1095 W McCoy Ln #45 · Santa Maria, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 84°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 8 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
DESCRIPTION Welcome to this charming 1-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home nestled in a desirable senior community. This cozy residence offers a functional layout with a comfortable living space and a versatile bonus area, perfect for a home office, hobby room, or guest overflow. Enjoy the convenience of a spacious covered carport, providing ample parking and easy access. Step outside to a beautifully maintained, lush backyard, an inviting retreat ideal for relaxing, gardening, or enjoying the peaceful surroundings. Plus it's a corner lot. Located in a quiet and friendly park that has amenities, this home offers a low-maintenance lifestyle with all the comforts of home. A wonderful opportunity to enjoy affordable living in a welcoming community.
Key facts
- Lush backyard
- Covered carport
- Quiet park
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Park name: TraileRancho; Directions available: Hwy 101 to Betteravia Rd, right on Miller, right on McCoy to TraileRancho
- Financial info: Land lease of $930 monthly (park managed) — rent may include pool; see remarks
- HOA & community: Senior community; Onsite property management; Clubhouse; Billiard room; Barbecue area; Pool; Pets permitted (subject to park rules); Call for rules; Weight limit
Exterior
- Parking: Located in TraileRancho park
- Utilities: Public sewer; Natural gas connected; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected; Cable available; Telephone available in street
- Home design: Single-wide mobile home (14 x 44); Single story; Mobile home remains on site
- Construction: Year built information from public records
- Exterior features: Community pool; Corner lot; Close to clubhouse; Street lighting
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven
- Bedrooms: All bedrooms on the ground floor
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: One-level home; Entry faces east
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside; Washer hookup (dryer excluded)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 24.2% vs local median 3.5% in Santa Maria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#202 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools F, crime F, cost of living F.
- Santa Maria-Bonita (urban): math 26% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #1,023 of 1,400 in CA (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 124 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 719 units permitted in Santa Barbara County in 2024 (217 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Santa Barbara County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.2% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 30y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.76% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 63.81%
- DSCR
- 3.84
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $92,400
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1095 W Mccoy Ln #76 | 0.03mi | 1/1.0 | 565 (-8%) | 4mo | $85,000 | $150 | 81 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.23% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 62.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.73×
- Total profit
- $57,413
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 66.3%
- Equity multiple
- 7.44×
- Total profit
- $135,278
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93455
- Rents YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 124
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,070 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$94 /mo · $1,125/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$435
- Net cashflow
- $1,117
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 983 Dan Blough Dr Santa Maria, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1017 | $2,455 | $2.41 | 13d | 45 | 0.46mi |
| 1245 Sonya Ln Santa Maria, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $2,084 | $2.86 | 13d | 12 | 0.70mi |
| 329 W Carmen Ln Santa Maria, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,927 | $2.66 | 13d | 9 | 0.74mi |
| 1311 W Battles Rd Unit 1301-209 Santa Maria, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 626 | $2,150 | $3.43 | 13d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1311 W Battles Rd Unit 1301-108 Santa Maria, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 494 | $1,550 | $3.14 | 13d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1311 W Battles Rd Unit 1303-208 Santa Maria, CA | — | 1.0 | 404 | $1,350 | $3.34 | 13d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2660 Santa Maria Way Santa Maria, CA | — | 1.0 | 426 | $1,200 | $2.82 | 13d | 1 | 1.17mi |
Listing history 36 events
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2026-06-18days on market $75,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 44 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $75,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $75,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $75,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $75,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $75,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-05-13status Active
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2026-05-11price $75,000
Show marketing remark (749 chars)
DESCRIPTION Welcome to this charming 1-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home nestled in a desirable senior community. This cozy residence offers a functional layout with a comfortable living space and a versatile bonus area, perfect for a home office, hobby room, or guest overflow. Enjoy the convenience of a spacious covered carport, providing ample parking and easy access. Step outside to a beautifully maintained, lush backyard, an inviting retreat ideal for relaxing, gardening, or enjoying the peaceful surroundings. Plus it's a corner lot. Located in a quiet and friendly park that has amenities, this home offers a low-maintenance lifestyle with all the comforts of home. A wonderful opportunity to enjoy affordable living in a welcoming community.
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2026-05-11price $75,000 749-char remark
Show marketing remark (749 chars)
DESCRIPTION Welcome to this charming 1-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home nestled in a desirable senior community. This cozy residence offers a functional layout with a comfortable living space and a versatile bonus area, perfect for a home office, hobby room, or guest overflow. Enjoy the convenience of a spacious covered carport, providing ample parking and easy access. Step outside to a beautifully maintained, lush backyard, an inviting retreat ideal for relaxing, gardening, or enjoying the peaceful surroundings. Plus it's a corner lot. Located in a quiet and friendly park that has amenities, this home offers a low-maintenance lifestyle with all the comforts of home. A wonderful opportunity to enjoy affordable living in a welcoming community.
