206 S. S Aspen Pl. #23 Pl · Spokane Valley, WA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 14 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.2/30.0
- ARV discount +11.2/15.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Very cute & well maintained manufactured home with an updated gas FA furnace & CAC, tankless water heater, & updated roof in a 55+ community on a quiet culdesac in the sought after Meadowbrook Village Community in the Spokane Valley. The great floor plan boasts an open concept kitchen, dining, and living area. All appliances including the W & D will stay with the home making it move in ready! The primary ensuite is well appointed with a large walk-in closet and full bath. On the opposite side of open living/dining area are 2 additional bedrooms and another full bath. There is a nice storage shed and storage at the end of the covered carport. Enjoy your morning coffee sitting out on your covered deck listening to the birds chirp! The lot rent of $895.00 includes water, sewer, snow plowing, gated RV parking, and common area maintenance. Call today to schedule a showing for it's a very short window time & days that it can be shown due to the seller's work schedule.
Key facts
- Covered deck
- Open concept kitchen
- Updated roof
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $327 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $158k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 3.0% in Spokane Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#31 in WA, #512 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+.
- Central Valley School District (urban): math 55% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #55 of 291 in WA (top 19%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 226 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,608 units permitted in Spokane County in 2024 (1,792 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Spokane County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 139 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $69k; list at $180k implies a 161% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 139 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.78%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $195,794
- List price
- $179,900
- Delta
- -8.12%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 213 S Blueberry Pl | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,188 (+10%) | 17mo | $190,000 | $160 | 66 |
| 304 S Conklin Rd #7 | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,000 (-7%) | 14mo | $85,000 | $85 | 47 |
| 17404 E 6th Ave | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 924 (-14%) | 10mo | $140,000 | $152 | 43 |
| 304 S Conklin Rd #21 | 0.56mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 954 (-12%) | 12mo | $133,200 | $140 | 39 |
| 304 S S Conklin Rd #39 | 0.54mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 952 (-12%) | 14mo | $130,000 | $137 | 38 |
| 304 S Conklin Rd #42 | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 952 (-12%) | 22mo | $110,000 | $116 | 33 |
| 304 S Conklin Rd #16 | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 924 (-14%) | 14mo | $110,000 | $119 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.15% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-9,969
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- 3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.23×
- Total profit
- $11,574
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 99016
- Home prices YoY
- -28.8%
- Rents YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 226
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,882 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax from tax record
- −$142 /mo · $1,705/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$395
- Net cashflow
- $327
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 215 S Conklin Rd Spokane Valley, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1065 | $2,020 | $1.90 | 14d | 11 | 0.33mi |
| 16511 E Sprague Ave Spokane Valley, WA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1367 | $2,125 | $1.55 | 14d | 6 | 0.35mi |
| 16708 E Broadway Ave Spokane Valley, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 957 | $1,695 | $1.77 | 14d | 7 | 0.60mi |
| 16618 E Broadway Ave Spokane Valley, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1039 | $1,865 | $1.79 | 14d | 6 | 0.62mi |
| 16122 E Valleyway Ave Unit B303 Spokane Valley, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 23d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 16122 E Valleyway Ave Unit B105 Spokane Valley, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 610 S Crescent Ln Greenacres, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,995 | $1.53 | 21d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 16104 E Valleyway Ave Spokane Valley, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,575 | $1.66 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 15821 E 4th Ave Spokane Valley, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 939 | $1,665 | $1.77 | 14d | 6 | 0.76mi |
| 15720 E 4th Ave Spokane Valley, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1020 | $2,001 | $1.96 | 14d | 19 | 0.76mi |
| 15922 E Valleyway Ave Spokane Valley, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1039 | $1,570 | $1.51 | 14d | 2 | 0.76mi |
| 701 N Conklin Rd Spokane Valley, WA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1307 | $1,900 | $1.45 | 14d | 2 | 0.78mi |
| 16102 E Broadway Ave Spokane Valley, WA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 884 | $1,710 | $1.93 | 14d | 16 | 0.82mi |
| 16609 E Desmet Ct Spokane Valley, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1125 | $2,000 | $1.78 | 14d | 24 | 0.90mi |
| 18417 E Appleway Ave Spokane Valley, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1025 | $1,895 | $1.85 | 14d | 8 | 0.96mi |
| 17016 E Indiana Pkwy Spokane Valley, WA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 918 | $2,050 | $2.23 | 14d | 50 | 1.00mi |
| 15413 E 4th Ave Unit 2x2 Spokane Valley, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 912 | $1,515 | $1.66 | 23d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 15413 E 4th Ave Unit 2x1 Spokane Valley, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 889 | $1,350 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1317 N Arc St Spokane Valley, WA | 3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1500 | $2,248 | $1.50 | 14d | 14 | 1.01mi |
| 16621 E Indiana Ave Spokane Valley, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 980 | $1,998 | $2.04 | 14d | 27 | 1.09mi |
| 112 S Drummond Ln Greenacres, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,200 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 116 N Barker Rd Greenacres, WA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1020 | $1,695 | $1.66 | 14d | 4 | 1.13mi |
