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315 River St
C- Composite 54.04
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$133,000

315 River St · Plymouth, PA 18651
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,206 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 112 Days on market
Built 1920 2,625 sqft lot $110/sqft · 6% below area Est $141k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Tenant occupied!Sat and Sun 12pm to 2pm only24-hour notice to schedule. Great investment property or a perfect starter home. Agent related to sellerHome being sold as is.

Key facts

  • 2,625 sq ft lot
  • Listed 112 days

Tags

QUIET DEAD-END STREETCLOSE PROXIMITY TO SHOPPING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $133k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $128 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $133k).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#1,068 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Wyoming Valley West SD (suburban): math 18% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #445 of 539 in PA (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $920 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $60k; list at $133k implies a 122% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $121,030 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
8.05%
Cash-on-cash
6.27%
DSCR
1.28
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$140,761
List price
$133,000
Delta
-5.51%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
56 Elm St 0.26mi 3/1.0 1,234 (+2%) 4mo $112,000 $91 80
45 Ferry St 0.08mi 3/1.0 1,135 (-6%) 8mo $65,000 $57 80
400 Beade St 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,104 (-8%) 4mo $135,000 $122 76
588 Shawnee St 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,216 (+1%) 2mo $170,000 $140 68
1 Morgan Ter 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,323 (+10%) 2mo $187,000 $141 66
192 Phillips St 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,264 (+5%) 2mo $150,500 $119 63
330 Palmer St 0.23mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,300 (+8%) 10mo $34,000 $26 63
40 Kniffen St 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,265 (+5%) 9mo $225,000 $178 61
103 Washington Ave 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,352 (+12%) 8mo $180,000 $133 57
82 Lyndwood Ave 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,200 (-0%) 10mo $207,000 $173 56
161 Center Ave 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,100 (-9%) 3mo $70,000 $64 54
44 Hillside Ave 0.66mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,190 (-1%) 7mo $85,000 $71 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.8%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-13,354
Equity at exit
$19,831
10-year hold
IRR
-0.4%
Equity multiple
0.97×
Total profit
$-987
Equity at exit
$11,499

Cash invested: $37,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18651

Home prices YoY
-11.5%
Active inventory
61
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,347 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$697
Tax from tax record
$117 /mo · $1,399/yr
Insurance
$55
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$283
Net cashflow
$128

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,185
Max offer price $133,000
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $204 -5% $166 +0% $128 +5% $91 +10% $53
Rent -10% $22 -5% $75 +0% $128 +5% $181 +10% $235
Rate -1.0pp $195 -0.5pp $162 base $128 +0.5pp $94 +1.0pp $59

