5518 Barefoot Blvd · Bellview, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +4.2/15.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Even though it needs some TLC this home is in a great location and a great starter home or a great investment property.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- New roof
- Conveniently located
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2-car covered carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service with circuit breakers and copper wiring; Paved, county-maintained road access
- Home design: Mobile/Manufactured home; One story; Resale property; Off-grade foundation
- Construction: Frame construction; Shingle roof; Insulation and insulated floors
- Exterior features: Covered deck; Rain gutters; Privacy fencing in the backyard; Corner lot; Yard building
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen island; Laminate counters; Dishwasher; Eat-in kitchen with breakfast bar / kitchen-dining combo
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the first floor (approx. 11' x 15'); Bedroom on the first floor (approx. 11' x 11'); Second bedroom on the first floor (approx. 8' x 11')
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Carpet
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (all on the first floor)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Fireplace(s); Central air; Ceiling fan(s) for cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Insulated doors
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry with washer/dryer hookups; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $940 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.6% vs local median 5.2% in Bellview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#561 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Bellview Elementary School (math 28% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,854 of 2,144 statewide, top 87%, 545 students, 75% FRL); Bellview Middle School (math 17% / reading 23%, grade F, #558 of 571 statewide, top 98%, 992 students, 76% FRL); Pine Forest High School (math 20% / reading 32%, grade F, #494 of 667 statewide, top 75%, 1,870 students, 62% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Escambia average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 421 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.4% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $77k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.97% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.34%
- DSCR
- 2.79
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $93,000
- List price
- $99,900
- Delta
- 7.42%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6290 Footprint Dr | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (-10%) | 3mo | $90,000 | $64 | 77 |
| 6264 Footprint Dr | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,586 (+2%) | 18mo | $160,000 | $101 | 76 |
| 6253 Footprint Dr Unit N/A | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,352 (-13%) | 1mo | $96,000 | $71 | 73 |
| 6368 Footprint Dr | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (-10%) | 8mo | $80,000 | $57 | 73 |
| 6392 Footprint Dr | 0.14mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,431 (-8%) | 22mo | $122,000 | $85 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.42% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.66×
- Total profit
- $46,542
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 45.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.63×
- Total profit
- $129,641
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32526
- Home prices YoY
- -28.3%
- Rents YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 421
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,970 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$51 /mo · $606/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$414
- Net cashflow
- $940
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $997 | -5% $969 | +0% $940 | +5% $912 | +10% $884 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $785 | -5% $863 | +0% $940 | +5% $1,018 | +10% $1,096 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $991 | -0.5pp $966 | base $940 | +0.5pp $914 | +1.0pp $888 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5519 Lexlee Blvd Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1543 | $1,850 | $1.20 | 25d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 5172 Zachary Blvd Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1803 | $1,900 | $1.05 | 25d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 5217 Saufley Field Rd Pensacola, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1817 | $1,895 | $1.04 | 25d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 5184 Regalo Dr Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1504 | $1,900 | $1.26 | 25d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 3001 Flintlock Dr Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $1,895 | $1.08 | 15d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 5079 Cocoa Dr Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2129 | $2,075 | $0.97 | 15d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 5404 N Blue Angel Pkwy Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,275 | $1.14 | 25d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 4856 Genevive Ct Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1900 | $1,850 | $0.97 | 15d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3115 Flintlock Dr Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,700 | $1.42 | 25d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 5604 Scotland Ter Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1231 | $1,600 | $1.30 | 15d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 6081 Royal Port Ct Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1428 | $1,850 | $1.30 | 25d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 6077 Royal Port Ct Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1542 | $1,775 | $1.15 | 25d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 6225 Mobile Hwy Pensacola, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1036 | $2,595 | $2.50 | 15d | 15 | 1.25mi |
| 5049 Quarter Deck St Pensacola, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1820 | $2,300 | $1.26 | 15d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 5031 Firstmate Way Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1425 | $2,100 | $1.47 | 25d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 6617 Boatswain Rd Pensacola, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2052 | $2,295 | $1.12 | 15d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 6379 Mers Ln Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1811 | $1,900 | $1.05 | 22d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 7111 N Blue Angel Pkwy Pensacola, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 989 | $1,555 | $1.57 | 15d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $99,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $99,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $99,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-13$99,900 Active 665-char remark
-
2012-09-07soldstatus $27,000 119-char remark
Show marketing remark (119 chars)
Even though it needs some TLC this home is in a great location and a great starter home or a great investment property.
-
2012-08-20$32,000 119-char remark
Show marketing remark (119 chars)
Even though it needs some TLC this home is in a great location and a great starter home or a great investment property.
-
2006-09-27historical
-
2006-06-27$90,000
-
2004-11-05soldstatus $49,000
-
2004-04-19$52,500
-
2002-08-03historical
-
2001-09-05historical
-
2000-09-04$19,500
-
2000-03-15$86,400
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $606 · $51/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $829 · $69/mo
- Expected delta
- +$223/yr (+$19/mo · 36.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,641
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$606
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,891
- − Management
- −$1,891
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $10,251
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,460
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,824/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Escambia
- NCES district ID
- 1200510
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,649
- Composite
- 36.04/100
- National rank
- #4773
- State rank
- #56 of 73 in FL
Livability — Bellview
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #561
- US rank
- #10731
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bellview, FL
- County
- Escambia County · 301,722 people
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,680
- Household income
- $75,098
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1166.0
Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 334,637 people
- By 2030
- 345,779 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 364,828 · +9.0%
- By 2050
- 378,514 · +13.1%
- By 2075
- 403,220 · +20.5%
- By 2100
- 386,125 · +15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Black 19% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Escambia
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -99.68%
- Current HPI
- 252.6406
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.42%
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+15.6% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listed $99,900 PARMLS
- 2026-05-12 Sold (Public Records) $77,000 Public Records
- 2012-09-07 Sold (MLS) $27,000 PARMLS
- 2012-08-20 Listed $32,000 PARMLS
- 2006-09-27 Listing Removed — PARMLS
- 2006-06-27 Listed $90,000 PARMLS
- 2004-11-05 Sold (MLS) $49,000 PARMLS
- 2004-04-19 Listed $52,500 PARMLS
- 2002-08-03 Listing Removed — PARMLS
- 2001-09-05 Listing Removed — PARMLS
- 2000-09-04 Listed $19,500 PARMLS
- 2000-03-15 Listed $86,400 PARMLS
Property tax history
-1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $606 · +25.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…