4533 Gemini #80 · Rockford, MI 49341

$58,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · Manufactured · 59 Days on market

Built 2026 Excellent condition $52/sqft · 81% above area

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +5.5/10.0
• Condition / age +5.0/5.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Your brand new 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is waiting for you to move in! This comfortable home features premium entry doors, a modern bathroom, as well as new brand name appliances. In the community, enjoy with your friends and family all the amenities we have to offer such as scenic views, a clubhouse, and community events. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

Key facts

• Clubhouse
• Scenic views
• Modern bathroom

Tags

• PREMIUM ENTRY DOORS
• MODERN BATHROOM
• NEW BRAND NAME APPLIANCES
• SCENIC VIEWS
• CLUBHOUSE
• COMMUNITY EVENTS

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $58k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $58k).
• Recommended offer: $56k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 32.5% vs local median 3.0% in Rockford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#153 in MI, #3,827 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
• Rockford Public Schools (suburban): math 59% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #28 of 540 in MI (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Market conditions: 269 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 2,253 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (969 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $401 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Kent County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $56,260 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 3.64% ✓
• Cap rate: 32.51%
• Cash-on-cash: 93.64%
• DSCR: 5.17
• GRM: 2.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $32,000
• List price: $58,000
• Delta: 81.25%
• Verdict: OVERPRICED
• Comps: 3 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
10664 Aquarius Dr NE	0.16mi	3/2.0	1,216 (+9%)	2mo	$70,000	$58	76
4512 Ursa Way NE #171	0.16mi	3/2.0	1,248 (+11%)	10mo	$35,000	$28	65

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 94.5%
• Equity multiple: 5.39×
• Total profit: $71,348
• Equity at exit: $8,648

10-year hold

• IRR: 97.2%
• Equity multiple: 11.23×
• Total profit: $166,191
• Equity at exit: $5,015

Cash invested: $16,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Michigan: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 49341

• Home prices YoY: -33.8%
• Active inventory: 269
• Price-to-rent: 2.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,112 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$304
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$72 /mo · $870/yr
• Insurance: −$24
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$443
• Net cashflow: $1,267

Break-even live

Break-even rent $507

Max offer price $58,000

Occupancy floor 35%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $14,500
• Closing costs: $1,740
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 1 events

1. 2026-03-31
   listed $58,000 Active 471-char remark

   Show marketing remark (471 chars)

   Your brand new 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is waiting for you to move in! This comfortable home features premium entry doors, a modern bathroom, as well as new brand name appliances. In the community, enjoy with your friends and family all the amenities we have to offer such as scenic views, a clubhouse, and community events. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $25,338
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,249
• − Property taxes: −$870
• − Insurance: −$290
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,027
• − Management: −$2,027
• − Depreciation: −$1,687
• Taxable income: $15,188
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$3,645
• After-tax cash flow: $11,562/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Excellent 100/100 None rehab

This brand new 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home is move-in ready with premium features and a great location.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
• Both Interior updates — Modernizes the home and adds value
• Both Appliance upgrades — Improves functionality and adds value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
• Both Interior updates — Modernizes the home and adds value ↑
• Both Appliance upgrades — Improves functionality and adds value ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Rockford Public Schools
• NCES district ID: 2630030
• Math proficiency: 59% ▼ -5.00%
• Reading proficiency: 64% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $79,800
• Composite: 55.16/100
• National rank: #1276
• State rank: #28 of 540 in MI

Livability — Rockford

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #153
• US rank: #3827

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Kent County · 533,805 people
• City population: 39,409
• Metro: Grand Rapids-Kentwood, MI
• Population (ZIP): 39,409
• Household income: $113,989
• Rent vs Own: 8.6% rent · 91.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 293.0

Population outlook (Kent County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 712,484 people
• By 2030: 748,618 · +5.1%
• By 2040: 814,777 · +14.4%
• By 2050: 868,556 · +21.9%
• By 2075: 966,487 · +35.7%
• By 2100: 967,975 · +35.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (90%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 90% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
• Common ancestry: Iranian 15% Romanian 9% Lithuanian 4%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Kent

• 2024 margin: Lean D (+5.4) · D 51.8% · R 46.5% · Other 1.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: +4.8pp toward D · 2008: 0.5pp · 2024: 5.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+5.4 2020: D+6.1 2016: R+3.1 2012: R+7.9 2008: D+0.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -131.59%
• Current HPI: 257.3691
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Grand Rapids-Kentwood, MI
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.37%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Automotive Parts	3	$48B
▸Automotive	2	$372B
▸Chemicals	1	$45B
▸Automotive Retail	1	$29B
▸Healthcare / Medical Devices	1	$23B
▸Automotive Technology	1	$20B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-03-31 Listed $58,000 Zillow