3058 Date St · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.72%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.5/30.0
- ARV discount +4.7/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- 1% rule +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$239,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Adorable new 3 bedroom, 2 bath home close to completion; conveniently located near shopping, schools, etc. Open concept floor plan. Wood look vinyl planks in living areas, carpet in bedrooms. White cabinets, Granite counters. Stainless steel appliance package included (26cf side by side fridge w/ ice & water, self-cleaning glass top range, dishwasher and OTR microwave; RANGE & FRIDGE GO IN ABOUT A WEEK BEFORE CLOSING)). Home comes with 1yr builder warranty and termite bond. * * This home has a high performance engineered septic system which will have yearly maintenance agreement and fee. Well was done by a licensed & experienced well driller who pulled the proper well per
Key facts
- Granite counters
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 2-car garage
- Utilities: Septic tank; Sewer not available; Water not available
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential single-family use
- Construction: Fiber cement and frame construction; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Patio
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Open floor plan; Primary bathroom with shower (no tub)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-34 ($-405/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $234k (2.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $174k (27.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $174k (27.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 728 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($226k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $33k; list at $240k implies a 627% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.73% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.60%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 11.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $225,896
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3141 Water St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,162 (-4%) | 11mo | $310,000 | $267 | 65 |
| 10172 Melanie Ave | 0.12mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,350 (+12%) | 8mo | $125,000 | $93 | 63 |
| 2904 Jerry Ln | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,059 (-12%) | 2mo | $200,000 | $189 | 60 |
| 2362 Jayson Ave | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,205 (-0%) | 8mo | $229,900 | $191 | 59 |
| 3040 Trout River Blvd | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,270 (+5%) | 9mo | $230,000 | $181 | 58 |
| 2864 Leonid Rd | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,160 (-4%) | 9mo | $170,000 | $147 | 58 |
| 3046 Trout River Blvd | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,270 (+5%) | 9mo | $230,000 | $181 | 58 |
| 2350 Jayson Ave | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,205 (-0%) | 9mo | $225,000 | $187 | 58 |
| 3048 Trout River Blvd | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,270 (+5%) | 12mo | $240,000 | $189 | 56 |
| 3561 Capper Rd | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,320 (+9%) | 2mo | $251,000 | $190 | 55 |
| 2341 2nd Ave | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,104 (-9%) | 8mo | $115,000 | $104 | 46 |
| 10778 Bolyard Dr | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,368 (+13%) | 9mo | $229,000 | $167 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.31×
- Total profit
- $-46,252
- Equity at exit
- $35,770
- IRR
- -20.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.06×
- Total profit
- $-63,266
- Equity at exit
- $20,742
Cash invested: $67,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32218
- Home prices YoY
- -25.7%
- Rents YoY
- -0.4%
- Active inventory
- 728
- Price-to-rent
- 11.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,740 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,258
- Tax from tax record
- −$50 /mo · $602/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$365
- Net cashflow
- $-34
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,975
- Closing costs
- $7,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 34 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3029 Bessent Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1330 | $1,750 | $1.32 | 3d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 2978 Centerwood Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1437 | $1,805 | $1.26 | 23d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 2950 Bessent Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1446 | $1,779 | $1.23 | 21d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 10535 Lem Turner Rd Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1012 | $1,562 | $1.54 | 3d | 40 | 0.40mi |
| 2482 Quail Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $1,850 | $1.51 | 17d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2489 Quail Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1306 | $1,495 | $1.14 | 16d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2489 Quail Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1308 | $1,495 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2389 Hilly Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 908 | $1,650 | $1.82 | 23d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2462 Quail Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1312 | $1,397 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 10735 Merida Dr #14 Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $1,635 | $1.25 | 7d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 9346 10th Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 985 | $1,825 | $1.85 | 23d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3015 Lansdell Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,350 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 9279 6th Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,245 | $1.08 | 4d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 9658 Gibson Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 977 | $1,225 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 9565 Carbondale Dr W Unit B Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,000 | $1.43 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 3216 Duane Ave Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 748 | $1,098 | $1.47 | 7d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 11211 Margarets Landing Pl Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $1,826 | $1.43 | 7d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 10838 Naples Ct S Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1285 | $1,755 | $1.37 | 23d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 9131 4th Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1209 | $1,496 | $1.24 | 21d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3250 Soutel Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1352 | $1,525 | $1.13 | 23d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 9131 Jefferson Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $1,350 | $1.48 | 4d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 9124 Adams Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1207 | $1,800 | $1.49 | 23d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 3344 Soutel Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1142 | $1,325 | $1.16 | 23d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 9141 12th Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1209 | $1,598 | $1.32 | 20d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 9148 13th Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1126 | $1,136 | $1.01 | 4d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 4212 Pointe Haven Dr N Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1054 | $1,800 | $1.71 | 23d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 9037 6th Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1156 | $1,400 | $1.21 | 23d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 9050 7th Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,485 | $1.66 | 23d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2445 Dunn Ave Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $1,815 | $2.14 | 1d | 11 | 1.41mi |
| 9032 8th Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,500 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 9017 6th Ave Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1038 | $1,098 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 3025 Armstrong St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,461 | $1.30 | 19d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 11386 Margarets Landing Pl Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $1,821 | $1.42 | 21d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 8973 4th Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $1,438 | $1.17 | 14d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $239,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $239,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $239,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-15pricedays on market $239,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $244,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $244,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $244,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $244,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $244,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $244,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $244,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $244,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-05-04price $249,900
-
2026-04-01price $259,900
-
2026-03-24$269,900 Active
-
1997-01-10soldstatus $33,000
-
1987-05-01soldstatus $10,000
-
1984-05-01soldstatus $19,700
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $602 · $50/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,991 · $166/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,389/yr (+$116/mo · 230.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,877
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,438
- − Property taxes
- −$602
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,670
- − Management
- −$1,670
- − Depreciation
- −$6,979
- Taxable loss
- −$4,682
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,124
- After-tax cash flow
- $718/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,015,274 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 72,905
- Household income
- $69,638
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2289.0
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 48% White 35% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -90.73%
- Current HPI
- 262.2329
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.40%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+1168.5% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $249,900 realMLS
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $259,900 realMLS
- 2026-03-24 Listed $269,900 realMLS
- 1997-01-10 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records
- 1987-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
- 1984-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $19,700 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.8%/yrLatest (2025): $602 · +17.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…