315 River St · Plymouth, PA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.72%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.3/30.0
- ARV discount +10.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$133,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Tenant occupied!Sat and Sun 12pm to 2pm only24-hour notice to schedule. Great investment property or a perfect starter home. Agent related to sellerHome being sold as is.
Key facts
- 2,625 sq ft lot
- Listed 112 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $133k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $128 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $133k).
- Recommended offer: $121k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#1,068 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
- Wyoming Valley West SD (suburban): math 18% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #445 of 539 in PA (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $920 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $133k implies a 122% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.27%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $140,761
- List price
- $133,000
- Delta
- -5.51%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56 Elm St | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,234 (+2%) | 4mo | $112,000 | $91 | 80 |
| 45 Ferry St | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 | 1,135 (-6%) | 8mo | $65,000 | $57 | 80 |
| 400 Beade St | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,104 (-8%) | 4mo | $135,000 | $122 | 76 |
| 588 Shawnee St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,216 (+1%) | 2mo | $170,000 | $140 | 68 |
| 1 Morgan Ter | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,323 (+10%) | 2mo | $187,000 | $141 | 66 |
| 192 Phillips St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,264 (+5%) | 2mo | $150,500 | $119 | 63 |
| 330 Palmer St | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,300 (+8%) | 10mo | $34,000 | $26 | 63 |
| 40 Kniffen St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,265 (+5%) | 9mo | $225,000 | $178 | 61 |
| 103 Washington Ave | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,352 (+12%) | 8mo | $180,000 | $133 | 57 |
| 82 Lyndwood Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (-0%) | 10mo | $207,000 | $173 | 56 |
| 161 Center Ave | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (-9%) | 3mo | $70,000 | $64 | 54 |
| 44 Hillside Ave | 0.66mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,190 (-1%) | 7mo | $85,000 | $71 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-13,354
- Equity at exit
- $19,831
- IRR
- -0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-987
- Equity at exit
- $11,499
Cash invested: $37,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18651
- Home prices YoY
- -11.5%
- Active inventory
- 61
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,347 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$697
- Tax from tax record
- −$117 /mo · $1,399/yr
- Insurance
- −$55
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$283
- Net cashflow
- $128
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $204 | -5% $166 | +0% $128 | +5% $91 | +10% $53 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $22 | -5% $75 | +0% $128 | +5% $181 | +10% $235 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $195 | -0.5pp $162 | base $128 | +0.5pp $94 | +1.0pp $59 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,250
- Closing costs
- $3,990
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 241 Gould St Plymouth, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 985 | $1,150 | $1.17 | 22d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 617 Fellows Ave Wilkes-Barre, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,395 | $1.27 | 15d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 48 E Shawnee Ave Plymouth, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,250 | $0.83 | 15d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 210-212 Center Ave Plymouth, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 45d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 202 S Nesbitt St Unit 206 B Larksville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 338 W Shawnee Ave Plymouth, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 945 | $1,550 | $1.64 | 15d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 100 Nesbitt St Unit 2 Larksville, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,295 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 546 W Main St Plymouth, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,150 | $1.53 | 22d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 27 Oak St Wilkes Barre, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $1,700 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 463 2nd St Plymouth, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,500 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 342 Horton St Wilkes Barre, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1472 | $1,650 | $1.12 | 15d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 134 Blair St Plymouth, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,300 | $1.00 | 22d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 29 Franklin St Plymouth, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1426 | $1,800 | $1.26 | 15d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 72 Franklin St Plymouth, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,175 | $1.57 | 15d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 206 Nesbitt St Larksville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,325 | $1.35 | 45d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 229 Nesbitt St Larksville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 75 Oxford St Hanover Township, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $950 | $1.06 | 15d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 13 Woodbury St Hanover Township, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 45d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1259 Sively St Wilkes-Barre, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1232 | $1,550 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 129 Carlisle St Wilkes Barre, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1005 | $1,200 | $1.19 | 15d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 216 Horton St Wilkes Barre, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1475 | $1,575 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 75 Melrose Ave Apt 2 Wilkes-Barre, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,250 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 284 Barney St Wilkes Barre, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,600 | $1.50 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 18 North St Plymouth, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 15d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1321 S Main St Hanover Township, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,095 | $1.37 | 45d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $133,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $133,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $133,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $133,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $133,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $133,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $133,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $133,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $133,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $133,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $133,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $133,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $133,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $133,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $133,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-05-17price $133,000 170-char remark
Show marketing remark (170 chars)
Tenant occupied!Sat and Sun 12pm to 2pm only24-hour notice to schedule. Great investment property or a perfect starter home. Agent related to sellerHome being sold as is.
-
2026-04-11price $138,000 170-char remark
Show marketing remark (170 chars)
Tenant occupied!Sat and Sun 12pm to 2pm only24-hour notice to schedule. Great investment property or a perfect starter home. Agent related to sellerHome being sold as is.
-
2026-02-26$140,000 Active 170-char remark
Show marketing remark (170 chars)
Tenant occupied!Sat and Sun 12pm to 2pm only24-hour notice to schedule. Great investment property or a perfect starter home. Agent related to sellerHome being sold as is.
-
2024-09-18price $129,500
-
2024-09-17price $132,000
-
2024-09-05price $134,900
-
2022-10-07soldstatus $60,000 Closed
-
2022-09-06historical
-
2022-06-30$74,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,399 · $117/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,750 · $146/mo
- Expected delta
- +$351/yr (+$29/mo · 25.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 72% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,164
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,450
- − Property taxes
- −$1,399
- − Insurance
- −$1,462
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,293
- − Management
- −$1,293
- − Depreciation
- −$3,869
- Taxable loss
- −$603
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$145
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,683/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wyoming Valley West SD
- NCES district ID
- 4225950
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,437
- Composite
- 25.38/100
- National rank
- #7470
- State rank
- #445 of 539 in PA
Livability — Plymouth
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #1068
- US rank
- #12056
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Plymouth, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,672
Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 319,505 people
- By 2030
- 319,943 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 322,643 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 330,817 · +3.5%
- By 2075
- 379,145 · +18.7%
- By 2100
- 431,908 · +35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 5% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Dominican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 19% Scotch-Irish 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -29.78%
- Current HPI
- 229.6791
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
+77.6% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Price Changed $133,000 LCAR
- 2026-04-11 Price Changed $138,000 LCAR
- 2026-02-26 Listed $140,000 LCAR
- 2024-09-18 Price Changed $129,500 LCAR
- 2024-09-17 Price Changed $132,000 LCAR
- 2024-09-05 Price Changed $134,900 LCAR
- 2022-10-07 Sold (MLS) $60,000 LCAR
- 2022-09-06 Delisted — LCAR
- 2022-06-30 Listed $74,900 LCAR
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2026): $1,399 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…