bergen St Gloucester City, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1246 | $2,000 | $1.61 | 18d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 334 Middlesex St Gloucester City, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,800 | $2.01 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 117 W Nicholson Rd Audubon, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $2,600 | $2.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 225 Haddon Ave Collingswood, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1211 | $3,372 | $2.78 | 1d | 6 | 1.44mi |
| 227 S Broadway Gloucester City, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1123 | $1,775 | $1.58 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2025-09-23status Pending
-
2025-06-30historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-06-25price $130,000
-
2025-05-31$120,000 Active
-
1998-11-18soldstatus $30,000
-
1998-10-30soldstatus $30,000 167-char remark
Show marketing remark (167 chars)
Large Three Bedroom Townhouse. Enclosed Front Porch. Fenced Back Yard. Eat In Kitchen With Lots Of Cabinets. Powder Room Off Kitchen Washer, Dryer Included Poss:Settle
-
1998-09-22historical 167-char remark
Show marketing remark (167 chars)
Large Three Bedroom Townhouse. Enclosed Front Porch. Fenced Back Yard. Eat In Kitchen With Lots Of Cabinets. Powder Room Off Kitchen Washer, Dryer Included Poss:Settle
-
1998-02-27$30,000 167-char remark
Show marketing remark (167 chars)
Large Three Bedroom Townhouse. Enclosed Front Porch. Fenced Back Yard. Eat In Kitchen With Lots Of Cabinets. Powder Room Off Kitchen Washer, Dryer Included Poss:Settle
-
1986-04-23soldstatus $10,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,197 · $183/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,717 · $226/mo
- Expected delta
- +$520/yr (+$43/mo · 23.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 40% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,737
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$2,197
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,659
- − Management
- −$1,659
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $3,508
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$842
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,512/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Camden City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3402640
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,845
- Composite
- 6.85/100
- National rank
- #9981
- State rank
- #472 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Camden
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #262
- US rank
- #7721
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Camden, NJ
- City population
- 20,865
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,508
Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 507,964 people
- By 2030
- 502,182 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 485,602 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 465,630 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 419,986 · -17.3%
- By 2100
- 369,492 · -27.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 53% Hispanic / Latino 40% Two or more races 9% White 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 22% Cuban 2% Dominican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 29% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Camden
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+27.4) · D 63.0% · R 35.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.8pp toward R · 2008: 36.2pp · 2024: 27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+27.4 2020: D+33.5 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+36.6 2008: D+36.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -123.43%
- Current HPI
- 209.3596
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
|
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Price history
+1200.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2025-09-23 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-06-30 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-06-25 Price Changed $130,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-05-31 Listed $120,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1998-11-18 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 1998-10-30 Sold (MLS) $30,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1998-09-22 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 1998-02-27 Listed $30,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1986-04-23 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,197 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…