| 17012 E Knox Ln Spokane Valley, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $2,395 | $1.67 | 14d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 229 S Adams Rd Spokane Valley, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 662 | $1,212 | $1.83 | 14d | 2 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,900 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,900 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,900 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,900 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $179,900 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $179,900 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,900 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,900 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,900 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $179,900 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $179,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $179,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,900 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-05-09price $179,900 1004-char remark
Show marketing remark (1004 chars)
Very cute & well maintained manufactured home with an updated gas FA furnace & CAC, tankless water heater, & updated roof in a 55+ community on a quiet culdesac in the sought after Meadowbrook Village Community in the Spokane Valley. The great floor plan boasts an open concept kitchen, dining, and living area. All appliances including the W & D will stay with the home making it move in ready! The primary ensuite is well appointed with a large walk-in closet and full bath. On the opposite side of open living/dining area are 2 additional bedrooms and another full bath. There is a nice storage shed and storage at the end of the covered carport. Enjoy your morning coffee sitting out on your covered deck listening to the birds chirp! The lot rent of $895.00 includes water, sewer, snow plowing, gated RV parking, and common area maintenance. Call today to schedule a showing for it's a very short window time & days that it can be shown due to the seller's work schedule.
-
2026-01-30$189,900 Active 1004-char remark
Show marketing remark (1004 chars)
Very cute & well maintained manufactured home with an updated gas FA furnace & CAC, tankless water heater, & updated roof in a 55+ community on a quiet culdesac in the sought after Meadowbrook Village Community in the Spokane Valley. The great floor plan boasts an open concept kitchen, dining, and living area. All appliances including the W & D will stay with the home making it move in ready! The primary ensuite is well appointed with a large walk-in closet and full bath. On the opposite side of open living/dining area are 2 additional bedrooms and another full bath. There is a nice storage shed and storage at the end of the covered carport. Enjoy your morning coffee sitting out on your covered deck listening to the birds chirp! The lot rent of $895.00 includes water, sewer, snow plowing, gated RV parking, and common area maintenance. Call today to schedule a showing for it's a very short window time & days that it can be shown due to the seller's work schedule.
-
2025-11-01historical
-
2025-10-27status Active
-
2025-10-01historical
-
2025-06-25$189,900 Active
-
2007-08-23soldstatus $69,000
-
2007-04-23$69,000
-
2007-04-23historical
-
2006-11-28$68,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,705 · $142/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,763 · $147/mo
- Expected delta
- +$58/yr (+$5/mo · 3.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 14 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,588
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$1,705
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,807
- − Management
- −$1,807
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable income
- $1,059
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$254
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,665/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Central Valley School District
- NCES district ID
- 5301110
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,824
- Composite
- 53.62/100
- National rank
- #3107
- State rank
- #55 of 291 in WA
Livability — Spokane Valley
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #512
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Spokane Valley, WA
- County
- Spokane County · 496,401 people
- City population
- 129,511
- Metro
- Spokane-Spokane Valley, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,615
- Household income
- $103,472
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 483.0
Population outlook (Spokane County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 531,314 people
- By 2030
- 549,278 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 577,822 · +8.8%
- By 2050
- 598,188 · +12.6%
- By 2075
- 630,744 · +18.7%
- By 2100
- 622,360 · +17.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Romanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Vietnam, Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Vietnamese 2% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Spokane
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 46.0% · R 51.0% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.8pp toward R · 2008: -1.1pp · 2024: -5.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.0 2020: R+4.3 2016: R+8.3 2012: R+6.3 2008: R+1.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -132.35%
- Current HPI
- 327.0732
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.15%
- Metro
- Spokane-Spokane Valley, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
||
| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
|
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Price history
+162.6% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Price Changed $179,900 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-30 Listed $189,900 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-01 Listing Removed — SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-27 Relisted — SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-01 Listing Removed — SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-25 Listed $189,900 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-08-23 Sold (MLS) $69,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-04-23 Listing Removed — SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-04-23 Listed $69,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-11-28 Listed $68,500 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+8.9%/yrLatest (2026): $1,705 · -7.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…