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4112 Kenneth Ave
B- Composite 67.24
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

4112 Kenneth Ave · Beaumont, TX 77705
5 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,466 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1962 $44/sqft · 52% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor Special with Serious Potential! Looking for your next project? This home is ready to be brought back to life and transformed into something special. Yes, it has been red tagged — but for the right buyer, this is an opportunity to renovate, rebuild, and add value. Bring your vision, tools, and creativity! Great chance for investors, flippers, or anyone looking for a rewarding fixer-upper project. Sold as-is.

Key facts

  • Listed 35 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax amount recorded

Exterior

  • Home design: Single-family residence (Residential property)
  • Exterior features: Publicly maintained road access

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Located in the Out Of Town subdivision

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $771 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 21.7% vs local median 5.3% in Beaumont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#739 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, crime F.
  • Beaumont ISD (urban): math 14% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #789 of 826 in TX (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 207 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 343 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $63,050 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.59%
Cap rate
21.75%
Cash-on-cash
55.19%
DSCR
3.46
GRM
3.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$136,663
List price
$65,000
Delta
-52.44%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3975 Howard St 0.52mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,644 (+12%) 19mo $174,995 $106 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
48.7%
Equity multiple
3.12×
Total profit
$38,641
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
54.3%
Equity multiple
6.34×
Total profit
$97,225
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77705

Home prices YoY
-29.7%
Active inventory
207
Price-to-rent
3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,683 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$125 /mo · $1,498/yr
Insurance
$27
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$354
Net cashflow
$771

Break-even live

Break-even rent $708
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $807 -5% $789 +0% $771 +5% $752 +10% $734
Rent -10% $638 -5% $704 +0% $771 +5% $837 +10% $904
Rate -1.0pp $803 -0.5pp $787 base $771 +0.5pp $754 +1.0pp $737

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
614 Euclid St Beaumont, TX 4.0 2.0 1378 $1,395 $1.01 24d 1 0.73mi
4404 Raven St Beaumont, TX 4.0 2.0 1628 $1,600 $0.98 24d 1 0.80mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,000 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $65,000 Active 30 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 29 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $65,000 Active 27 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 25 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 24 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $65,000 Active 20 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 19 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 18 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 17 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $65,000 Active 16 DOM
  16. 2026-05-14
    listed $65,000 Active 425-char remark
  17. 2010-08-02
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,498 · $125/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,498 · $125/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,200
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$1,498
− Insurance
−$1,122
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,616
− Management
−$1,616
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$8,816
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,116
After-tax cash flow
$7,132/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Beaumont ISD
NCES district ID
4809670
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,683
Composite
15.43/100
National rank
#9316
State rank
#789 of 826 in TX

Livability — Beaumont

Score
64/100
State rank
#739
US rank
#13710

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Beaumont, TX
County
Jefferson County · 203,592 people
City population
125,901
Metro
Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
Population (ZIP)
38,259
Household income
$54,633
Rent vs Own
41.4% rent · 58.6% own
Severe rent burden
776.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
259,015 people
By 2030
260,685 · +0.6%
By 2040
263,309 · +1.7%
By 2050
265,237 · +2.4%
By 2075
270,193 · +4.3%
By 2100
255,628 · -1.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Black 46% White 29% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
Lean R (+8.9) · D 45.1% · R 54.0%
2008→2024 swing
-11.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: -8.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+8.9 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+0.5 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+2.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -54.76%
Current HPI
129.3696
Rent YoY
Metro
Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $65,000 BBOR
  • 2010-08-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+5.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,498 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…