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1427 Pleasant Pl
D Composite 41.5
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

1427 Pleasant Pl · Combee Settlement, FL 33801
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 786 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 47 Days on market
Built 1957 9,801 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

HUD HOME FOR SALE. Sold "AS IS". Buyer to verify all information. This 2 bedroom, 1 bath home has an updated kitchen and bathroom, tile floors in the living areas, carpet in the bedrooms and a spacious florida room that can be used as a den or guest room. Perfect for first time home buyers!

Key facts

  • 9,801 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1957

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (1 space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public utilities; Sewer: Other
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Faces east
  • Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Block foundation; Built on a 0.23-acre lot (approx. 70 x 140)
  • Exterior features: Other exterior features; Asphalt road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances included
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Tile flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $15 ($183/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $155k (11.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $155k (11.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#476 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, amenities F.
  • Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 253 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $100k; list at $175k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $155,247 (11.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
6.40%
Cash-on-cash
0.37%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.05% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.9%
Equity multiple
0.38×
Total profit
$-30,347
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
-14.3%
Equity multiple
0.25×
Total profit
$-36,862
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33801

Home prices YoY
-15.9%
Rents YoY
1.1%
Active inventory
253
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,552 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$221 /mo · $2,646/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$326
Net cashflow
$15

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,533
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $114 -5% $65 +0% $15 +5% $-34 +10% $-84
Rent -10% $-107 -5% $-46 +0% $15 +5% $77 +10% $138
Rate -1.0pp $103 -0.5pp $60 base $15 +0.5pp $-30 +1.0pp $-76

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2415 Idlewild St Lakeland, FL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 24d 1 0.35mi
1452 Ridge Lake Ct Lakeland, FL 2.0 1.5 960 $1,700 $1.77 22d 1 0.41mi
832 N Combee Rd Lakeland, FL 2.0 1.0 560 $1,195 $2.13 24d 1 0.67mi
2417 Golfview St Lakeland, FL 3.0 1.0 798 $1,395 $1.75 11d 1 0.77mi
2248 Weber St Lakeland, FL 2.0 1.0 640 $1,335 $2.09 4d 1 0.94mi
2400 Timbercreek Loop W Lakeland, FL 4.0 2.0 1108 $1,910 $1.72 24d 1 1.17mi
3245 E Main St Lakeland, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $1,100 $1.47 24d 1 1.44mi
3245 E Main St Unit 2 Lakeland, FL 2.0 2.0 700 $1,250 $1.79 15d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $175,000 Active 47 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $175,000 Active 46 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $175,000 Active 45 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $175,000 Active 44 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $175,000 Active 42 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $194,000 Active 39 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $194,000 Active 38 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $194,000 Active 37 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $194,000 Active 36 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $194,000 Active 33 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $194,000 Active 32 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $194,000 Active 31 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $194,000 Active 30 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $194,000 Active 29 DOM
  15. 2026-05-21
    price $194,000
  16. 2026-05-11
    price $199,000
  17. 2026-05-02
    listed $204,990 Active
  18. 2021-07-16
    soldstatus $100,010
  19. 2017-10-12
    soldstatus $68,000
  20. 2017-09-22
    soldstatus $62,000
  21. 2013-10-18
    soldstatus $35,500 301-char remark
    Show marketing remark (301 chars)

    HUD HOME FOR SALE. Sold "AS IS". Buyer to verify all information. This 2 bedroom, 1 bath home has an updated kitchen and bathroom, tile floors in the living areas, carpet in the bedrooms and a spacious florida room that can be used as a den or guest room. Perfect for first time home buyers!

  22. 2013-08-23
    listed $33,000 301-char remark
    Show marketing remark (301 chars)

    HUD HOME FOR SALE. Sold "AS IS". Buyer to verify all information. This 2 bedroom, 1 bath home has an updated kitchen and bathroom, tile floors in the living areas, carpet in the bedrooms and a spacious florida room that can be used as a den or guest room. Perfect for first time home buyers!

  23. 2011-03-11
    historical
  24. 2010-11-02
    soldstatus $69,000
  25. 2010-05-07
    listed $69,000
  26. 2010-03-31
    soldstatus $25,100
  27. 2010-02-04
    listed $25,000
  28. 2006-03-15
    soldstatus $61,800
  29. 1977-05-01
    soldstatus $22,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,646 · $221/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,646 · $221/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,630
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$2,646
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,490
− Management
−$1,490
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable loss
−$2,766
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$664
After-tax cash flow
$847/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Polk
NCES district ID
1201590
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$43,979
Composite
34.74/100
National rank
#5132
State rank
#62 of 73 in FL

Livability — Combee Settlement

Score
69/100
State rank
#476
US rank
#8672

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Combee Settlement, FL
County
Polk County · 740,051 people
Metro
Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
Population (ZIP)
35,394
Household income
$53,061
Rent vs Own
51.3% rent · 48.7% own
Severe rent burden
1291.0

Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
752,975 people
By 2030
804,621 · +6.9%
By 2040
906,117 · +20.3%
By 2050
1,000,476 · +32.9%
By 2075
1,197,520 · +59.0%
By 2100
1,271,518 · +68.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Hispanic / Latino 19% Black 16% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 14% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Polk

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -70.91%
Current HPI
373.7159
Rent YoY
▲ 1.05%
Metro
Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+762.2% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Price Changed $194,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $199,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-02 Listed $204,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-07-16 Sold (Public Records) $100,010 Public Records
  • 2017-10-12 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
  • 2017-09-22 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
  • 2013-10-18 Sold (MLS) $35,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-08-23 Listed $33,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-03-11 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $69,000 Public Records
  • 2010-05-07 Listed $69,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-03-31 Sold (MLS) $25,100 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-02-04 Listed $25,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-03-15 Sold (Public Records) $61,800 Public Records
  • 1977-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $22,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+43.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,646 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…