Triplex
303 Phillips St · Hanover, PA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.27%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$200,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
FOR RECORDS ONLY: Property is sold 3 unit building in poor condition large yard 1 car detached garage in a quiet neighborhood convenient location
Key facts
- Updated electric
- Convenient location
- New roof
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Multi-family residential income property
- Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Residential zoning; Corner lot (lot dimensions: 36 X 75 X 64 X 54 & 54 X 55)
Interior
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Steam heating
- Interior features: Full, unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 3.0-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($23k/yr) — positive. Per door: $644/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $197k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.9% vs local median 3.9% in Hanover — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#373 in PA, #3,295 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment D, commute F.
- Hanover Area SD (suburban): math 19% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #484 of 539 in PA (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,212/mo this rent would consume 86% of the median local household income ($59k/yr) (locally 568% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $90k; list at $200k implies a 122% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 41.40%
- DSCR
- 2.84
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $253,976
- List price
- $200,000
- Delta
- -21.25%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.62×
- Total profit
- $90,705
- Equity at exit
- $29,821
- IRR
- 44.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.24×
- Total profit
- $237,712
- Equity at exit
- $17,292
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18706
- Active inventory
- 81
- Price-to-rent
- 11.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,212 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$263 /mo · $3,161/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$885
- Net cashflow
- $1,932
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 3.0 | 2 | $4,212 |
| #1 | 3.0 | 2 | $1,404 |
| #2 | 3.0 | 2 | $1,404 |
| #3 | 3.0 | 2 | $1,404 |
| Total (3 units) | $4,212 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-19status $200,000 Pending 23 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $200,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $200,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $200,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $200,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $200,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13status $200,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-15status Pending 366-char remark
-
2026-04-28$200,000 Active 366-char remark
-
2025-10-30soldstatus $90,000
-
2025-10-29soldstatus $90,000 146-char remark
Show marketing remark (146 chars)
FOR RECORDS ONLY: Property is sold 3 unit building in poor condition large yard 1 car detached garage in a quiet neighborhood convenient location
-
2025-10-10$90,000 146-char remark
Show marketing remark (146 chars)
FOR RECORDS ONLY: Property is sold 3 unit building in poor condition large yard 1 car detached garage in a quiet neighborhood convenient location
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,161 · $263/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,161 · $263/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 27% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $50,544
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$3,161
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,044
- − Management
- −$4,044
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable income
- $21,274
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$5,106
- After-tax cash flow
- $18,077/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hanover Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4211420
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -21.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,015
- Composite
- 18.6/100
- National rank
- #8903
- State rank
- #484 of 539 in PA
Livability — Hanover
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #373
- US rank
- #3295
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Luzerne County · 118,885 people
- City population
- 56,443
- Metro
- Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,387
- Household income
- $58,558
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 568.0
Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 319,505 people
- By 2030
- 319,943 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 322,643 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 330,817 · +3.5%
- By 2075
- 379,145 · +18.7%
- By 2100
- 431,908 · +35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 9% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 18% Scotch-Irish 3% Subsaharan African 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -150.02%
- Current HPI
- 196.19
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+122.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Pending — LCAR
- 2026-06-12 Relisted — LCAR
- 2026-05-15 Pending — LCAR
- 2026-04-28 Listed $200,000 LCAR
- 2025-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 2025-10-29 Sold (MLS) $90,000 LCAR
- 2025-10-10 Listed $90,000 LCAR
Property tax history
+0.8%/yrLatest (2026): $3,161 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…