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433 Islington St Multi-family
B Composite 70.6
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +3.4/15.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0

$79,900

433 Islington St · Toledo, OH 43610
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,146 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 70 Days on market
Built 1915 3,900 sqft lot $37/sqft · 9% above area Est $73k · 9% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

Turnkey investment opportunity with strong income potential! Spacious units offer 2 bedrooms and over 1,000 sq ft each, featuring natural hardwood floors and original built-ins. Private front porches enhance tenant appeal. Fully divided basement with on-site laundry provides added convenience. Property offers desirable unit size, classic character, and tenant-friendly amenities—ideal for consistent cash flow and long-term appreciation. Property being sold as-is. Can be purchased as a package with 856 Lincoln.

Key facts

  • On-site laundry
  • 3,900 sq ft lot
  • Built 1915

Tags

NATURAL HARDWOOD FLOORSORIGINAL HARDWOOD DETAILSPRIVATE FRONT PORCHESFULLY DIVIDED BASEMENTON-SITE LAUNDRY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $913 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $75k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 20.0% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D-, crime F.
  • Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,858/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($38k/yr) (locally 16% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
  • Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $75,106 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.33%
Cap rate
20.01%
Cash-on-cash
48.98%
DSCR
3.18
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$73,223
List price
$79,900
Delta
9.12%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
106 Melrose Ave 0.36mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,158 (+1%) 2mo $75,000 $35 76
625 Arcadia Ave 0.52mi 4/2.0 2,242 (+4%) 14mo $64,000 $29 56
2434 Lawrence Ave 0.58mi 4/2.0 1,965 (-8%) 6mo $94,000 $48 54
2369 Maplewood Ave 0.59mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,202 (+3%) 14mo $60,000 $27 52
2278 Warren St 0.59mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,380 (+11%) 4mo $845,000 $355 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.65% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
56.2%
Equity multiple
4.35×
Total profit
$75,001
Equity at exit
$43,576
10-year hold
IRR
54.3%
Equity multiple
8.93×
Total profit
$177,310
Equity at exit
$73,834

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43610

Home prices YoY
3.8%
Active inventory
30
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,858 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$102 /mo · $1,229/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$390
Net cashflow
$913

Break-even live

Break-even rent $702
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 46%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $958 -5% $936 +0% $913 +5% $890 +10% $868
Rent -10% $766 -5% $840 +0% $913 +5% $987 +10% $1,060
Rate -1.0pp $953 -0.5pp $933 base $913 +0.5pp $892 +1.0pp $871

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $1,858

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2907 Rockwood Pl Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1494 $1,100 $0.74 14d 1 0.35mi
119 Winthrop St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1734 $1,350 $0.78 24d 1 0.48mi
610 Cadillac Ct Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1409 $1,050 $0.75 24d 1 0.61mi
614 Cadillac Ct Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1581 $1,075 $0.68 24d 1 0.61mi
38 E Central Ave Toledo, OH 5.0 2.0 1510 $1,500 $0.99 44d 1 0.62mi
2621 Chestnut St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1444 $1,250 $0.87 44d 1 1.00mi
1436 Palmetto Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1678 $1,400 $0.83 24d 1 1.26mi
3905 Peru St Toledo, OH 4.0 3.0 1548 $1,300 $0.84 21d 1 1.35mi
1031 N Michigan St Toledo, OH 3.0 2.0 1488 $1,195 $0.80 24d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-14
    statusdays on market $79,900 Pending 70 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $79,900 Active 69 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,900 Active 68 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,900 Active 67 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,900 Active 66 DOM
  6. 2026-06-05
    days on market $79,900 Active 63 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    days on market $79,900 Active 62 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,900 Active 61 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,900 Active 60 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,900 Active 59 DOM
  11. 2026-05-30
    days on market $79,900 Active 58 DOM
  12. 2026-04-18
    price $79,900 520-char remark
    Show marketing remark (520 chars)

    Turnkey investment opportunity with strong income potential! Spacious units offer 2 bedrooms and over 1,000 sq ft each, featuring natural hardwood floors and original built-ins. Private front porches enhance tenant appeal. Fully divided basement with on-site laundry provides added convenience. Property offers desirable unit size, classic character, and tenant-friendly amenities—ideal for consistent cash flow and long-term appreciation. Property being sold as-is. Can be purchased as a package with 856 Lincoln.

