1427 Pleasant Pl · Combee Settlement, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
HUD HOME FOR SALE. Sold "AS IS". Buyer to verify all information. This 2 bedroom, 1 bath home has an updated kitchen and bathroom, tile floors in the living areas, carpet in the bedrooms and a spacious florida room that can be used as a den or guest room. Perfect for first time home buyers!
Key facts
- 9,801 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1957
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public utilities; Sewer: Other
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Faces east
- Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Block foundation; Built on a 0.23-acre lot (approx. 70 x 140)
- Exterior features: Other exterior features; Asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances included
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $15 ($183/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $155k (11.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $155k (11.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#476 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 253 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $100k; list at $175k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.37%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.05% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-30,347
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- -14.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.25×
- Total profit
- $-36,862
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33801
- Home prices YoY
- -15.9%
- Rents YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 253
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,552 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$221 /mo · $2,646/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$326
- Net cashflow
- $15
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $114 | -5% $65 | +0% $15 | +5% $-34 | +10% $-84 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-107 | -5% $-46 | +0% $15 | +5% $77 | +10% $138 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $103 | -0.5pp $60 | base $15 | +0.5pp $-30 | +1.0pp $-76 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2415 Idlewild St Lakeland, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1452 Ridge Lake Ct Lakeland, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 960 | $1,700 | $1.77 | 22d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 832 N Combee Rd Lakeland, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 560 | $1,195 | $2.13 | 24d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2417 Golfview St Lakeland, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 798 | $1,395 | $1.75 | 11d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2248 Weber St Lakeland, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $1,335 | $2.09 | 4d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2400 Timbercreek Loop W Lakeland, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1108 | $1,910 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3245 E Main St Lakeland, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 3245 E Main St Unit 2 Lakeland, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 700 | $1,250 | $1.79 | 15d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $175,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $175,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $175,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $175,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $194,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $194,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $194,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $194,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $194,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $194,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $194,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $194,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $194,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-21price $194,000
-
2026-05-11price $199,000
-
2026-05-02$204,990 Active
-
2021-07-16soldstatus $100,010
-
2017-10-12soldstatus $68,000
-
2017-09-22soldstatus $62,000
-
2013-10-18soldstatus $35,500 301-char remark
Show marketing remark (301 chars)
HUD HOME FOR SALE. Sold "AS IS". Buyer to verify all information. This 2 bedroom, 1 bath home has an updated kitchen and bathroom, tile floors in the living areas, carpet in the bedrooms and a spacious florida room that can be used as a den or guest room. Perfect for first time home buyers!
-
2013-08-23$33,000 301-char remark
Show marketing remark (301 chars)
HUD HOME FOR SALE. Sold "AS IS". Buyer to verify all information. This 2 bedroom, 1 bath home has an updated kitchen and bathroom, tile floors in the living areas, carpet in the bedrooms and a spacious florida room that can be used as a den or guest room. Perfect for first time home buyers!
-
2011-03-11historical
-
2010-11-02soldstatus $69,000
-
2010-05-07$69,000
-
2010-03-31soldstatus $25,100
-
2010-02-04$25,000
-
2006-03-15soldstatus $61,800
-
1977-05-01soldstatus $22,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,646 · $221/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,646 · $221/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,630
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$2,646
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,490
- − Management
- −$1,490
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable loss
- −$2,766
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$664
- After-tax cash flow
- $847/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Polk
- NCES district ID
- 1201590
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,979
- Composite
- 34.74/100
- National rank
- #5132
- State rank
- #62 of 73 in FL
Livability — Combee Settlement
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #476
- US rank
- #8672
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Combee Settlement, FL
- County
- Polk County · 740,051 people
- Metro
- Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,394
- Household income
- $53,061
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1291.0
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 752,975 people
- By 2030
- 804,621 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 906,117 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 1,000,476 · +32.9%
- By 2075
- 1,197,520 · +59.0%
- By 2100
- 1,271,518 · +68.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Hispanic / Latino 19% Black 16% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 14% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -70.91%
- Current HPI
- 373.7159
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.05%
- Metro
- Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+762.2% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $194,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $199,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-02 Listed $204,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-07-16 Sold (Public Records) $100,010 Public Records
- 2017-10-12 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
- 2017-09-22 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
- 2013-10-18 Sold (MLS) $35,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-08-23 Listed $33,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-03-11 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $69,000 Public Records
- 2010-05-07 Listed $69,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-03-31 Sold (MLS) $25,100 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-02-04 Listed $25,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-03-15 Sold (Public Records) $61,800 Public Records
- 1977-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $22,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+43.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,646 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…