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2026-05-11status Active 749-char remark
Show marketing remark (749 chars)
DESCRIPTION Welcome to this charming 1-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home nestled in a desirable senior community. This cozy residence offers a functional layout with a comfortable living space and a versatile bonus area, perfect for a home office, hobby room, or guest overflow. Enjoy the convenience of a spacious covered carport, providing ample parking and easy access. Step outside to a beautifully maintained, lush backyard, an inviting retreat ideal for relaxing, gardening, or enjoying the peaceful surroundings. Plus it's a corner lot. Located in a quiet and friendly park that has amenities, this home offers a low-maintenance lifestyle with all the comforts of home. A wonderful opportunity to enjoy affordable living in a welcoming community.
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2026-05-01status Pending Sale
Show marketing remark (749 chars)
DESCRIPTION Welcome to this charming 1-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home nestled in a desirable senior community. This cozy residence offers a functional layout with a comfortable living space and a versatile bonus area, perfect for a home office, hobby room, or guest overflow. Enjoy the convenience of a spacious covered carport, providing ample parking and easy access. Step outside to a beautifully maintained, lush backyard, an inviting retreat ideal for relaxing, gardening, or enjoying the peaceful surroundings. Plus it's a corner lot. Located in a quiet and friendly park that has amenities, this home offers a low-maintenance lifestyle with all the comforts of home. A wonderful opportunity to enjoy affordable living in a welcoming community.
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2026-05-01status Pending 749-char remark
Show marketing remark (749 chars)
DESCRIPTION Welcome to this charming 1-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home nestled in a desirable senior community. This cozy residence offers a functional layout with a comfortable living space and a versatile bonus area, perfect for a home office, hobby room, or guest overflow. Enjoy the convenience of a spacious covered carport, providing ample parking and easy access. Step outside to a beautifully maintained, lush backyard, an inviting retreat ideal for relaxing, gardening, or enjoying the peaceful surroundings. Plus it's a corner lot. Located in a quiet and friendly park that has amenities, this home offers a low-maintenance lifestyle with all the comforts of home. A wonderful opportunity to enjoy affordable living in a welcoming community.
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2026-04-20$85,000 Active
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2026-04-10$85,000 Active 749-char remark
Show marketing remark (749 chars)
DESCRIPTION Welcome to this charming 1-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home nestled in a desirable senior community. This cozy residence offers a functional layout with a comfortable living space and a versatile bonus area, perfect for a home office, hobby room, or guest overflow. Enjoy the convenience of a spacious covered carport, providing ample parking and easy access. Step outside to a beautifully maintained, lush backyard, an inviting retreat ideal for relaxing, gardening, or enjoying the peaceful surroundings. Plus it's a corner lot. Located in a quiet and friendly park that has amenities, this home offers a low-maintenance lifestyle with all the comforts of home. A wonderful opportunity to enjoy affordable living in a welcoming community.
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2017-04-08historical
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2017-04-07historical
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2017-04-07historical
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2017-04-07historical
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2005-08-25historical
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2002-09-28$25,500
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2002-09-28$25,500
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2002-05-30$27,500
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2001-10-05$27,500
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1997-09-02historical
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1997-01-31$12,900
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1996-03-07$16,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥84°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,836
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$1,125
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,987
- − Management
- −$1,987
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $12,979
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,115
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,286/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Santa Maria-Bonita
- NCES district ID
- 0605580
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,959
- Composite
- 29.11/100
- National rank
- #11891
- State rank
- #1023 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Santa Maria
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #202
- US rank
- #6519
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Santa Maria, CA
- County
- Santa Barbara County · 410,380 people
- City population
- 145,655
- Metro
- Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,611
- Household income
- $110,661
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 765.0
Population outlook (Santa Barbara County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,679 people
- By 2030
- 505,323 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 545,783 · +12.6%
- By 2050
- 584,263 · +20.5%
- By 2075
- 682,586 · +40.8%
- By 2100
- 723,188 · +49.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Hispanic / Latino 41% Two or more races 24% Asian 5% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 38%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Russian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 23% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Santa Barbara
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.7) · D 61.8% · R 35.1% · Other 3.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.8pp toward D · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 26.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.7 2020: D+32.1 2016: D+28.2 2012: D+17.1 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -729.78%
- Current HPI
- 314.6499
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.23%
- Metro
- Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+354.5% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $75,000 CRMLS
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $75,000 NSBCRMLS
- 2026-05-11 Relisted — NSBCRMLS
- 2026-05-01 Pending — CRMLS
- 2026-05-01 Pending — NSBCRMLS
- 2026-04-20 Listed $85,000 CRMLS
- 2026-04-10 Listed $85,000 NSBCRMLS
- 2017-04-08 Listing Removed — NSBCRMLS
- 2017-04-07 Listing Removed — NSBCRMLS
- 2017-04-07 Listing Removed — NSBCRMLS
- 2017-04-07 Listing Removed — NSBCRMLS
- 2005-08-25 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2002-09-28 Listed $25,500 CRMLS
- 2002-09-28 Listed $25,500 NSBCRMLS
- 2002-05-30 Listed $27,500 NSBCRMLS
- 2001-10-05 Listed $27,500 NSBCRMLS
- 1997-09-02 Listing Removed — NSBCRMLS
- 1997-01-31 Listed $12,900 NSBCRMLS
- 1996-03-07 Listed $16,500 NSBCRMLS
Property tax history
-2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $67 · +7.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…