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928 Fourth St
A- Composite 80.2
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.8/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.5/10.0

$60,000

928 Fourth St · Earle, AR 72331
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,789 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1932 7,405 sqft lot Est $72k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This home has been used for a rental property for several years. Owner has been getting between $850- $900 a month for rent. The house has 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths with a LARGE screened-in porch. The property is needing some work.

Key facts

  • Screened-in porch
  • 7,405 sq ft lot
  • Built 1932

Tags

SCREENED-IN PORCH

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 7,405 sq ft (50 x 150)
  • Financial info: Financial details not provided
  • HOA & community: HOA information not provided

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport
  • Security: Security information not provided
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Residential property; One story
  • Construction: Frame construction
  • Exterior features: No notable exterior features listed; Composition roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Electric oven; Gas water heater
  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms information not provided
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans for cooling; Wall/window AC unit(s)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Blinds and window coverings
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry information not provided

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $671 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#275 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A, housing B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Earle School District (rural): math 5% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #237 of 238 in AR (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 93% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Earle Elementary School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #429 of 454 statewide, top 96%, 231 students, 100% FRL); Earle High School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #287 of 292 statewide, top 100%, 204 students, 100% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 69 units permitted in Crittenden County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($415 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.9% local appreciation)).
  • Crittenden County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $24k; list at $60k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1932 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $60,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1932 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.25%
Cap rate
19.71%
Cash-on-cash
47.92%
DSCR
3.13
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$71,560
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
718 2nd St 0.23mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,761 (-2%) 14mo $13,500 $8 66
801 Barton St 0.28mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,870 (+4%) 20mo $75,000 $40 57
728 Arkansas St 0.50mi 4/2.0 1,600 (-11%) 8mo $198,000 $124 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.89% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
54.3%
Equity multiple
4.15×
Total profit
$52,841
Equity at exit
$30,034
10-year hold
IRR
53.0%
Equity multiple
8.43×
Total profit
$124,825
Equity at exit
$48,817

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72331

Home prices YoY
2.7%
Active inventory
11
Price-to-rent
3.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,351 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax from tax record
$57 /mo · $682/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$284
Net cashflow
$671

Break-even live

Break-even rent $502
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 45%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $60,000 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $60,000 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $60,000 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $60,000 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $60,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $60,000 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    remarks 233-char remark
  8. 2026-06-12
    listed $60,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$682 · $57/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$682 · $57/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,214
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$682
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,297
− Management
−$1,297
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$7,531
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,807
After-tax cash flow
$6,244/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Earle School District
NCES district ID
0505550
Math proficiency
5% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
8% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$30,778
Composite
4.87/100
National rank
#10041
State rank
#237 of 238 in AR

Livability — Earle

Score
60/100
State rank
#275
US rank
#19557

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Earle, AR
City population
2,102
Population (ZIP)
2,102

Population outlook (Crittenden County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,254 people
By 2030
42,953 · -5.1%
By 2040
38,235 · -15.5%
By 2050
33,670 · -25.6%
By 2075
24,315 · -46.3%
By 2100
17,173 · -62.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
Black 58% White 24% Two or more races 18%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Crittenden

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.1% · R 47.9% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-12.4pp toward R · 2008: 14.7pp · 2024: 2.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.3 2020: D+7.2 2016: D+9.0 2012: D+18.7 2008: D+14.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.89%
Current HPI
149.2146
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+150.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $60,000 EARA
  • 2025-05-07 Price Changed $59,900 EARA
  • 2025-01-28 Listed $65,000 EARA
  • 1996-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $682 · +9.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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