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1742 N 12th St
B- Composite 68.24
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,900

1742 N 12th St · Paducah, KY 42001
5 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,574 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 78 Days on market
Built 1904 0.66 ac lot $47/sqft · 54% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Step into timeless charm with this beautiful 4-bedroom historic home full of character and classic architectural details. From the moment you arrive, the inviting wrap-around porch sets the tone — the perfect place to enjoy morning coffee, relax in the evening, or greet neighbors in true Southern style. Located in the heart of Paducah, this home combines historic character, generous space, and the opportunity to make it your own. Whether you're drawn to the charm of older homes or looking for a property with personality and potential, this one is worth a look.

Key facts

  • Wrap-around porch
  • Historic home
  • 0.66 acre lot

Tags

WRAP-AROUND PORCHHISTORIC HOMECLASSIC ARCHITECTURAL DETAILS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $627 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $113k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 4.5% in Paducah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#197 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, employment D.
  • Paducah Independent (town): math 22% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #122 of 165 in KY (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 248 active listings in the ZIP; 187 units permitted in McCracken County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • McCracken County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $45k; list at $120k implies a 166% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1904 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $112,706 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1904 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.54%
Cap rate
12.56%
Cash-on-cash
22.40%
DSCR
2.00
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$259,030
List price
$119,900
Delta
-53.71%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
15 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.2%
Equity multiple
1.61×
Total profit
$20,510
Equity at exit
$17,877
10-year hold
IRR
23.9%
Equity multiple
3.07×
Total profit
$69,366
Equity at exit
$10,367

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 42001

Home prices YoY
-24.8%
Active inventory
248
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,842 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax est. 1.5%
$150 /mo · $1,798/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$387
Net cashflow
$627

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,049
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $119,900 Active 78 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,900 Active 77 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,900 Active 76 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,900 Active 75 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,900 Active 74 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $119,900 Active 72 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $119,900 Active 71 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,900 Active 68 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,900 Active 67 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,900 Active 66 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $119,900 Active 62 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,900 Active 61 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,900 Active 60 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,900 Active 59 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $119,900 Active 58 DOM
  16. 2026-05-01
    status Active 572-char remark
    Show marketing remark (572 chars)

    Step into timeless charm with this beautiful 4-bedroom historic home full of character and classic architectural details. From the moment you arrive, the inviting wrap-around porch sets the tone — the perfect place to enjoy morning coffee, relax in the evening, or greet neighbors in true Southern style. Located in the heart of Paducah, this home combines historic character, generous space, and the opportunity to make it your own. Whether you're drawn to the charm of older homes or looking for a property with personality and potential, this one is worth a look.

  17. 2026-04-07
    status Pending 572-char remark
    Show marketing remark (572 chars)

    Step into timeless charm with this beautiful 4-bedroom historic home full of character and classic architectural details. From the moment you arrive, the inviting wrap-around porch sets the tone — the perfect place to enjoy morning coffee, relax in the evening, or greet neighbors in true Southern style. Located in the heart of Paducah, this home combines historic character, generous space, and the opportunity to make it your own. Whether you're drawn to the charm of older homes or looking for a property with personality and potential, this one is worth a look.

  18. 2026-04-01
    price $119,900 572-char remark
    Show marketing remark (572 chars)

    Step into timeless charm with this beautiful 4-bedroom historic home full of character and classic architectural details. From the moment you arrive, the inviting wrap-around porch sets the tone — the perfect place to enjoy morning coffee, relax in the evening, or greet neighbors in true Southern style. Located in the heart of Paducah, this home combines historic character, generous space, and the opportunity to make it your own. Whether you're drawn to the charm of older homes or looking for a property with personality and potential, this one is worth a look.

  19. 2026-03-09
    listed $139,900 Active 572-char remark
    Show marketing remark (572 chars)

    Step into timeless charm with this beautiful 4-bedroom historic home full of character and classic architectural details. From the moment you arrive, the inviting wrap-around porch sets the tone — the perfect place to enjoy morning coffee, relax in the evening, or greet neighbors in true Southern style. Located in the heart of Paducah, this home combines historic character, generous space, and the opportunity to make it your own. Whether you're drawn to the charm of older homes or looking for a property with personality and potential, this one is worth a look.

  20. 2011-09-22
    soldstatus $45,000
  21. 2009-05-22
    soldstatus $27,500
  22. 1992-12-01
    soldstatus $27,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,105
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$1,798
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,768
− Management
−$1,768
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable income
$5,966
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,432
After-tax cash flow
$6,088/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Paducah Independent
NCES district ID
2104650
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -17.00%
Median HH income
$30,067
Composite
23.41/100
National rank
#7896
State rank
#122 of 165 in KY

Livability — Paducah

Score
68/100
State rank
#197
US rank
#9780

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Paducah, KY
County
McCracken County · 30,856 people
City population
30,856
Metro
Paducah, KY-IL
Population (ZIP)
30,856
Household income
$71,365
Rent vs Own
36.5% rent · 63.5% own
Severe rent burden
1001.0

Population outlook (McCracken County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
64,237 people
By 2030
63,468 · -1.2%
By 2040
61,221 · -4.7%
By 2050
58,432 · -9.0%
By 2075
52,668 · -18.0%
By 2100
44,517 · -30.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Black 13% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · McCracken

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.9) · D 31.9% · R 66.8% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-9.7pp toward R · 2008: -25.2pp · 2024: -34.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.9 2020: R+31.7 2016: R+37.2 2012: R+32.5 2008: R+25.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -85.23%
Current HPI
258.1706
Rent YoY
Metro
Paducah, KY-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+336.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Relisted WKRMLS
  • 2026-04-07 Pending WKRMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $119,900 WKRMLS
  • 2026-03-09 Listed $139,900 WKRMLS
  • 2011-09-22 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 2009-05-22 Sold (Public Records) $27,500 Public Records
  • 1992-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $27,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-22.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $82 · -11.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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