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,250
Closing costs
$3,990
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
241 Gould St Plymouth, PA 2.0 1.0 985 $1,150 $1.17 22d 1 0.46mi
617 Fellows Ave Wilkes-Barre, PA 4.0 1.0 1100 $1,395 $1.27 15d 1 0.52mi
48 E Shawnee Ave Plymouth, PA 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,250 $0.83 15d 1 0.56mi
210-212 Center Ave Plymouth, PA 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,200 $0.92 45d 1 0.67mi
202 S Nesbitt St Unit 206 B Larksville, PA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 45d 1 0.88mi
338 W Shawnee Ave Plymouth, PA 2.0 1.5 945 $1,550 $1.64 15d 1 0.91mi
100 Nesbitt St Unit 2 Larksville, PA 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,295 $1.08 45d 1 1.10mi
546 W Main St Plymouth, PA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,150 $1.53 22d 1 1.10mi
27 Oak St Wilkes Barre, PA 3.0 1.5 1500 $1,700 $1.13 45d 1 1.15mi
463 2nd St Plymouth, PA 3.0 1.0 1250 $1,500 $1.20 45d 1 1.16mi
342 Horton St Wilkes Barre, PA 3.0 1.5 1472 $1,650 $1.12 15d 1 1.16mi
134 Blair St Plymouth, PA 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,300 $1.00 22d 1 1.17mi
29 Franklin St Plymouth, PA 3.0 1.0 1426 $1,800 $1.26 15d 1 1.19mi
72 Franklin St Plymouth, PA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,175 $1.57 15d 1 1.20mi
206 Nesbitt St Larksville, PA 3.0 1.0 980 $1,325 $1.35 45d 1 1.20mi
229 Nesbitt St Larksville, PA 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,250 $1.25 45d 1 1.22mi
75 Oxford St Hanover Township, PA 2.0 1.0 900 $950 $1.06 15d 1 1.24mi
13 Woodbury St Hanover Township, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 45d 1 1.25mi
1259 Sively St Wilkes-Barre, PA 3.0 1.0 1232 $1,550 $1.26 45d 1 1.33mi
129 Carlisle St Wilkes Barre, PA 2.0 1.0 1005 $1,200 $1.19 15d 1 1.34mi
216 Horton St Wilkes Barre, PA 3.0 1.5 1475 $1,575 $1.07 45d 1 1.37mi
75 Melrose Ave Apt 2 Wilkes-Barre, PA 2.0 1.0 1150 $1,250 $1.09 45d 1 1.45mi
284 Barney St Wilkes Barre, PA 3.0 1.0 1070 $1,600 $1.50 45d 1 1.46mi
18 North St Plymouth, PA 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,300 $1.08 15d 1 1.46mi
1321 S Main St Hanover Township, PA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,095 $1.37 45d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $133,000 Active 112 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $133,000 Active 111 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $133,000 Active 110 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $133,000 Active 109 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $133,000 Active 107 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $133,000 Active 106 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $133,000 Active 104 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $133,000 Active 103 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $133,000 Active 102 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $133,000 Active 101 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $133,000 Active 98 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $133,000 Active 96 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $133,000 Active 95 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $133,000 Active 94 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $133,000 Active 93 DOM
  16. 2026-05-17
    price $133,000 170-char remark
    Show marketing remark (170 chars)

    Tenant occupied!Sat and Sun 12pm to 2pm only24-hour notice to schedule. Great investment property or a perfect starter home. Agent related to sellerHome being sold as is.

  17. 2026-04-11
    price $138,000 170-char remark
    Show marketing remark (170 chars)

    Tenant occupied!Sat and Sun 12pm to 2pm only24-hour notice to schedule. Great investment property or a perfect starter home. Agent related to sellerHome being sold as is.

  18. 2026-02-26
    listed $140,000 Active 170-char remark
    Show marketing remark (170 chars)

    Tenant occupied!Sat and Sun 12pm to 2pm only24-hour notice to schedule. Great investment property or a perfect starter home. Agent related to sellerHome being sold as is.

  19. 2024-09-18
    price $129,500
  20. 2024-09-17
    price $132,000
  21. 2024-09-05
    price $134,900
  22. 2022-10-07
    soldstatus $60,000 Closed
  23. 2022-09-06
    historical
  24. 2022-06-30
    listed $74,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,399 · $117/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,750 · $146/mo
Expected delta
+$351/yr (+$29/mo · 25.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 72% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,164
− Mortgage interest
−$7,450
− Property taxes
−$1,399
− Insurance
−$1,462
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,293
− Management
−$1,293
− Depreciation
−$3,869
Taxable loss
−$603
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$145
After-tax cash flow
$1,683/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wyoming Valley West SD
NCES district ID
4225950
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$42,437
Composite
25.38/100
National rank
#7470
State rank
#445 of 539 in PA

Livability — Plymouth

Score
66/100
State rank
#1068
US rank
#12056

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Plymouth, PA
Population (ZIP)
8,672

Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
319,505 people
By 2030
319,943 · +0.1%
By 2040
322,643 · +1.0%
By 2050
330,817 · +3.5%
By 2075
379,145 · +18.7%
By 2100
431,908 · +35.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 5% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Dominican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 19% Scotch-Irish 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne

2024 margin
R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -29.78%
Current HPI
229.6791
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+77.6% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-17 Price Changed $133,000 LCAR
  • 2026-04-11 Price Changed $138,000 LCAR
  • 2026-02-26 Listed $140,000 LCAR
  • 2024-09-18 Price Changed $129,500 LCAR
  • 2024-09-17 Price Changed $132,000 LCAR
  • 2024-09-05 Price Changed $134,900 LCAR
  • 2022-10-07 Sold (MLS) $60,000 LCAR
  • 2022-09-06 Delisted LCAR
  • 2022-06-30 Listed $74,900 LCAR

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,399 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…