🏗️ New Construction
31665 Ocean Breeze Dr · San Antonio, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Appreciation +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
$266,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Experience resort-style living in this beautiful 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath Sand Dollar townhome located in the gated community of Shores at Mirada. The open-concept floor plan features 9'4" ceilings on the first floor, creating a bright and spacious living area that flows seamlessly into the kitchen with 42-inch cabinets, a stylish tile backsplash, stainless steel appliances, and a large island perfect for entertaining. Upstairs, 9-foot ceilings enhance the space where the primary suite offers a walk-in closet and private bath. The home also includes a one-car garage. Residents enjoy access to the stunning Mirada Lagoon along with playgrounds, pickleball courts, a half basketball court, and guest parking. Stop by today and experience lagoon living for yourself!
Key facts
- $212 HOA
- Garage
- Built 2026
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $267k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-206 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $243k (9.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $239k (10.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $235k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.5% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#454 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: San Antonio Elementary School (math 49% / reading 52%, grade D+, #1,055 of 2,144 statewide, top 50%, 573 students, 50% FRL); Pasco Middle School (math 38% / reading 38%, grade F, #388 of 571 statewide, top 69%, 903 students, 73% FRL); Pasco High School (math 40% / reading 40%, grade F, #296 of 667 statewide, top 45%, 1,639 students, 66% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 510 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 63d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.3%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 210 days — a 12% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 210 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.24%
- DSCR
- 0.86
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $272,495
- List price
- $266,990
- Delta
- -2.02%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31837 Kestrel Calling Dr | 0.06mi | 3/2.5 | 1,602 (0%) | 2mo | $270,000 | $169 | 96 |
| 31791 Kestrel Calling Dr | 0.10mi | 3/2.5 | 1,602 (0%) | 1mo | $269,990 | $169 | 95 |
| 31799 Kestrel Calling Dr | 0.09mi | 3/2.5 | 1,602 (0%) | 2mo | $260,900 | $163 | 94 |
| 31785 Kestrel Calling Dr | 0.10mi | 3/2.5 | 1,602 (0%) | 2mo | $260,990 | $163 | 94 |
| 31788 Kestrel Calling Dr | 0.11mi | 3/2.5 | 1,602 (0%) | 2mo | $255,990 | $160 | 93 |
| 31784 Kestrel Calling Dr | 0.12mi | 3/2.5 | 1,602 (0%) | 3mo | $259,990 | $162 | 92 |
| 31551 Azure Beach Dr | 0.32mi | 3/2.5 | 1,674 (+4%) | 2mo | $270,000 | $161 | 76 |
| 31781 Kestrel Calling Dr | 0.11mi | 3/2.5 | 1,419 (-11%) | 1mo | $279,990 | $197 | 75 |
| 31509 Azure Beach Dr | 0.34mi | 3/2.5 | 1,674 (+4%) | 2mo | $257,990 | $154 | 75 |
| 31387 Spanish Mission Rd | 0.36mi | 3/2.5 | 1,674 (+4%) | 2mo | $302,390 | $181 | 74 |
| 31542 Azure Beach Dr | 0.34mi | 3/2.5 | 1,788 (+12%) | 1mo | $399,131 | $223 | 64 |
| 31546 Azure Beach Dr | 0.34mi | 3/2.5 | 1,788 (+12%) | 2mo | $398,990 | $223 | 63 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.32% appreciation · 0.37% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.27×
- Total profit
- $-55,423
- Equity at exit
- $48,965
- IRR
- -18.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.07×
- Total profit
- $-81,591
- Equity at exit
- $38,131
Cash invested: $76,299 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 66 active · 25 under contract
- Months of supply
- 14.7 mo (7%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $275,900 ($165/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 84 d
- This list price
- 32% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +3.2% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 33576
- Home prices YoY
- -0.8%
- Rents YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 510
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,392 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,429
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$341 /mo · $4,087/yr
- Insurance
- −$114
- HOA
- −$212
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$502
- Net cashflow
- $-206
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-17 | -5% $-112 | +0% $-206 | +5% $-300 | +10% $-394 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-395 | -5% $-300 | +0% $-206 | +5% $-111 | +10% $-17 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-68 | -0.5pp $-136 | base $-206 | +0.5pp $-276 | +1.0pp $-348 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,124
- Closing costs
- $8,175
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31825 Kestrel Calling Dr San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1602 | $2,300 | $1.44 | 32d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 31799 Kestrel Calling Dr San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1602 | $2,100 | $1.31 | 32d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 11608 Ascend Mirada Blvd San Antonio, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1178 | $2,265 | $1.92 | 0d | 19 | 0.18mi |
| 31555 Azure Beach Dr Unit 1 San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1674 | $2,300 | $1.37 | 10d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 31555 Azure Beach Dr San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $2,300 | $1.44 | 29d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 31555 Azure Beach Dr San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $2,300 | $1.44 | 27d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 31536 Azure Beach Dr San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1788 | $2,500 | $1.40 | 62d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 31530 Azure Beach Dr San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1788 | $2,500 | $1.40 | 62d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 11126 Tidepool Ct San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1788 | $3,200 | $1.79 | 117d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 11126 Tidepool Ct Unit Na San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1788 | $3,200 | $1.79 | 115d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 31478 Ocean Ave San Antonio, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1119 | $2,349 | $2.10 | 0d | 46 | 0.46mi |
