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2114 Mocking Bird Ln
D+ Composite 46.4
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.7/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$205,000

2114 Mocking Bird Ln · La Porte, TX 77571
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,264 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1978 6,599 sqft lot Est $226k · 9% under $6/mo HOA

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

LOOK AT ME!! This is a lovely 1 story brick home that features 3 bedrooms 2 baths! The home has a large living area that is open to the breakfast area! The home features New Interior Paint, Updated Carpet in the living area, New tile in the kitchen, Updated Kitchen Countertops. New A/C and heater installed in 2010. Exterior has been replaced with Hardi-Plank Siding. The home has a large master bath with tub! Nice backyard with covered patio! Come see me today!!

Key facts

  • 6,599 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1978

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Meadowcrest HOA with an annual fee of $70; Community with curbs

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 2 garage spaces; Driveway parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Full ownership; Slab foundation; Built in 1978
  • Construction: Brick and wood siding exterior; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Subdivision lot; Concrete road/driveway

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Disposal; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (first floor), approximately 12x14; Bedroom (first floor), approximately 10x14; Bedroom (first floor), approximately 10x9; Two possible additional bedrooms
  • Flooring: Plank flooring; Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric); Thermostat (energy-efficient)
  • Interior features: Soaking tub; Tub with shower; Ceiling fans; Programmable thermostat; Five total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $205k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-14 ($-174/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $202k (1.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $202k (1.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $202k (1.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.4% in La Porte — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#360 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • La Porte ISD (suburban): math 41% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #260 of 826 in TX (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: La Porte H S (math 24% / reading 46%, grade F, #954 of 1,632 statewide, top 59%, 2,069 students, 51% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 337 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $61k; list at $205k implies a 238% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $201,509 (1.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
6.21%
Cash-on-cash
-0.30%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$226,256
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9803 Wren St 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,292 (+2%) 3mo $250,000 $193 85
1113 Maple Creek Dr 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,231 (-3%) 1mo $230,000 $187 82
1306 Canyon Springs Dr 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,238 (-2%) 9mo $247,900 $200 72
1133 Willow Creek Dr 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,344 (+6%) 10mo $219,000 $163 71
754 Sugar Hill Dr 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,338 (+6%) 4mo $230,000 $172 70
1325 Canyon Springs Dr 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,338 (+6%) 3mo $229,000 $171 68
761 Otter Creek Dr 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,338 (+6%) 10mo $240,000 $179 65
5434 Sugar Creek Dr 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,295 (+2%) 5mo $225,000 $174 64
3601 Clover Ln 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,226 (-3%) 2mo $229,000 $187 63
906 River Creek Dr 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,419 (+12%) 0mo $285,000 $201 60
1910 Coupland Dr 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,372 (+8%) 5mo $235,000 $171 53
5421 Beaver Creek Dr 0.53mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,415 (+12%) 8mo $225,000 $159 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.81% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.0%
Equity multiple
0.40×
Total profit
$-34,379
Equity at exit
$30,566
10-year hold
IRR
-9.1%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-32,100
Equity at exit
$17,725

Cash invested: $57,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77571

Home prices YoY
-28.9%
Rents YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
337
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,015 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,075
Tax from tax record
$440 /mo · $5,279/yr
Insurance
$85
HOA
$6
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$423
Net cashflow
$-14

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,033
Max offer price $202,440
Occupancy floor 96%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$51,250
Closing costs
$6,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5222 Valley View Dr La Porte, TX 3.0 2.0 1739 $1,970 $1.13 44d 1 0.66mi
9999 Spencer Hwy La Porte, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 849 $1,475 $1.74 5d 6 0.72mi
4922 Crestway Dr La Porte, TX 3.0 2.0 1465 $2,155 $1.47 5d 1 0.85mi
10007 Winding Trail Rd La Porte, TX 3.0 2.0 1517 $2,150 $1.42 44d 1 1.12mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$6 · $72/yr

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $205,000 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 357-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    listed $205,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,279 · $440/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,279 · $440/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,181
− Mortgage interest
−$11,483
− Property taxes
−$5,279
− Insurance
−$1,025
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,934
− Management
−$1,934
− HOA
−$72
− Depreciation
−$5,964
Taxable loss
−$3,511
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$843
After-tax cash flow
$669/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
La Porte ISD
NCES district ID
4826190
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$71,841
Composite
38.65/100
National rank
#4151
State rank
#260 of 826 in TX

Livability — La Porte

Score
70/100
State rank
#360
US rank
#7754

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
La Porte, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
38,543
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
38,543
Household income
$81,850
Rent vs Own
27.9% rent · 72.1% own
Severe rent burden
1176.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 20% Black 8% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 31%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 21% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -103.81%
Current HPI
255.0768
Rent YoY
▲ 2.81%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+238.5% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $205,000 HARMLS
  • 2012-07-17 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2012-07-13 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2012-05-29 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2012-01-21 Listed $99,900 HARMLS
  • 2003-11-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1997-04-08 Sold (Public Records) $60,568 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,279 · +5.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…