3601 Castlevale Rd #38 · Yakima, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 14 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.1/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,950
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Clean and inviting 2-bedroom, 2 full bathroom, 980 sq. ft. single-wide manufactured home located in the 55+ Laura Lee Mobile Home Park. Conveniently situated close to shopping, dining, public transportation, and Chesterly Park. This well-maintained home offers a comfortable and functional layout with a welcoming feel throughout. Enjoy the outdoors from two decks, perfect for relaxing with a cup of coffee and taking in the beautiful seasons the Yakima Valley has to offer. The home also includes a storage unit for added convenience.
Key facts
- Two decks
- Storage unit
- Garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $839 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $47k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 26.5% vs local median 3.4% in Yakima — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#98 in WA, #1,912 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
- Yakima School District (urban): math 34% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #238 of 291 in WA (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 185 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 468 units permitted in Yakima County in 2024 (23 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Yakima County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.89% ✓
- Cap rate
- 26.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 72.03%
- DSCR
- 4.20
- GRM
- 2.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $58,477
- List price
- $49,950
- Delta
- -14.58%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 404 N 39th Ave | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 1,008 (+3%) | 2mo | $219,500 | $218 | 58 |
| 921 N 29th Ave | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,040 (+6%) | 11mo | $284,900 | $274 | 50 |
| 3001 Powerhouse Rd | 0.61mi | 2/1.5 | 1,057 (+8%) | 24mo | $275,000 | $260 | 37 |
| 813 N 26th Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,064 (+9%) | 14mo | $282,500 | $266 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.07% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 73.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.46×
- Total profit
- $48,439
- Equity at exit
- $7,448
- IRR
- 78.3%
- Equity multiple
- 9.88×
- Total profit
- $124,157
- Equity at exit
- $4,319
Cash invested: $13,986 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98902
- Rents YoY
- 5.1%
- Active inventory
- 185
- Price-to-rent
- 2.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,445 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$19 /mo · $233/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$303
- Net cashflow
- $839
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,488
- Closing costs
- $1,498
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cascade Loop Yakima, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1030 | $1,800 | $1.75 | 13d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 3413 Cascade Loop Yakima, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,825 | $1.82 | 13d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 3601 Fairbanks Ave Yakima, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $876 | $1.30 | 13d | 14 | 0.42mi |
| 2605 W Lincoln Ave Yakima, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,600 | $1.62 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 4004 W Walnut St Apt 4 Yakima, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 763 | $1,225 | $1.61 | 21d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 4004 W Walnut St Yakima, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 763 | $1,212 | $1.59 | 13d | 3 | 1.37mi |
| 4004 W Walnut St Apt 16 Yakima, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 763 | $1,225 | $1.61 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1509 Swan Ave Yakima, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1108 | $1,400 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 4004 Bell Ave Yakima, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,195 | $1.45 | 13d | 2 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-10status $49,950 Pending 79 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $49,950 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,950 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,950 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $49,950 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $49,950 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $49,950 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $49,950 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,950 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $49,950 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-05-07price $54,000 536-char remark
Show marketing remark (536 chars)
Clean and inviting 2-bedroom, 2 full bathroom, 980 sq. ft. single-wide manufactured home located in the 55+ Laura Lee Mobile Home Park. Conveniently situated close to shopping, dining, public transportation, and Chesterly Park. This well-maintained home offers a comfortable and functional layout with a welcoming feel throughout. Enjoy the outdoors from two decks, perfect for relaxing with a cup of coffee and taking in the beautiful seasons the Yakima Valley has to offer. The home also includes a storage unit for added convenience.
-
2026-05-04status Active 536-char remark
Show marketing remark (536 chars)
Clean and inviting 2-bedroom, 2 full bathroom, 980 sq. ft. single-wide manufactured home located in the 55+ Laura Lee Mobile Home Park. Conveniently situated close to shopping, dining, public transportation, and Chesterly Park. This well-maintained home offers a comfortable and functional layout with a welcoming feel throughout. Enjoy the outdoors from two decks, perfect for relaxing with a cup of coffee and taking in the beautiful seasons the Yakima Valley has to offer. The home also includes a storage unit for added convenience.
-
2026-04-28status Pending 536-char remark
Show marketing remark (536 chars)
Clean and inviting 2-bedroom, 2 full bathroom, 980 sq. ft. single-wide manufactured home located in the 55+ Laura Lee Mobile Home Park. Conveniently situated close to shopping, dining, public transportation, and Chesterly Park. This well-maintained home offers a comfortable and functional layout with a welcoming feel throughout. Enjoy the outdoors from two decks, perfect for relaxing with a cup of coffee and taking in the beautiful seasons the Yakima Valley has to offer. The home also includes a storage unit for added convenience.
-
2026-03-16$58,000 Active 536-char remark
Show marketing remark (536 chars)
Clean and inviting 2-bedroom, 2 full bathroom, 980 sq. ft. single-wide manufactured home located in the 55+ Laura Lee Mobile Home Park. Conveniently situated close to shopping, dining, public transportation, and Chesterly Park. This well-maintained home offers a comfortable and functional layout with a welcoming feel throughout. Enjoy the outdoors from two decks, perfect for relaxing with a cup of coffee and taking in the beautiful seasons the Yakima Valley has to offer. The home also includes a storage unit for added convenience.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $233 · $19/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $490 · $41/mo
- Expected delta
- +$257/yr (+$21/mo · 110.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 14 unhealthy d/yr today · 16 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,341
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,798
- − Property taxes
- −$233
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,387
- − Management
- −$1,387
- − Depreciation
- −$1,453
- Taxable income
- $9,833
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,360
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,714/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Yakima School District
- NCES district ID
- 5310110
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,538
- Composite
- 34.04/100
- National rank
- #10305
- State rank
- #238 of 291 in WA
Livability — Yakima
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #98
- US rank
- #1912
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Yakima, WA
- County
- Yakima County · 134,789 people
- City population
- 115,918
- Metro
- Yakima, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,492
- Household income
- $63,092
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1607.0
Population outlook (Yakima County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 256,514 people
- By 2030
- 259,403 · +1.1%
- By 2040
- 265,677 · +3.6%
- By 2050
- 273,061 · +6.5%
- By 2075
- 296,991 · +15.8%
- By 2100
- 315,291 · +22.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 50% White 40% Two or more races 24% Black 2% Pacific Islander 2% Native American 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 44%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 60% English-only · Spanish 37% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Yakima
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.3) · D 41.6% · R 55.9% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.8pp toward R · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -14.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.3 2020: R+7.7 2016: R+15.4 2012: R+15.1 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -363.66%
- Current HPI
- 294.559
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.07%
- Metro
- Yakima, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
-6.9% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $54,000 YAMLS
- 2026-05-04 Relisted — YAMLS
- 2026-04-28 Pending — YAMLS
- 2026-03-16 Listed $58,000 YAMLS
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2026): $233 · -4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…