772 Quaker Rd · East Aurora, NY 14052

$125,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 976 sqft · SingleFamily public records

Built 1937 1.01 ac lot Est $125k · at est.

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +25.1/30.0
• DSCR +8.2/10.0
• 1% rule +8.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +5.5/10.0
• Livability +4.1/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

GREAT STARTER HOME, 3 BDRMS, LARGE LIVING/DINING COMBO. SUPER 646 FT. PRIVATE PARK-LIKE YARD. 2 CAR DETACHED GARAGE.

Key facts

• 1.01 acre lot
• 2 garage spots
• Built 1937

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $277 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
• Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 1.8% in East Aurora — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 82/100 on livability (#81 in NY, #1,241 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, commute F.
• East Aurora Union Free School District (town): math 55% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #189 of 590 in NY (top 32%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

• Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 2 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $103k; 21% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $125,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.30% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.96%
• Cash-on-cash: 9.51%
• DSCR: 1.42
• GRM: 6.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $124,928
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
772 Quaker Rd	0.00mi	2/1.0	976 (0%)	1mo	$125,000	$128	99

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -1.9%
• Equity multiple: 0.93×
• Total profit: $-2,479
• Equity at exit: $18,638

10-year hold

• IRR: 7.9%
• Equity multiple: 1.60×
• Total profit: $21,039
• Equity at exit: $10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 14052

• Active inventory: 90
• Price-to-rent: 6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,622 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$656
• Tax from tax record: −$296 /mo · $3,557/yr
• Insurance: −$52
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$341
• Net cashflow: $277

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,271

Max offer price $125,000

Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $31,250
• Closing costs: $3,750
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 6 events

1. 2026-04-15
   historical
2. 2026-04-14
   listed $125,000
3. 2013-11-14
   soldstatus $103,000 116-char remark

   Show marketing remark (116 chars)

   GREAT STARTER HOME, 3 BDRMS, LARGE LIVING/DINING COMBO. SUPER 646 FT. PRIVATE PARK-LIKE YARD. 2 CAR DETACHED GARAGE.

4. 2013-11-01
   soldstatus $103,000
5. 2013-08-13
   listed $93,900 116-char remark

   Show marketing remark (116 chars)

   GREAT STARTER HOME, 3 BDRMS, LARGE LIVING/DINING COMBO. SUPER 646 FT. PRIVATE PARK-LIKE YARD. 2 CAR DETACHED GARAGE.

6. 2003-06-11
   soldstatus $79,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $3,557 · $296/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $3,557 · $296/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $19,464
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,002
• − Property taxes: −$3,557
• − Insurance: −$625
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,557
• − Management: −$1,557
• − Depreciation: −$3,636
• Taxable income: $1,530
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$367
• After-tax cash flow: $2,961/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: East Aurora Union Free School District
• NCES district ID: 3609540
• Math proficiency: 55% ▼ -15.00%
• Reading proficiency: 69% ▼ -1.00%
• Median HH income: $70,345
• Composite: 54.63/100
• National rank: #1334
• State rank: #189 of 590 in NY

Livability — East Aurora

• Score: 82/100
• State rank: #81
• US rank: #1241

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute F Cost of living C- Crime B- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 17,501

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 933,037 people
• By 2030: 935,181 · +0.2%
• By 2040: 928,531 · -0.5%
• By 2050: 905,725 · -2.9%
• By 2075: 834,037 · -10.6%
• By 2100: 708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (95%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 13% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Arabic 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

• 2024 margin: Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -212.44%
• Current HPI: 327.8237
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

+56.4% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-15 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
• 2026-04-14 Listed $125,000 WNYREIS
• 2013-11-14 Sold (MLS) $103,000 WNYREIS
• 2013-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $103,000 Public Records
• 2013-08-13 Listed $93,900 WNYREIS
• 2003-06-11 Sold (Public Records) $79,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,557 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.