196 S Main St · Jamestown, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$47,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 4,640 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1900
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage; Shared driveway
- Utilities: Public water (connected); Sewer connected
- Home design: Two-story house; Existing (resale) property
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Vinyl siding; Attic/crawl hatchway(s) insulated; Blown-in insulation; Block and poured foundation
- Exterior features: Dirt driveway; Pie-shaped residential lot; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 40 x 116
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom; Additional bedrooms on second floor (three bedrooms)
- Flooring: Laminate; Vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Forced air
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Bedroom on main level; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $47k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $593 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $47k).
- Cap rate 21.4% vs local median 16.8% in Jamestown — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#470 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime F, commute F.
- Jamestown City School District (town): math 33% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #553 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Milton J Fletcher Elementary School (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,577 of 2,108 statewide, top 77%, 530 students, 74% FRL); Thomas Jefferson Middle School (math 25% / reading 40%, grade F, #504 of 729 statewide, top 70%, 406 students, 79% FRL); Jamestown High School (math 87% / reading 92%, grade A+, #265 of 1,100 statewide, top 26%, 1,315 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools average 77% FRL vs 60% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 52% at this address vs 38% district-wide (+15 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Jamestown City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 319 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 127 units permitted in Chautauqua County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $325 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chautauqua County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $40k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.63% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 54.07%
- DSCR
- 3.41
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $84,724
- List price
- $47,000
- Delta
- -44.53%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 135 S Main St | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 1,580 (-6%) | 1mo | $63,000 | $40 | 82 |
| 326 Hazzard St | 0.38mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,720 (+2%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $87 | 68 |
| 38 Douglas Pl | 0.52mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,743 (+4%) | 6mo | $85,000 | $49 | 59 |
| 140 Barrett Ave | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,612 (-4%) | 6mo | $39,900 | $25 | 59 |
| 24 Raymond St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,686 (+0%) | 3mo | $165,000 | $98 | 58 |
| 352 S Main St | 0.36mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,858 (+11%) | 5mo | $18,000 | $10 | 56 |
| 60 W Virginia Blvd | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 | 1,469 (-13%) | 4mo | $145,000 | $99 | 55 |
| 214 Hazzard St | 0.23mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,434 (-15%) | 5mo | $83,000 | $58 | 54 |
| 440 Superior St | 0.69mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,600 (-5%) | 3mo | $110,000 | $69 | 50 |
| 9 Stearns Ave | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 | 1,443 (-14%) | 3mo | $13,500 | $9 | 49 |
| 392 Broadhead Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 | 1,552 (-8%) | 7mo | $125,000 | $81 | 49 |
| 126 Crown St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,496 (-11%) | 6mo | $106,500 | $71 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 52.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.30×
- Total profit
- $30,205
- Equity at exit
- $7,008
- IRR
- 57.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.71×
- Total profit
- $75,156
- Equity at exit
- $4,064
Cash invested: $13,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14701
- Home prices YoY
- -18.5%
- Active inventory
- 319
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,238 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$246
- Tax from tax record
- −$119 /mo · $1,425/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$260
- Net cashflow
- $593
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $620 | -5% $606 | +0% $593 | +5% $580 | +10% $566 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $495 | -5% $544 | +0% $593 | +5% $642 | +10% $691 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $617 | -0.5pp $605 | base $593 | +0.5pp $581 | +1.0pp $568 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,750
- Closing costs
- $1,410
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 148 Maple St Jamestown, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1424 | $1,350 | $0.95 | 46d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 317 Fairmount Ave Unit G-1 Jamestown, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1215 | $1,295 | $1.07 | 46d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-04status Pending
-
2026-04-25$47,000 Active
-
2026-01-31historical
-
2025-11-14price $47,500
-
2025-08-23$49,000 Active
-
2005-04-13$11,500
-
1998-09-29soldstatus $39,500
-
1998-04-30soldstatus $20,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,425 · $119/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,425 · $119/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,852
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,633
- − Property taxes
- −$1,425
- − Insurance
- −$235
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,188
- − Management
- −$1,188
- − Depreciation
- −$1,367
- Taxable income
- $6,816
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,636
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,480/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jamestown City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3615630
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,240
- Composite
- 30.69/100
- National rank
- #6176
- State rank
- #553 of 590 in NY
Livability — Jamestown
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #470
- US rank
- #8213
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jamestown, NY
- County
- Chautauqua County · 38,461 people
- City population
- 38,461
- Metro
- Jamestown-Dunkirk-Fredonia, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,461
- Household income
- $49,685
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1838.0
Population outlook (Chautauqua County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 123,454 people
- By 2030
- 118,509 · -4.0%
- By 2040
- 107,311 · -13.1%
- By 2050
- 96,703 · -21.7%
- By 2075
- 76,757 · -37.8%
- By 2100
- 60,984 · -50.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chautauqua
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.0) · D 39.0% · R 61.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.9pp toward R · 2008: 0.9pp · 2024: -22.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.0 2020: R+19.8 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+8.2 2008: D+0.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.93%
- Current HPI
- 259.402
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Jamestown-Dunkirk-Fredonia, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+135.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-04-25 Listed $47,000 UNYREIS
- 2026-01-31 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2025-11-14 Price Changed $47,500 UNYREIS
- 2025-08-23 Listed $49,000 UNYREIS
- 2005-04-13 Listed $11,500 UNYREIS
- 1998-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $39,500 Public Records
- 1998-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,425 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…