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644 Crawford St
B- Composite 69.53
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +10.0/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,900

644 Crawford St · Flint, MI 48507
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 906 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 52 Days on market
Built 1954 4,792 sqft lot Est $63k · 6% under ↓ 29% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Cute 3-bedroom home featuring a 2.5-car detached garage, central A/C, and a basement ready for your finishing touches. Tons of potential and priced to sell!

Key facts

  • 4,792 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1954

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Subdivision: NEWCOMBE PLACE; Cross streets: Atherton & Grand Traverse
  • Financial info: Annual tax listed (see listing for details)
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association present

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with 2.5 car capacity
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-and-one-half story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Above-grade finished area approximately 1,023
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.11 acres; Lot dimensions: 4,792

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 total rooms (includes sleeping areas)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: Block basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $365 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($993 rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 206 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $12k; list at $60k implies a 391% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $58,103 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.66%
Cap rate
13.60%
Cash-on-cash
26.09%
DSCR
2.16
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$63,420
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
737 Campbell St 0.14mi 3/1.0 947 (+4%) 4mo $84,700 $89 82
3805 Brunswick Ave 0.29mi 3/1.0 921 (+2%) 4mo $25,000 $27 80
934 Campbell St 0.35mi 3/1.0 924 (+2%) 1mo $89,000 $96 79
727 Waldman Ave 0.20mi 3/1.0 956 (+6%) 5mo $79,600 $83 78
1105 Lincoln Ave 0.55mi 2/1.0 (-1) 896 (-1%) 2mo $38,000 $42 66
4526 Milton Dr 0.69mi 3/1.0 929 (+2%) 2mo $90,000 $97 62
1413 Waldman Ave 0.73mi 3/1.0 903 (-0%) 4mo $99,900 $111 62
825 Vermilya Ave 0.39mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,020 (+13%) 3mo $30,000 $29 53
912 Markham St 0.42mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,020 (+13%) 4mo $71,000 $70 51
839 Barrie Ave 0.60mi 2/1.0 (-1) 816 (-10%) 3mo $35,000 $43 48
1125 Ingleside Ave 0.57mi 2/1.0 (-1) 771 (-15%) 2mo $7,500 $10 42
937 Barrie Ave 0.66mi 2/1.0 (-1) 780 (-14%) 1mo $29,000 $37 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.4%
Equity multiple
1.63×
Total profit
$10,625
Equity at exit
$8,931
10-year hold
IRR
22.6%
Equity multiple
2.67×
Total profit
$27,985
Equity at exit
$5,179

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48507

Rents YoY
-1.0%
Active inventory
206
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$993 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax from tax record
$81 /mo · $970/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$209
Net cashflow
$365

Break-even live

Break-even rent $532
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 58%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $399 -5% $382 +0% $365 +5% $348 +10% $331
Rent -10% $286 -5% $325 +0% $365 +5% $404 +10% $443
Rate -1.0pp $395 -0.5pp $380 base $365 +0.5pp $349 +1.0pp $333

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
813 Alvord Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 724 $850 $1.17 14d 1 0.21mi
4400 Kings Ln Burton, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 666 $960 $1.44 14d 19 0.55mi
1023 Barrie Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 660 $775 $1.17 22d 1 0.70mi
1426 Pettibone Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $900 $1.20 22d 1 0.78mi
410 Lippincott Blvd Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $695 $0.87 14d 1 1.25mi
3291 Glengary St Burton, MI 2.0 1.0 972 $1,075 $1.11 44d 1 1.25mi
2266 Donovan St Burton, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $800 $1.14 14d 1 1.32mi
1034 McKeighan Ave Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,250 $1.20 22d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,900 Active 52 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,900 Active 51 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,900 Active 50 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,900 Active 49 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $59,900 Active 47 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,900 Active 46 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $59,900 Active 44 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,900 Active 43 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,900 Active 42 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,900 Active 41 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $59,900 Active 38 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,900 Active 37 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,900 Active 36 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,900 Active 35 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Active 34 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $59,900 Active 33 DOM
  17. 2026-04-27
    listed $59,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (156 chars)

    Cute 3-bedroom home featuring a 2.5-car detached garage, central A/C, and a basement ready for your finishing touches. Tons of potential and priced to sell!