| 11813 June Briar Loop San Antonio, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2161 | $2,495 | $1.15 | 54d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 11813 June Briar Loop San Antonio, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2161 | $2,495 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 32094 Hawthorne Cottage Pl San Antonio, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1936 | $2,795 | $1.44 | 119d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 11210 Linden Depot Rd San Antonio, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1936 | $2,550 | $1.32 | 100d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 10835 Sparkly Way San Antonio, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1405 | $2,395 | $1.70 | 10d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 11708 Radiant Shore Loop San Antonio, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1870 | $2,500 | $1.34 | 7d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 11672 Radiant Shore Loop San Antonio, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1870 | $2,495 | $1.33 | 110d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 11545 Radiant Shore Loop San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1451 | $2,250 | $1.55 | 119d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 11629 Radiant Shore Loop San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1448 | $2,100 | $1.45 | 56d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 11629 Radiant Shore Loop San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1448 | $2,145 | $1.48 | 88d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 11410 Cay Spruce Way San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2000 | $2,100 | $1.05 | 3d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 11360 Cay Spruce Way Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1615 | $2,000 | $1.24 | 69d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 10864 Penny Gale Loop Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1504 | $2,299 | $1.53 | 83d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 11322 Cay Spruce Way Unit n/a Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2003 | $2,420 | $1.21 | 119d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 11357 Cay Spruce Way San Antonio, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1615 | $1,900 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 31457 Mango Fade Way San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1587 | $2,200 | $1.39 | 7d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 10797 Penny Gale Loop Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1961 | $2,300 | $1.17 | 83d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 10797 Penny Gale Loop San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1961 | $2,200 | $1.12 | 64d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 11317 Cay Spruce Way San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2017 | $2,250 | $1.12 | 58d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 11317 Cay Spruce Way San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2017 | $2,250 | $1.12 | 30d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 11429 Linden Depot Rd San Antonio, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1936 | $2,550 | $1.32 | 5d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 11232 Cay Spruce Way San Antonio, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1615 | $1,955 | $1.21 | 60d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 11232 Cay Spruce Way Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1615 | $1,955 | $1.21 | 63d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 11212 Cay Spruce Way San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1856 | $2,200 | $1.19 | 72d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 10817 Ironwood Tree Way San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1694 | $2,250 | $1.33 | 97d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 10817 Ironwood Tree Way San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1694 | $2,250 | $1.33 | 119d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 32067 Eastern Redbud Br San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1639 | $2,250 | $1.37 | 119d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 32079 Eastern Redbud Br San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1639 | $2,200 | $1.34 | 64d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 10777 Ironwood Tree Way San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1694 | $2,300 | $1.36 | 32d | 1 | 0.81mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Home warranty includedCDD applicablePermit number: 2026-131
- Financial info
- Other annual assessment: $1,800Total monthly HOA fees reported $212 (annual $2,544)
- HOA & community
- HOA: Dream Finders HomesMonthly HOA fee $212 (includes private road)Association amenities: gated community, fence restrictions, playground, dog park, trails, tennis courts, pickleball courts, community mailbox, sidewalksPets allowed
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached garage (1-car, 11x18)
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerPublic utilities
- Home design
- TownhouseAttached propertyTwo levelsFacing eastUnder construction (projected completion: 2026-12-26)
- Construction
- Block and stucco constructionShingle roofBuilt on slab foundationNew constructionBuilder: Dream Finders Homes (Model: Sand Dollar)
- Exterior features
- Rear porchSidewalkCleared lotConservation area
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherMicrowaveRange
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms
- Flooring
- CarpetTile
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Electric heatingCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- High ceilingsOpen floorplanWalk-in closets
