Multi-family
433 Islington St · Toledo, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +7.3/10.0
- ARV discount +3.4/15.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
Turnkey investment opportunity with strong income potential! Spacious units offer 2 bedrooms and over 1,000 sq ft each, featuring natural hardwood floors and original built-ins. Private front porches enhance tenant appeal. Fully divided basement with on-site laundry provides added convenience. Property offers desirable unit size, classic character, and tenant-friendly amenities—ideal for consistent cash flow and long-term appreciation. Property being sold as-is. Can be purchased as a package with 856 Lincoln.
Key facts
- On-site laundry
- 3,900 sq ft lot
- Built 1915
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $913 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.0% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D-, crime F.
- Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,858/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($38k/yr) (locally 16% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 48.98%
- DSCR
- 3.18
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $73,223
- List price
- $79,900
- Delta
- 9.12%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 106 Melrose Ave | 0.36mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,158 (+1%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $35 | 76 |
| 625 Arcadia Ave | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 | 2,242 (+4%) | 14mo | $64,000 | $29 | 56 |
| 2434 Lawrence Ave | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 | 1,965 (-8%) | 6mo | $94,000 | $48 | 54 |
| 2369 Maplewood Ave | 0.59mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,202 (+3%) | 14mo | $60,000 | $27 | 52 |
| 2278 Warren St | 0.59mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,380 (+11%) | 4mo | $845,000 | $355 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.65% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 56.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.35×
- Total profit
- $75,001
- Equity at exit
- $43,576
- IRR
- 54.3%
- Equity multiple
- 8.93×
- Total profit
- $177,310
- Equity at exit
- $73,834
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43610
- Home prices YoY
- 3.8%
- Active inventory
- 30
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,858 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$102 /mo · $1,229/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$390
- Net cashflow
- $913
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $958 | -5% $936 | +0% $913 | +5% $890 | +10% $868 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $766 | -5% $840 | +0% $913 | +5% $987 | +10% $1,060 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $953 | -0.5pp $933 | base $913 | +0.5pp $892 | +1.0pp $871 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $1,858 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $929 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $929 |
| Total (2 units) | $1,858 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2907 Rockwood Pl Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1494 | $1,100 | $0.74 | 14d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 119 Winthrop St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1734 | $1,350 | $0.78 | 24d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 610 Cadillac Ct Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1409 | $1,050 | $0.75 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 614 Cadillac Ct Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1581 | $1,075 | $0.68 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 38 E Central Ave Toledo, OH | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1510 | $1,500 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2621 Chestnut St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1444 | $1,250 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1436 Palmetto Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1678 | $1,400 | $0.83 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3905 Peru St Toledo, OH | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1548 | $1,300 | $0.84 | 21d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1031 N Michigan St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1488 | $1,195 | $0.80 | 24d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-14statusdays on market $79,900 Pending 70 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $79,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,900 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $79,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $79,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $79,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active 59 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $79,900 Active 58 DOM
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2026-04-18price $79,900 520-char remark
Show marketing remark (520 chars)
Turnkey investment opportunity with strong income potential! Spacious units offer 2 bedrooms and over 1,000 sq ft each, featuring natural hardwood floors and original built-ins. Private front porches enhance tenant appeal. Fully divided basement with on-site laundry provides added convenience. Property offers desirable unit size, classic character, and tenant-friendly amenities—ideal for consistent cash flow and long-term appreciation. Property being sold as-is. Can be purchased as a package with 856 Lincoln.
-
2026-04-02$89,900 Active 520-char remark
Show marketing remark (520 chars)
Turnkey investment opportunity with strong income potential! Spacious units offer 2 bedrooms and over 1,000 sq ft each, featuring natural hardwood floors and original built-ins. Private front porches enhance tenant appeal. Fully divided basement with on-site laundry provides added convenience. Property offers desirable unit size, classic character, and tenant-friendly amenities—ideal for consistent cash flow and long-term appreciation. Property being sold as-is. Can be purchased as a package with 856 Lincoln.
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2025-10-31historical
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2025-10-14price $76,700
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2025-09-27price $55,000
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2025-09-02status Active
-
2025-08-21historical Contingent
-
2025-08-08price $79,900
-
2025-07-15status Active
-
2025-07-14historical Contingent
-
2025-06-17$89,900 Active
-
2025-01-24soldstatus $76,700
-
2025-01-17soldstatus $76,700 Closed
-
2025-01-10status Pending
-
2024-12-21$80,000 Active
-
2004-07-30historical
-
2004-06-21$26,900
-
2004-06-12historical
-
2004-03-12$29,900
-
1998-09-08soldstatus $44,000
-
1993-12-21soldstatus $26,400
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,229 · $102/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,238 · $103/mo
- Expected delta
- +$9/yr (+$1/mo · 0.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,296
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$1,229
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,784
- − Management
- −$1,784
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $10,300
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,472
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,485/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Toledo City
- NCES district ID
- 3904490
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,137
- Composite
- 15.76/100
- National rank
- #9276
- State rank
- #634 of 656 in OH
Livability — Toledo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #645
- US rank
- #11442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Toledo, OH
- County
- Lucas · 437,818 people
- City population
- 280,811
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,057
- Household income
- $38,369
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 15.7
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 64% White 29% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Iranian 3% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- Current HPI
- 126.1457
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+202.7% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-18 Price Changed $79,900 NORIS
- 2026-04-02 Listed $89,900 NORIS
- 2025-10-31 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2025-10-14 Price Changed $76,700 NORIS
- 2025-09-27 Price Changed $55,000 NORIS
- 2025-09-02 Relisted — NORIS
- 2025-08-21 Contingent — NORIS
- 2025-08-08 Price Changed $79,900 NORIS
- 2025-07-15 Relisted — NORIS
- 2025-07-14 Contingent — NORIS
- 2025-06-17 Listed $89,900 NORIS
- 2025-01-24 Sold (Public Records) $76,700 Public Records
- 2025-01-17 Sold (MLS) $76,700 NORIS
- 2025-01-10 Pending — NORIS
- 2024-12-21 Listed $80,000 NORIS
- 2004-07-30 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2004-06-21 Listed $26,900 NORIS
- 2004-06-12 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2004-03-12 Listed $29,900 NORIS
- 1998-09-08 Sold (Public Records) $44,000 Public Records
- 1993-12-21 Sold (Public Records) $26,400 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,229 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…