  13. 2026-04-02
    listed $89,900 Active 520-char remark
    Show marketing remark (520 chars)

    Turnkey investment opportunity with strong income potential! Spacious units offer 2 bedrooms and over 1,000 sq ft each, featuring natural hardwood floors and original built-ins. Private front porches enhance tenant appeal. Fully divided basement with on-site laundry provides added convenience. Property offers desirable unit size, classic character, and tenant-friendly amenities—ideal for consistent cash flow and long-term appreciation. Property being sold as-is. Can be purchased as a package with 856 Lincoln.

  14. 2025-10-31
    historical
  15. 2025-10-14
    price $76,700
  16. 2025-09-27
    price $55,000
  17. 2025-09-02
    status Active
  18. 2025-08-21
    historical Contingent
  19. 2025-08-08
    price $79,900
  20. 2025-07-15
    status Active
  21. 2025-07-14
    historical Contingent
  22. 2025-06-17
    listed $89,900 Active
  23. 2025-01-24
    soldstatus $76,700
  24. 2025-01-17
    soldstatus $76,700 Closed
  25. 2025-01-10
    status Pending
  26. 2024-12-21
    listed $80,000 Active
  27. 2004-07-30
    historical
  28. 2004-06-21
    listed $26,900
  29. 2004-06-12
    historical
  30. 2004-03-12
    listed $29,900
  31. 1998-09-08
    soldstatus $44,000
  32. 1993-12-21
    soldstatus $26,400

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,229 · $102/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,238 · $103/mo
Expected delta
+$9/yr (+$1/mo · 0.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,296
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$1,229
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,784
− Management
−$1,784
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$10,300
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,472
After-tax cash flow
$8,485/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Toledo City
NCES district ID
3904490
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$32,137
Composite
15.76/100
National rank
#9276
State rank
#634 of 656 in OH

Livability — Toledo

Score
66/100
State rank
#645
US rank
#11442

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Toledo, OH
County
Lucas · 437,818 people
City population
280,811
Metro
Toledo, OH
Population (ZIP)
4,057
Household income
$38,369
Rent vs Own
41.4% rent · 58.6% own
Severe rent burden
15.7

Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,751 people
By 2030
410,187 · -2.5%
By 2040
384,019 · -8.7%
By 2050
355,125 · -15.6%
By 2075
291,683 · -30.7%
By 2100
233,670 · -44.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (64%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 64% White 29% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Iranian 3% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Lucas

2024 margin
D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
2008→2024 swing
-18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.65%
Current HPI
126.1457
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+202.7% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-18 Price Changed $79,900 NORIS
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $89,900 NORIS
  • 2025-10-31 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2025-10-14 Price Changed $76,700 NORIS
  • 2025-09-27 Price Changed $55,000 NORIS
  • 2025-09-02 Relisted NORIS
  • 2025-08-21 Contingent NORIS
  • 2025-08-08 Price Changed $79,900 NORIS
  • 2025-07-15 Relisted NORIS
  • 2025-07-14 Contingent NORIS
  • 2025-06-17 Listed $89,900 NORIS
  • 2025-01-24 Sold (Public Records) $76,700 Public Records
  • 2025-01-17 Sold (MLS) $76,700 NORIS
  • 2025-01-10 Pending NORIS
  • 2024-12-21 Listed $80,000 NORIS
  • 2004-07-30 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2004-06-21 Listed $26,900 NORIS
  • 2004-06-12 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2004-03-12 Listed $29,900 NORIS
  • 1998-09-08 Sold (Public Records) $44,000 Public Records
  • 1993-12-21 Sold (Public Records) $26,400 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,229 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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