2 Missouri St · Hindsboro, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.4/30.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Enjoy peaceful small-town living with breathtaking country views in this beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home in Hindsboro! Inside, you'll find stylish updates throughout, including low-maintenance laminate wood flooring across the main level and unique ceiling details that add character and charm. The spacious kitchen features trendy countertops, a tile backsplash, and convenient bar seating-perfect for casual dining or entertaining. A separate laundry room offers additional storage and everyday functionality. Outside, the huge partially fenced yard provides endless possibilities for gardening, pets, play, or relaxing evenings outdoors, while the large front deck is the perfect spot to take in the scenic rural surroundings. Move-in ready with room to add your own finishing touches, this home combines comfort, style, and small-town charm!
Key facts
- Spacious kitchen
- Bar seating
- Tile backsplash
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two-story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Built with full unfinished basement
- Exterior features: Deck; Front porch; Private-maintained road access; Private road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Oven; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Unfinished full basement; 7 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry on main level; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $227 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#963 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
- Oakland CUSD 5 (rural): math 15% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #776 of 919 in IL (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 36 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (5.1% local appreciation)).
- Douglas County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (5.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $10k; list at $99k implies a 890% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.84%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $51,700
- List price
- $99,000
- Delta
- 112.77%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 409 6th St | 0.28mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,224 (+10%) | 4mo | $51,700 | $42 | 61 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.08% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.36×
- Total profit
- $37,731
- Equity at exit
- $56,598
- IRR
- 21.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.65×
- Total profit
- $101,275
- Equity at exit
- $98,093
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61930
- Home prices YoY
- 3.8%
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,047 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$39 /mo · $474/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$220
- Net cashflow
- $227
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $99,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $99,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-12remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-12pricedays on market $99,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 28 DOM
Show marketing remark (858 chars)
Enjoy peaceful small-town living with breathtaking country views in this beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home in Hindsboro! Inside, you'll find stylish updates throughout, including low-maintenance laminate wood flooring across the main level and unique ceiling details that add character and charm. The spacious kitchen features trendy countertops, a tile backsplash, and convenient bar seating-perfect for casual dining or entertaining. A separate laundry room offers additional storage and everyday functionality. Outside, the huge partially fenced yard provides endless possibilities for gardening, pets, play, or relaxing evenings outdoors, while the large front deck is the perfect spot to take in the scenic rural surroundings. Move-in ready with room to add your own finishing touches, this home combines comfort, style, and small-town charm!
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $110,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $110,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $110,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-12$110,000 Active 858-char remark
Show marketing remark (858 chars)
Enjoy peaceful small-town living with breathtaking country views in this beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home in Hindsboro! Inside, you'll find stylish updates throughout, including low-maintenance laminate wood flooring across the main level and unique ceiling details that add character and charm. The spacious kitchen features trendy countertops, a tile backsplash, and convenient bar seating-perfect for casual dining or entertaining. A separate laundry room offers additional storage and everyday functionality. Outside, the huge partially fenced yard provides endless possibilities for gardening, pets, play, or relaxing evenings outdoors, while the large front deck is the perfect spot to take in the scenic rural surroundings. Move-in ready with room to add your own finishing touches, this home combines comfort, style, and small-town charm!
-
2022-08-10soldstatus $10,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $474 · $39/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,360 · $113/mo
- Expected delta
- +$887/yr (+$74/mo · 187.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,566
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$474
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,005
- − Management
- −$1,005
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $1,162
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$279
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,450/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oakland CUSD 5
- NCES district ID
- 1729340
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 15% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,744
- Composite
- 16.81/100
- National rank
- #14218
- State rank
- #776 of 919 in IL
Livability — Hindsboro
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #963
- US rank
- #18684
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hindsboro, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 708
Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 19,209 people
- By 2030
- 18,940 · -1.4%
- By 2040
- 18,397 · -4.2%
- By 2050
- 17,829 · -7.2%
- By 2075
- 16,395 · -14.6%
- By 2100
- 14,329 · -25.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Douglas
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.1) · D 26.1% · R 72.3% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.9pp toward R · 2008: -21.3pp · 2024: -46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.1 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+46.3 2012: R+36.8 2008: R+21.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.08%
- Current HPI
- 137.5744
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+890.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Price Changed $99,000 CIBR
- 2026-06-09 Price Changed $99,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-21 Listed $110,000 CIBR
- 2026-05-12 Listed $110,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.4%/yrLatest (2024): $474 · +6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…