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15 Spring Hill Ave Duplex
C- Composite 51.34
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.9/15.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$839,000

15 Spring Hill Ave · Norwalk, CT 06850
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 3,027 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1929 10,454 sqft lot $277/sqft · 21% above area Est $1004k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Very Large Multifamily with 4 Story. This 2 Family 17 Room House with 6 Baths And 2 Decks Overlooking A Deep Backyard is a Great Potential For Multipurpose Use. Located in the Spring Hill Section of Norwalk, this house is close to all. Bring Your Imagination. Priced To Sell In As Is Condition. Very Large Multifamily with 4 Story. This 2 Family 17 Room House with 6 Baths And 2 Decks Overlooking A Deep Backyard is a Great Potential For Multipurpose Use. Located in the Spring Hill Section of Norwalk, this house is close to all. Bring Your Imagination. Priced To Sell In As Is Condition.

Key facts

  • 4 story
  • Multifamily
  • Deep backyard

Tags

MULTIFAMILY4 STORY2 DECKSDEEP BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $839k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $248 ($3k/yr) — positive. Per door: $124/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $740k (11.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $740k (11.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.4% in Norwalk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#41 in CT, #2,966 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities C-, cost of living F.
  • Norwalk School District (urban): math 29% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #104 of 153 in CT (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 71 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,151 units permitted in Western Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (714 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $7,397/mo this rent would consume 72% of the median local household income ($124k/yr) (locally 979% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $25k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $261k; list at $839k implies a 221% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 71% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $739,700 (11.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
6.65%
Cash-on-cash
1.27%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$1,004,457
List price
$839,000
Delta
-15.48%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
47 Riverside Ave 0.15mi 5/3.5 (+1) 2,864 (-5%) 20mo $655,000 $229 56
14 Ohio Ave 0.64mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,836 (-6%) 7mo $800,000 $282 45
37 Clinton Ave 0.72mi 4/2.0 2,695 (-11%) 11mo $665,000 $247 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.5% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.7%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-116,448
Equity at exit
$125,098
10-year hold
IRR
-4.1%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-65,633
Equity at exit
$72,541

Cash invested: $234,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06850

Rents YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
71
Price-to-rent
18.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$7,397 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$4,400
Tax from tax record
$846 /mo · $10,158/yr
Insurance
$350
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,553
Net cashflow
$248

Break-even live

Break-even rent $7,083
Max offer price $839,000
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $723 -5% $485 +0% $248 +5% $10 +10% $-227
Rent -10% $-337 -5% $-44 +0% $248 +5% $540 +10% $832
Rate -1.0pp $670 -0.5pp $461 base $248 +0.5pp $30 +1.0pp $-191

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $7,397

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$209,750
Closing costs
$25,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
515 West Ave Norwalk, CT 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1532 $4,853 $3.17 19d 48 0.63mi
53 1/2 Glenwood Ave Unit A Norwalk, CT 3.0 1.5 2650 $2,600 $0.98 44d 1 0.74mi
40 Marlin Dr Norwalk, CT 4.0 2.5 2240 $4,800 $2.14 44d 1 0.76mi
10 Harvann Rd Norwalk, CT 4.0 3.5 2242 $4,995 $2.23 22d 1 0.76mi
32 Southwind Dr Norwalk, CT 4.0 3.0 2800 $4,800 $1.71 44d 1 0.77mi
4 Morgan Ave Norwalk, CT 5.0 4.5 3193 $7,950 $2.49 14d 1 0.85mi
13 Birch St Norwalk, CT 3.0 2.5 2230 $9,500 $4.26 44d 1 1.09mi
11 Cornwall Rd Norwalk, CT 3.0 2.0 2128 $4,500 $2.11 4d 1 1.20mi
41 N Main St Norwalk, CT 3.0 2.0 2500 $5,000 $2.00 44d 1 1.32mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $839,000 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $839,000 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $839,000 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $839,000 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $839,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $839,000 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $839,000 Active 2 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    remarks 589-char remark
  9. 2026-06-09
    pricestatusdays on marketlisting id $839,000 Active 1 DOM
  10. 2026-05-11
    historical
  11. 2026-01-30
    listed $849,000 Active
  12. 2026-01-25
    historical
  13. 2024-01-10
    historical
  14. 2023-09-15
    price $695,000
  15. 2023-08-11
    price $739,000
  16. 2023-07-29
    listed $749,000 Active
  17. 2016-08-31
    soldstatus $261,000
  18. 2016-07-20
    historical
  19. 2016-07-14
    listed $242,000
  20. 2004-08-12
    soldstatus $20,000
  21. 2003-02-27
    soldstatus $385,000
  22. 2003-02-25
    soldstatus $385,000
  23. 2002-12-03
    listed $375,000
  24. 2002-03-02
    historical
  25. 2002-01-02
    listed $450,000
  26. 1989-11-15
    soldstatus $210,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$10,158 · $846/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$14,056 · $1,171/mo
Expected delta
+$3,898/yr (+$325/mo · 38.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 71% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 8/10 Severe 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 18 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$88,764
− Mortgage interest
−$46,997
− Property taxes
−$10,158
− Insurance
−$4,195
− Repairs & maintenance
−$7,101
− Management
−$7,101
− Depreciation
−$24,407
Taxable loss
−$11,196
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,687
After-tax cash flow
$5,660/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Norwalk School District
NCES district ID
0903090
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$76,540
Composite
34.07/100
National rank
#5297
State rank
#104 of 153 in CT

Livability — Norwalk

Score
77/100
State rank
#41
US rank
#2966

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A- Cost of living F Crime A Employment A+ Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Norwalk, CT
County
Fairfield County · 765,532 people
City population
89,026
Metro
Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk, CT
Population (ZIP)
19,692
Household income
$123,633
Rent vs Own
45.9% rent · 54.1% own
Severe rent burden
979.0

Population outlook (Western Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
685,031

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Hispanic / Latino 27% Black 19% Two or more races 14% Asian 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
27% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
69% English-only · Spanish 22% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Western Connecticut

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 58.8% · R 39.7% · Other 1.6%
All cycles
2024: D+19.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -232.79%
Current HPI
184.7489
Rent YoY
▲ 3.50%
Metro
Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+304.3% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2026-01-30 Listed $849,000 Smart MLS
  • 2026-01-25 Coming Soon Smart MLS
  • 2024-01-10 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2023-09-15 Price Changed $695,000 Smart MLS
  • 2023-08-11 Price Changed $739,000 Smart MLS
  • 2023-07-29 Listed $749,000 Smart MLS
  • 2016-08-31 Sold (MLS) $261,000 Smart MLS
  • 2016-07-20 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2016-07-14 Listed $242,000 Smart MLS
  • 2004-08-12 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
  • 2003-02-27 Sold (Public Records) $385,000 Public Records
  • 2003-02-25 Sold (MLS) $385,000 Smart MLS
  • 2002-12-03 Listed $375,000 Smart MLS
  • 2002-03-02 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2002-01-02 Listed $450,000 Smart MLS
  • 1989-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $210,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2023): $10,158 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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