3525 Penn St · Houston, TX
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$94,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Home is back on the market, with an extra 60 sq. ft. of land, at the backyard. Investment Property sold "As Is." 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom, home that sits on a spacious lot. Minutes from downtown and 610. Features a tankless water heater.
Key facts
- Roof is 7 years old
- Spacious lot
- 0.24 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $376 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $89k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 148 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.3% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $100k (51%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.98%
- DSCR
- 1.76
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $132,478
- List price
- $94,900
- Delta
- -28.37%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3525 Penn St | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,144 (0%) | 1mo | $94,900 | $83 | 99 |
| 3607 Penn St | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 996 (-13%) | 5mo | $115,000 | $115 | 67 |
| 7921 Pointer St | 0.53mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,144 (0%) | 1mo | $180,000 | $157 | 65 |
| 7813 Hirsch St Unit A | 0.26mi | 3/2.5 | 1,180 (+3%) | 14mo | $209,000 | $177 | 65 |
| 7813 Hirsch St Unit B | 0.26mi | 3/2.5 | 1,180 (+3%) | 17mo | $209,000 | $177 | 62 |
| 4300 Weaver Rd | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (+9%) | 11mo | $125,000 | $100 | 55 |
| 2630 Keeland St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (+5%) | 5mo | $249,000 | $208 | 53 |
| 2612 Deams St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,218 (+6%) | 0mo | $280,000 | $230 | 52 |
| 8501 Autumn Ln Unit B | 0.73mi | 3/2.5 | 1,190 (+4%) | 13mo | $209,000 | $176 | 43 |
| 8501 Autumn Ln Unit D | 0.73mi | 3/2.5 | 1,190 (+4%) | 13mo | $214,000 | $180 | 42 |
| 8501 Autumn Ln Unit C | 0.73mi | 3/2.5 | 1,190 (+4%) | 14mo | $209,000 | $176 | 42 |
| 4105 Lumber Ln | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (+13%) | 20mo | $189,993 | $147 | 22 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $11,925
- Equity at exit
- $14,150
- IRR
- 22.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.09×
- Total profit
- $55,637
- Equity at exit
- $8,205
Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77093
- Home prices YoY
- -9.9%
- Rents YoY
- 5.3%
- Active inventory
- 148
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,385 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$181 /mo · $2,174/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$291
- Net cashflow
- $376
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,725
- Closing costs
- $2,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4326 Plaag St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1150 | $1,595 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 4422 Weaver Rd Apt 707 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 765 | $1,110 | $1.45 | 43d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 4442 Weaver Rd Unit 707 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 765 | $1,110 | $1.45 | 24d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 7506 Jensen Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 772 | $1,160 | $1.50 | 3d | 12 | 0.63mi |
| 7320 Jensen Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 935 | $1,176 | $1.26 | 1d | 5 | 0.67mi |
| 4679 Weaver Rd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 856 | $990 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 7301 Jensen Dr Apt 12 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $930 | $1.06 | 7d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 7301 Jensen Dr Unit 50 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $999 | $1.14 | 7d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 3810 Lynnfield St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $1,599 | $1.23 | 14d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3812 Lynnfield St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $1,545 | $1.19 | 5d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 9100 Dodson St Unit 1 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,195 | $1.41 | 5d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 9100 Dodson St Unit 16 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,050 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 9100 Dodson St Unit 17 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,050 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 7740 Wileyvale Rd Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $3,000 | $2.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 4626 Shreveport Blvd Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,490 | $1.30 | 13d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 3107 Melbourne St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 956 | $1,500 | $1.57 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 8639 Peachtree St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1150 | $1,750 | $1.52 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 4419 Trigg St Unit a Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 872 | $1,145 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 4419 Trigg St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 872 | $1,199 | $1.38 | 7d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 6869 Arto St Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $950 | $1.06 | 16d | 6 | 1.32mi |
| 2530 Aldon St Unit 2530B Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 2110 Melbourne St Unit 3 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,350 | $1.64 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 5609 Denmark St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $1,595 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-01days on market $94,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $94,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-16price $94,900 244-char remark
Show marketing remark (244 chars)
Home is back on the market, with an extra 60 sq. ft. of land, at the backyard. Investment Property sold "As Is." 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom, home that sits on a spacious lot. Minutes from downtown and 610. Features a tankless water heater.
-
2026-04-22price $104,900 244-char remark
Show marketing remark (244 chars)
Home is back on the market, with an extra 60 sq. ft. of land, at the backyard. Investment Property sold "As Is." 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom, home that sits on a spacious lot. Minutes from downtown and 610. Features a tankless water heater.
-
2026-04-03status Active 244-char remark
Show marketing remark (244 chars)
Home is back on the market, with an extra 60 sq. ft. of land, at the backyard. Investment Property sold "As Is." 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom, home that sits on a spacious lot. Minutes from downtown and 610. Features a tankless water heater.
-
2026-04-03price $125,000 244-char remark
Show marketing remark (244 chars)
Home is back on the market, with an extra 60 sq. ft. of land, at the backyard. Investment Property sold "As Is." 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom, home that sits on a spacious lot. Minutes from downtown and 610. Features a tankless water heater.
-
2026-02-04status Pending 244-char remark
Show marketing remark (244 chars)
Home is back on the market, with an extra 60 sq. ft. of land, at the backyard. Investment Property sold "As Is." 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom, home that sits on a spacious lot. Minutes from downtown and 610. Features a tankless water heater.
-
2026-02-01price $90,000 244-char remark
Show marketing remark (244 chars)
Home is back on the market, with an extra 60 sq. ft. of land, at the backyard. Investment Property sold "As Is." 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom, home that sits on a spacious lot. Minutes from downtown and 610. Features a tankless water heater.
-
2026-02-01$195,000 Active 244-char remark
Show marketing remark (244 chars)
Home is back on the market, with an extra 60 sq. ft. of land, at the backyard. Investment Property sold "As Is." 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom, home that sits on a spacious lot. Minutes from downtown and 610. Features a tankless water heater.
-
1988-01-02soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,174 · $181/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,174 · $181/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,624
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,316
- − Property taxes
- −$2,174
- − Insurance
- −$474
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,330
- − Management
- −$1,330
- − Depreciation
- −$2,761
- Taxable income
- $3,239
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$777
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,735/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,407
- Household income
- $46,766
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1815.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 82% Two or more races 24% Black 11% White 6% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 70%
- Foreign-born
- 34% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 30% English-only · Spanish 70%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -30.53%
- Current HPI
- 277.4914
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.31%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-51.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Price Changed $94,900 HARMLS
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $104,900 HARMLS
- 2026-04-03 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $125,000 HARMLS
- 2026-02-04 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-02-01 Price Changed $90,000 HARMLS
- 2026-02-01 Listed $195,000 HARMLS
- 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,174 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…