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12822 W Red Rock Multi-family
D- Composite 39.27
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$220,000

12822 W Red Rock · Wichita, KS 67235
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,576 sqft · MultiFamily · 31 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition 5,662 sqft lot $65/mo HOA · 3% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Key facts

  • Brand new build
  • Electric fireplace
  • Sprinkler system

Tags

BRAND NEW BUILDOPEN CONCEPT LAYOUTELECTRIC FIREPLACEDEDICATED LAUNDRY ROOMOVERSIZED WALK IN CLOSETSPRINKLER SYSTEM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property located in Sedgwick County
  • HOA & community: Has homeowners association; Association fee $780; One-time HOA initiation fee $125

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public utilities; Natural gas available; Sewer available
  • Home design: Duplex
  • Construction: No foundation details listed
  • Exterior features: One-level property; Composition roof

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning (electric); Forced air heating (natural gas)
  • Interior features: Main-floor laundry; No basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on main floor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $220k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-93 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $207k (6.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $189k (14.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $189k (14.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#100 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, commute F.
  • Goddard (rural): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #18 of 169 in KS (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Amelia Earhart Elementary School (math 52% / reading 52%, grade C-, #131 of 684 statewide, top 23%, 491 students, 26% FRL); Goddard Middle School (math 26% / reading 32%, grade F, #85 of 219 statewide, top 40%, 493 students, 30% FRL); Goddard High (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #105 of 327 statewide, top 49%, 948 students, 31% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 217 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,613 units permitted in Sedgwick County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sedgwick County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($213k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $188,915 (14.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
5.79%
Cash-on-cash
-1.81%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.3%
Equity multiple
0.33×
Total profit
$-41,501
Equity at exit
$32,803
10-year hold
IRR
-11.8%
Equity multiple
0.29×
Total profit
$-43,482
Equity at exit
$19,022

Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 67235

Home prices YoY
-16.1%
Active inventory
217
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,889 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,154
Tax est. 1.5%
$275 /mo · $3,300/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$65
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$397
Net cashflow
$-93

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,007
Max offer price $206,551
Occupancy floor 100%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $59 -5% $-17 +0% $-93 +5% $-169 +10% $-245
Rent -10% $-242 -5% $-168 +0% $-93 +5% $-18 +10% $56
Rate -1.0pp $18 -0.5pp $-37 base $-93 +0.5pp $-150 +1.0pp $-208

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$55,000
Closing costs
$6,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
12820 W Wheatland Ct Wichita, KS 3.0 2.0 1186 $1,500 $1.26 24d 1 0.80mi
12874 W Wheatland Ct Wichita, KS 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,595 $1.33 24d 1 0.87mi
12868 W Wheatland Ct Wichita, KS 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,595 $1.33 24d 1 0.87mi
1744 S Hickory Creek St Wichita, KS 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,595 $1.33 24d 1 0.91mi
1717 S Hickory Creek St Wichita, KS 4.0 2.0 1355 $1,595 $1.18 24d 1 0.91mi
1738 S Hickory Creek St Wichita, KS 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,595 $1.33 14d 1 0.91mi
11117 W Grant St Wichita, KS 4.0 3.0 2116 $2,095 $0.99 24d 1 1.20mi
11828 W Graber St Unit 100 Wichita, KS 3.0 2.0 1195 $1,595 $1.33 24d 1 1.30mi
12001 W US HWY Wichita, KS 3.0–4.0 2.0 1279 $1,650 $1.29 14d 1 1.45mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$65 · $780/yr

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $220,000 Active 31 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $220,000 Active 30 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $220,000 Active 29 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $220,000 Active 28 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $220,000 Active 26 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $220,000 Active 25 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $220,000 Active 23 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $220,000 Active 22 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $220,000 Active 21 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $220,000 Active 20 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $220,000 Active 16 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $220,000 Active 15 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $220,000 Active 14 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $220,000 Active 13 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $220,000 Active 12 DOM
  16. 2026-05-18
    listed $220,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,670
− Mortgage interest
−$12,323
− Property taxes
−$3,300
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,814
− Management
−$1,814
− HOA
−$780
− Depreciation
−$6,400
Taxable loss
−$4,861
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,167
After-tax cash flow
$51/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This multi-family home is in excellent condition with a good condition score of 80. It is move-in ready with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. The home has a good resale and rental value with potential for further improvements to enhance its curb appeal and functionality.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase the home's value and appeal to tech-savvy buyers/tenants.
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more functional and appealing to potential buyers/tenants.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase the home's value and appeal to tech-savvy buyers/tenants.
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more functional and appealing to potential buyers/tenants.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Goddard
NCES district ID
2006540
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$80,167
Composite
39.01/100
National rank
#4067
State rank
#18 of 169 in KS

Livability — Wichita

Score
72/100
State rank
#100
US rank
#5730

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wichita, KS
County
Sedgwick County · 432,957 people
City population
365,168
Metro
Wichita, KS
Population (ZIP)
14,958
Household income
$118,050
Rent vs Own
6.4% rent · 93.6% own
Severe rent burden
49.0

Population outlook (Sedgwick County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
537,014 people
By 2030
546,984 · +1.9%
By 2040
559,141 · +4.1%
By 2050
562,027 · +4.7%
By 2075
557,255 · +3.8%
By 2100
513,383 · -4.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Asian 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sedgwick

2024 margin
R (+13.8) · D 42.3% · R 56.1% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-1.1pp toward R · 2008: -12.7pp · 2024: -13.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.8 2020: R+12.6 2016: R+19.1 2012: R+19.7 2008: R+12.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -40.88%
Current HPI
212.876
Rent YoY
Metro
Wichita, KS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $220,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…