821 Parker St · Amarillo, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.7/10.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
NEW CARPET THROUGHOUT HOUSE - Take a peek. .. you will be happy with your FIND!!! This well loved home is ready for a new family after 43 years. .. . New Roof, newer siding, nice concrete deck with two yards, and a detached double garage. Complete with security system, central heat and air, dishwasher and garbage disposal. .. .what are you waiting for? :)
Key facts
- Built 1942
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $71 ($850/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (1.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $123k (1.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D, crime F.
- Amarillo ISD (urban): math 44% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #336 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,214 units permitted in Potter County in 2024 (650 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.43%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.41% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $9,412
- Equity at exit
- $45,357
- IRR
- 9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.17×
- Total profit
- $40,806
- Equity at exit
- $62,409
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79101
- Home prices YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 23
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,230 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$193 /mo · $2,320/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$258
- Net cashflow
- $71
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $142 | -5% $106 | +0% $71 | +5% $35 | +10% $0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-26 | -5% $22 | +0% $71 | +5% $119 | +10% $168 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $134 | -0.5pp $103 | base $71 | +0.5pp $38 | +1.0pp $5 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 913 S Rusk St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,450 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 2306 SW 8th Ave Unit 2 Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 705 S Florida St Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $850 | $0.84 | 22d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 802 S Kentucky St Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $899 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3118 SW 15th Ave Amarillo, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1015 | $900 | $0.89 | 14d | 17 | 1.08mi |
| 108 N Florida St Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $800 | $0.83 | 22d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 2103 Parker St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1306 | $2,300 | $1.76 | 22d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1008 S Mississippi St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1061 | $1,275 | $1.20 | 22d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 2104 S Travis St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1236 | $1,700 | $1.38 | 22d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2030 Crockett St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1307 | $1,750 | $1.34 | 14d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 609 N Monroe St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,500 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1314 NW 10th Ave Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1222 | $1,100 | $0.90 | 22d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 406 S Tennessee St Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 837 | $895 | $1.07 | 22d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 701 Sunset Ter Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1444 | $1,350 | $0.93 | 22d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 701 Sunset Ter Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1444 | $1,350 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-26$125,000
-
2018-07-31soldstatus
-
2015-06-01soldstatus
-
2015-05-29soldstatus 357-char remark
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
NEW CARPET THROUGHOUT HOUSE - Take a peek. .. you will be happy with your FIND!!! This well loved home is ready for a new family after 43 years. .. . New Roof, newer siding, nice concrete deck with two yards, and a detached double garage. Complete with security system, central heat and air, dishwasher and garbage disposal. .. .what are you waiting for? :)
-
2015-01-11$65,000 357-char remark
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
NEW CARPET THROUGHOUT HOUSE - Take a peek. .. you will be happy with your FIND!!! This well loved home is ready for a new family after 43 years. .. . New Roof, newer siding, nice concrete deck with two yards, and a detached double garage. Complete with security system, central heat and air, dishwasher and garbage disposal. .. .what are you waiting for? :)
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,320 · $193/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,320 · $193/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,761
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$2,320
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,181
- − Management
- −$1,181
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable loss
- −$1,184
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$284
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,134/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Amarillo ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4808130
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,478
- Composite
- 35.96/100
- National rank
- #4798
- State rank
- #336 of 826 in TX
Livability — Amarillo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #624
- US rank
- #11876
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Amarillo, TX
- City population
- 185,802
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,458
Population outlook (Potter County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 121,296 people
- By 2030
- 120,883 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 119,668 · -1.3%
- By 2050
- 117,788 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 110,250 · -9.1%
- By 2100
- 92,923 · -23.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 11% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 21%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Potter
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.4) · D 27.3% · R 71.7% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.0pp toward R · 2008: -39.4pp · 2024: -44.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.4 2020: R+38.7 2016: R+41.9 2012: R+44.6 2008: R+39.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.41%
- Current HPI
- 173.3766
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
+92.3% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $125,000 FSBO.com
- 2018-07-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2015-06-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2015-05-29 Sold (MLS) — AARMLS
- 2015-01-11 Listed $65,000 AARMLS
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,320 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…