20401 NE 30th Ave Unit 416-8 · Aventura, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.4/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +9.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$235,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Large 1,170 sq. ft. corner PH unit 2 Bdr/2Ba. Light and bright. Very private location. New roof. Walk in closets and oversized rooms! Tile floors. Remodeled bathrooms. The main bedroom includes 2 finished closets & an en-suite bathroom with a walk-in shower. Full Size Washer & Dryer Inside the Unit! Large screened in balcony. Open kitchen, kitchen cabinets need updating. Lots of storage, all closets are finished! Assigned parking. The community offers three pools, BBQ areas, a clubhouse, gym, and playground. Villa Dorada is centrally located in the heart of Aventura on W country club drive right across from the amazing circle. .. Walking distance to houses of worship, Aventura M
Key facts
- Three pools
- Finished closets
- Private location
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed with restrictions or possible restrictions
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Association fee covers amenities, common areas, cable TV, insurance, internet, structure maintenance, parking, pool(s), recreation facilities, roof, sewer, trash, and water; Community amenities include clubhouse, fitness center, barbecue, picnic area, playground, pool, sauna, spa/hot tub, and elevators
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking; Guest parking; One designated space
- Utilities: Water connected; Sewer connected; Electric service
- Home design: Condominium / attached property; PH CORNER model; 4 total stories; Entry located on level 4
- Construction: Block construction; Effective year built
- Exterior features: Balcony (screened); Heated pool; Exterior lighting
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Disposal; Icemaker; Microwave; Refrigerator; Kitchen island
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Blinds on windows; Closet cabinetry; Elevator access; Kitchen island; Walk-in closet(s)
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $235k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $260 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $235k).
- Recommended offer: $231k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 2.6% in Aventura — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#127 in FL, #1,834 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, health & safety A+, amenities A; Watch: crime D+, cost of living F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.5%/yr); 992 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,652/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($91k/yr) (locally 1838% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($231k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.55% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.53%
- DSCR
- 1.56
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-31,534
- Equity at exit
- $35,039
- IRR
- -15.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-44,748
- Equity at exit
- $20,319
Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33180
- Rents YoY
- -1.5%
- Active inventory
- 992
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,652 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,232
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$294 /mo · $3,525/yr
- Insurance
- −$98
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$574
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$767
- Net cashflow
- $260
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $423 | -5% $341 | +0% $260 | +5% $179 | +10% $98 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-28 | -5% $116 | +0% $260 | +5% $405 | +10% $549 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $379 | -0.5pp $320 | base $260 | +0.5pp $199 | +1.0pp $137 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,750
- Closing costs
- $7,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 223 SW 10th St Hallandale Beach, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1289 | $3,900 | $3.03 | 25d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 707 SW 3rd Ave Hallandale Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1369 | $5,500 | $4.02 | 6d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 215 SE 5th St Hallandale Beach, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1133 | $2,700 | $2.38 | 25d | 5 | 1.09mi |
| 211 SE 4th St #3 Hallandale Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1290 | $3,950 | $3.06 | 25d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 90 SW 3rd St Unit 2400 Hallandale Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1079 | $3,700 | $3.43 | 25d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 644 SW 7th Ct Hallandale Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1492 | $3,800 | $2.55 | 4d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1180 E Hallandale Beach Blvd Unit 1241877P Hallandale Beach, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 844 | $5,453 | $6.46 | 4d | 2 | 1.36mi |
| 839 SW 8th St #1 Hallandale Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,500 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 1.41mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $574 · $6,888/yr
- Likely covers
- poolgymparking
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-03days on market $235,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $235,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $235,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $235,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-05$235,000 Active
-
2026-03-15historical
-
2026-03-06price $235,000
-
2025-10-20$245,000 Active
-
2025-10-15historical
-
2025-07-25status Active
-
2025-04-11price $245,000
-
2025-03-15$225,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $43,821
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,164
- − Property taxes
- −$3,525
- − Insurance
- −$6,294
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,506
- − Management
- −$3,506
- − HOA
- −$6,888
- − Depreciation
- −$6,836
- Taxable income
- $103
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$25
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,099/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This corner unit is in average condition with some cosmetic updates needed. The new roof and large balcony add value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor kitchen cabinets — wooden cabinets need updating
- Minor bathroom fixtures — some wear on fixtures
Value-add opportunities
- Resale update kitchen cabinets — modernizing the kitchen
- Both paint interior walls — improves appearance and value
- Resale update bathroom fixtures — modernizing the bathroom
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · wooden cabinets need updating | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · some wear on fixtures | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale update kitchen cabinets — modernizing the kitchen ↑
- Both paint interior walls — improves appearance and value ↑
- Resale update bathroom fixtures — modernizing the bathroom ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Aventura
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #127
- US rank
- #1834
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Aventura, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- City population
- 34,147
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,147
- Household income
- $91,055
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1838.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Hispanic / Latino 45% Two or more races 28% Black 2% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 7% Dominican 1% Salvadoran 6%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 5% Romanian 5% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 52% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 30% English-only · Spanish 49% Other Indo-European 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -343.81%
- Current HPI
- 234.7715
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.51%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+4.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Listed $235,000 MARMLS
- 2026-03-15 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2026-03-06 Price Changed $235,000 MARMLS
- 2025-10-20 Listed $245,000 MARMLS
- 2025-10-15 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2025-07-25 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2025-04-11 Price Changed $245,000 MARMLS
- 2025-03-15 Listed $225,000 MARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…