1947 W North Bend Rd · Cincinnati, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$153,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Lender owned. All buyers must have pre-approval letter or proof of funds & copy of earnest money with offer. Sold as-is, where-is.
Key facts
- Spacious yard
- Ample natural light
- Near dining
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoned residential
- Financial info: Lease not considered
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Attached front garage (1 car); Driveway parking
- Security: No security features listed
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas
- Home design: Traditional single-family home; Two levels; Poured foundation
- Construction: Brick construction; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Casement windows; 50 x 150 lot (approximately 0.177 acres)
Interior
- Kitchen: Pantry; Counter bar; Vinyl flooring; Wood cabinets; Includes oven/range and refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Four bedrooms total; Primary bedroom on level 1 (11 x 11); Bedroom 2 on level 1 (9 x 13); Bedroom 3 on level 2 (10 x 14); Bedroom 4 on level 2 (10 x 11)
- Flooring: Wood floors in dining area; Vinyl in kitchen; Carpet in living area
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on level 1 with tub and shower
- Heating & cooling: Forced air gas heating; Central air conditioning; Gas water heating
- Interior features: Seven total rooms; Wall-to-wall carpet and wood flooring in living areas; Partially finished walkout basement; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: No specific laundry details provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $154k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $284 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $154k).
- Recommended offer: $145k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 3.9% in Cincinnati — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#130 in OH, #1,856 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
- Cincinnati Public Schools (urban): math 25% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #581 of 656 in OH (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 52 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 801 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (190 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 30y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $31k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $16k; list at $154k implies a 862% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.90%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $252,480
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1963 W North Bend Rd | 0.04mi | 4/1.0 | 1,513 (-4%) | 9mo | $142,000 | $94 | 84 |
| 6243 Aspen Ave | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,568 (-1%) | 9mo | $240,000 | $153 | 70 |
| 2235 W North Bend Rd | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,576 (-0%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $86 | 70 |
| 6425 Aspen Way | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,512 (-4%) | 6mo | $203,000 | $134 | 58 |
| 1568 Wittekind Ter | 0.61mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,600 (+1%) | 2mo | $415,000 | $259 | 57 |
| 6360 Meis Ave | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,433 (-9%) | 6mo | $150,000 | $105 | 53 |
| 1917 Emerson Ave | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 | 1,488 (-6%) | 9mo | $198,000 | $133 | 52 |
| 1634 Birchwood Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,670 (+6%) | 9mo | $267,500 | $160 | 51 |
| 1541 Wittekind Ter | 0.65mi | 4/2.5 | 1,640 (+4%) | 8mo | $317,000 | $193 | 51 |
| 2043 Blue Bell Dr | 0.51mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,480 (-6%) | 4mo | $320,000 | $216 | 49 |
| 2268 Deblin Dr | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 | 1,443 (-9%) | 3mo | $240,000 | $166 | 48 |
| 1611 Harbeson Ave | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,813 (+15%) | 4mo | $330,000 | $182 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-8,912
- Equity at exit
- $22,947
- IRR
- 2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $7,342
- Equity at exit
- $13,306
Cash invested: $43,092 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45224
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 52
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,797 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$807
- Tax from tax record
- −$265 /mo · $3,175/yr
- Insurance
- −$64
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$377
- Net cashflow
- $284
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $371 | -5% $327 | +0% $284 | +5% $240 | +10% $197 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $142 | -5% $213 | +0% $284 | +5% $355 | +10% $426 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $361 | -0.5pp $323 | base $284 | +0.5pp $244 | +1.0pp $203 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,475
- Closing costs
- $4,617
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5928 Belmont Ave Unit Washer Dryer Hookup Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,395 | $1.25 | 17d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1805 Emerson Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1912 | $1,550 | $0.81 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1409 Cedar Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $1,525 | $1.22 | 5d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 6834 Betts Ave Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1426 | $1,695 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1090 Elda Ln Cincinnati, OH | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2188 | $2,500 | $1.14 | 3d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1740 Bising Ave North College Hill, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1235 | $1,697 | $1.37 | 2d | 6 | 1.27mi |
| 7032 La Boiteaux Ave Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 5293 E Knoll Ct Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 835 | $1,599 | $1.91 | 2d | 14 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $153,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $153,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $153,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $153,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $153,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $153,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $164,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $164,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $164,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $169,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $169,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $169,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-05-14price $169,900
-
2026-04-24price $179,900
-
2026-04-03$184,900 Active
-
2013-07-03soldstatus $16,000
-
2006-07-31soldstatus $57,256 134-char remark
Show marketing remark (134 chars)
Lender owned. All buyers must have pre-approval letter or proof of funds & copy of earnest money with offer. Sold as-is, where-is.
-
2006-07-31soldstatus $57,300
Show marketing remark (134 chars)
Lender owned. All buyers must have pre-approval letter or proof of funds & copy of earnest money with offer. Sold as-is, where-is.
-
2006-04-25$59,900 134-char remark
Show marketing remark (134 chars)
Lender owned. All buyers must have pre-approval letter or proof of funds & copy of earnest money with offer. Sold as-is, where-is.
-
1997-01-07soldstatus $57,500
-
1996-12-20soldstatus $57,500 71-char remark
Show marketing remark (71 chars)
Garage Door Opener,Automatic Dishwasher, Coved Ceilings In Lr & Dr
-
1996-09-03$59,900 71-char remark
Show marketing remark (71 chars)
Garage Door Opener,Automatic Dishwasher, Coved Ceilings In Lr & Dr
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,175 · $265/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,175 · $265/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,561
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,621
- − Property taxes
- −$3,175
- − Insurance
- −$770
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,725
- − Management
- −$1,725
- − Depreciation
- −$4,477
- Taxable income
- $1,068
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$256
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,147/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cincinnati Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3904375
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,743
- Composite
- 25.21/100
- National rank
- #7508
- State rank
- #581 of 656 in OH
Livability — Cincinnati
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #130
- US rank
- #1856
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cincinnati, OH
- County
- Hamilton County · 701,295 people
- City population
- 505,555
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,900
- Household income
- $56,471
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1382.0
Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 826,054 people
- By 2030
- 830,947 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 832,319 · +0.8%
- By 2050
- 822,428 · -0.4%
- By 2075
- 788,688 · -4.5%
- By 2100
- 710,674 · -14.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 51% White 37% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.9) · D 57.0% · R 42.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: 7.0pp · 2024: 14.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.9 2020: D+15.9 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -148.06%
- Current HPI
- 224.1379
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.82%
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+183.6% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $169,900 Cincy MLS
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $179,900 Cincy MLS
- 2026-04-03 Listed $184,900 Cincy MLS
- 2013-07-03 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records
- 2006-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $57,300 Public Records
- 2006-07-31 Sold (MLS) $57,256 Cincy MLS
- 2006-04-25 Listed $59,900 Cincy MLS
- 1997-01-07 Sold (Public Records) $57,500 Public Records
- 1996-12-20 Sold (MLS) $57,500 Cincy MLS
- 1996-09-03 Listed $59,900 Cincy MLS
Property tax history
+14.4%/yrLatest (2025): $3,175 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…