  18. 2026-04-27
    listed $59,900 Active 156-char remark
    Show marketing remark (156 chars)

    Cute 3-bedroom home featuring a 2.5-car detached garage, central A/C, and a basement ready for your finishing touches. Tons of potential and priced to sell!

  19. 2013-12-11
    soldstatus $12,200 258-char remark
    Show marketing remark (258 chars)

    Great investment opportunity or starter home!! Charming 1.5 story with 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, basement & detached 2 car garage. Located on a nice sized lot with mature trees. Convenient location - easy access to shopping, schools & expressways.

  20. 2013-12-11
    soldstatus $12,200
    Show marketing remark (258 chars)

    Great investment opportunity or starter home!! Charming 1.5 story with 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, basement & detached 2 car garage. Located on a nice sized lot with mature trees. Convenient location - easy access to shopping, schools & expressways.

  21. 2013-11-08
    historical 258-char remark
    Show marketing remark (258 chars)

    Great investment opportunity or starter home!! Charming 1.5 story with 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, basement & detached 2 car garage. Located on a nice sized lot with mature trees. Convenient location - easy access to shopping, schools & expressways.

  22. 2013-11-08
    historical
    Show marketing remark (258 chars)

    Great investment opportunity or starter home!! Charming 1.5 story with 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, basement & detached 2 car garage. Located on a nice sized lot with mature trees. Convenient location - easy access to shopping, schools & expressways.

  23. 2013-11-05
    listed $12,900 258-char remark
    Show marketing remark (258 chars)

    Great investment opportunity or starter home!! Charming 1.5 story with 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, basement & detached 2 car garage. Located on a nice sized lot with mature trees. Convenient location - easy access to shopping, schools & expressways.

  24. 2013-11-05
    listed $12,900
    Show marketing remark (258 chars)

    Great investment opportunity or starter home!! Charming 1.5 story with 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, basement & detached 2 car garage. Located on a nice sized lot with mature trees. Convenient location - easy access to shopping, schools & expressways.

  25. 2007-11-02
    soldstatus $83,000
  26. 2007-10-12
    soldstatus $83,000
  27. 2007-10-12
    soldstatus $83,000
  28. 2007-08-28
    historical
  29. 2007-05-24
    listed $84,000
  30. 2007-05-24
    listed $84,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$970 · $81/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$970 · $81/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,917
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$970
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$953
− Management
−$953
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$3,643
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$874
After-tax cash flow
$3,501/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flint School District
NCES district ID
2614520
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$25,954
Composite
10.97/100
National rank
#14642
State rank
#714 of 760 in MI

Livability — Flint

Score
74/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flint, MI
County
Genesee County · 221,329 people
City population
93,814
Metro
Flint, MI
Population (ZIP)
28,723
Household income
$46,554
Rent vs Own
42.2% rent · 57.8% own
Severe rent burden
1534.0

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 28% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -154.90%
Current HPI
132.3632
Rent YoY
▼ -1.04%
Metro
Flint, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-28.7% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-12-11 Sold (MLS) $12,200 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-12-11 Sold (MLS) $12,200 REALCOMP
  • 2013-11-08 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-11-08 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2013-11-05 Listed $12,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-11-05 Listed $12,900 REALCOMP
  • 2007-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $83,000 Public Records
  • 2007-10-12 Sold (MLS) $83,000 REALCOMP
  • 2007-10-12 Sold (MLS) $83,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-08-28 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-05-24 Listed $84,000 REALCOMP
  • 2007-05-24 Listed $84,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $970 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…