- Laundry & utility
- Washer hookupElectric dryer hookupLaundry on upper level
HOA detail $212/mo · $2,544/yr
- Likely covers
- landscapingsecurity
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-23days on market $266,990 Active 210 DOM
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2026-09-22days on market $266,990 Active 209 DOM
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2026-09-21days on market $266,990 Active 208 DOM
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2026-09-20days on market $266,990 Active 207 DOM
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2026-09-19days on market $266,990 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $266,990 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $266,990 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $266,990 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $266,990 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $266,990 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $266,990 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $266,990 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $266,990 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $266,990 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $266,990 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $266,990 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $266,990 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $266,990 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $266,990 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $266,990 Active 181 DOM
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2026-08-24days on market $266,990 Active 180 DOM
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2026-08-23days on market $266,990 Active 179 DOM
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2026-08-22days on market $266,990 Active 178 DOM
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2026-08-20days on market $266,990 Active 176 DOM
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2026-08-19days on market $266,990 Active 175 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $266,990 Active 174 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $266,990 Active 173 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $266,990 Active 172 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $266,990 Active 171 DOM
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2026-08-14days on market $266,990 Active 170 DOM
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2026-08-13days on market $266,990 Active 169 DOM
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2026-08-12days on market $266,990 Active 168 DOM
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2026-08-11days on market $266,990 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $266,990 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $266,990 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $266,990 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $266,990 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $266,990 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $266,990 Active 160 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $266,990 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $266,990 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $266,990 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $266,990 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $266,990 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $266,990 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $266,990 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $266,990 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $266,990 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $266,990 Active 145 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $266,990 Active 142 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,700
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,264
- − Property taxes
- −$4,087
- − Insurance
- −$1,362
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,296
- − Management
- −$2,296
- − HOA
- −$2,544
- − Depreciation
- −$7,927
- Taxable loss
- −$7,077
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,698
- After-tax cash flow
- $-770/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This townhouse is in excellent condition with a clean and modern interior and exterior. It is move-in ready and would benefit from some landscaping and curb appeal improvements to further enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances the home's curb appeal and can attract more buyers or renters. ↑
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can make the home look more inviting and maintain its value. ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances the home's curb appeal and can attract more buyers or renters. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasco
- NCES district ID
- 1201530
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,039
- Composite
- 43.14/100
- National rank
- #3074
- State rank
- #32 of 73 in FL
Livability — San Antonio
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #454
- US rank
- #8221
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Pasco County · 570,045 people
- City population
- 6,273
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,273
- Household income
- $76,388
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 570,045 people
- By 2030
- 605,844 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 674,806 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 736,022 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 862,900 · +51.4%
- By 2100
- 906,364 · +59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 5% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pasco
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.32%
- Current HPI
- 281.7138
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.37%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+1.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Listed $273,962 Zillow
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $266,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-25 Listed $270,182 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…